LYG

Lloyds Banking Group plc

There isn't enough reported data to score LYG yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

LYG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

LYG's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like LYG.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

LYG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x50x75x100x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x50x75x100x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.9x$3.05-41%
Fair8.4x$4.39-15%
Current10x$5.17—
Expensive16x$8.49+64%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LYG has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

LYG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LYG, with profitability improving.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

LYG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $5.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LYG and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LYG and MS's risk to reward.

LYG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.37Q2 2024: $0.38Q3 2024: $0.36Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.32Q2 2025: $0.34Q3 2025: $0.30Q4 2025: $0.37Q1 2026: $0.41Q2 2026: $0.43Q3 2026: $0.52
Q4 2023: $0.40Q1 2024: $0.37Q2 2024: $0.38Q3 2024: $0.36Q4 2024: $0.32Q1 2025: $0.32Q2 2025: $0.34Q3 2025: $0.30Q4 2025: $0.37Q1 2026: $0.41Q2 2026: $0.43Q3 2026: $0.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.52+73%
Q2 2026$0.43+26%
Q1 2026$0.41+28%
Q4 2025$0.37+16%
Q3 2025$0.30-17%
Q2 2025$0.34-11%
Q1 2025$0.32-14%
Q4 2024$0.32-20%

LYG earned $0.52 per share over the past year, up 73% from the year before.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over LYG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LYG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $26.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $18.9BQ3 2024: −$6.8BQ4 2024: $32.1BQ1 2025: $6.2BQ2 2025: $18.5BQ3 2025: −$5.8BQ4 2025: $67.5BQ1 2026: $6.9BQ2 2026: $18.4BQ3 2026: −$3.9B
Q4 2023: $26.7BQ1 2024: $5.8BQ2 2024: $18.9BQ3 2024: −$6.8BQ4 2024: $32.1BQ1 2025: $6.2BQ2 2025: $18.5BQ3 2025: −$5.8BQ4 2025: $67.5BQ1 2026: $6.9BQ2 2026: $18.4BQ3 2026: −$3.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$18.4B-0.3%
Q1 2026$6.9B+10%
Q4 2025$67.5B+110%
Q2 2025$18.5B-2.2%
Q1 2025$6.2B+7%
Q4 2024$32.1B+20%
Q2 2024$18.9B+29%
Q1 2024$5.8B-8.8%

LYG's revenue is growing: −$3.9B last quarter, down 32% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over LYG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LYG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q4 2025$0$0
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025$0$0
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024$0$0
Q3 2024$0$0
Q2 2024$0$0
Q1 2024$0$0

LYG's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against $0 the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like LYG.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

LYG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 16.9BQ1 2024: 16BQ2 2024: 15.8BQ3 2024: 17BQ4 2024: 15.6BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 15.1BQ3 2025: 15.1BQ4 2025: 14.9BQ1 2026: 14.9BQ2 2026: 14.9BQ3 2026: 14.9B
Q4 2023: 16.9BQ1 2024: 16BQ2 2024: 15.8BQ3 2024: 17BQ4 2024: 15.6BQ1 2025: 15.1BQ2 2025: 15.1BQ3 2025: 15.1BQ4 2025: 14.9BQ1 2026: 14.9BQ2 2026: 14.9BQ3 2026: 14.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year-1.3%-200M shares
3 years-4.8%-753M shares
5 years-16%-2.9B shares
Available history-11%-1.8B shares

LYG has 14.9B diluted shares, down 1.3% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over LYG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LYG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ4 2025: 5.8xQ1 2026: 5.4xQ2 2026: 5.5xQ3 2026: 5.2x
Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 4.3xQ1 2025: 2.5xQ2 2025: 3.5xQ3 2025: 4.8xQ4 2025: 5.8xQ1 2026: 5.4xQ2 2026: 5.5xQ3 2026: 5.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.2xHigh
Q2 20265.5xHigh
Q1 20265.4xHigh
Q4 20255.8xHigh
Q3 20254.8xHigh
Q2 20253.5xElevated
Q1 20252.5xModerate
Q4 20244.3xHigh

LYG has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

LYG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.1Neutral
Stochastic10.9Oversold

LYG's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

LYG PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricLYGSector medianRelative
PE10x13x23% below
PE %57636 pts below

LYG has the edge over MS on valuation relative to its sector.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

LYG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.343.2% below
20 week MA$5.7610% below
50 week MA$5.546.7% below
100 week MA$4.768.6% above
200 week MA$3.6243% above

LYG has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 43% above its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over LYG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LYG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$3.29$2.01-39%
2021$2.01$2.51+25%
2022$2.51$2.25-10%
2023$2.25$2.39+6.2%
2024$2.39$2.70+13%
2025$2.70$5.34+98%
2026 YTD$5.34$5.17-3.2%

LYG has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 3.2% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over LYG on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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