LXFR

Luxfer Holdings PLC

41
Fundamentals39/ 100
Valuation8/ 100
Upside potential37/ 100
Risk potential30/ 100

LXFR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW has the edge over LXFR overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

LXFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Healthy

LXFR's balance sheet is currently healthy, and its revenue, profitability and cash flow are stable.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LXFR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE344x688x1032x1376x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE344x688x1032x1376x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$3.48-80%
Forward17x$17.34—
Fair23x$4.99-71%
Expensive47x$10.26-41%
Current79x$17.34—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LXFR's PE is in its expensive range at 79x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LXFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect LXFR's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

RDW has the edge over LXFR on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

LXFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+17%$20.29
Downside-30%$12.21

Calculated from the latest close: $17.34 on Nov 12.

LXFR trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LXFR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LXFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $0.01Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $0.34Q4 2024: $0.68Q1 2025: $0.78Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $0.53Q4 2025: $0.28Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.29Q3 2026: $0.22Forward: $1.05
Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $0.01Q2 2024: $-0.18Q3 2024: $0.34Q4 2024: $0.68Q1 2025: $0.78Q2 2025: $0.90Q3 2025: $0.53Q4 2025: $0.28Q1 2026: $0.21Q2 2026: $0.29Q3 2026: $0.22Forward: $1.05
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.05+375%
Q3 2026$0.22-58%
Q2 2026$0.29-68%
Q1 2026$0.21-73%
Q4 2025$0.28-59%
Q3 2025$0.53+56%
Q2 2025$0.90+$1.08
Q1 2025$0.78+7700%
Q4 2024$0.68+$0.75

LXFR has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

LXFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $96MQ1 2024: $89MQ2 2024: $100MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $103MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: $84MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $92M
Q4 2023: $96MQ1 2024: $89MQ2 2024: $100MQ3 2024: $99MQ4 2024: $103MQ1 2025: $97MQ2 2025: $104MQ3 2025: $93MQ4 2025: $91MQ1 2026: $84MQ2 2026: $96MQ3 2026: $92M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$91.7M-1.3%
Q2 2026$95.7M-8%
Q1 2026$83.9M-14%
Q4 2025$90.7M-12%
Q3 2025$92.9M-6.5%
Q2 2025$104M+4.3%
Q1 2025$97M+8.5%
Q4 2024$103.4M+7.8%

LXFR's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $92M last quarter, down 1.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW has the edge over LXFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LXFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$700,000Q3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $12M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $2MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $23MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: −$700,000Q3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $12MQ1 2026: −$6MQ2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$12.4M+20%
Q2 2026$0+$700K
Q1 2026-$6.1M-245%
Q4 2025$12.4M-45%
Q3 2025$10.3M+5.1%
Q2 2025-$700K-111%
Q1 2025$4.2M+83%
Q4 2024$22.5M+60%

LXFR has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

LXFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 27MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 27MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 27MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 27MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+73.8K shares
1 year+0.5%+136K shares
3 years+1%+279K shares
5 years-2.6%-739K shares
Available history-2.1%-588K shares

LXFR has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

LXFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 5.2xQ2 2024: 7.9xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 5.2xQ2 2024: 7.9xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 1.0xQ2 2025: 1.0xQ3 2025: 1.1xQ4 2025: 0.9xQ1 2026: 1.3xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.3xHealthy
Q4 20250.9xVery low
Q3 20251.1xHealthy
Q2 20251.0xHealthy
Q1 20251.0xHealthy
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

LXFR's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.1 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LXFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI60.6Neutral
Stochastic78.8Neutral

LXFR's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

LXFR PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricLXFRSector medianRelative
PE79x24x227% above
PE %915833 pts above

LXFR is trading at 79x earnings, a 227% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LXFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.30.4% above
20 week MA$17.21% above
50 week MA$15.611% above
100 week MA$14.024% above
200 week MA$13.132% above

LXFR has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

LXFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$18.5$15.6-16%
2021$15.6$19.3+24%
2022$19.3$13.2-31%
2023$13.2$8.94-32%
2024$8.94$13.1+46%
2025$13.1$14.1+7.5%
2026 YTD$14.1$17.3+23%

LXFR has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.

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