LW

Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.

56
Fundamentals48/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential49/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

LW's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 6.2% of its revenue into free cash flow, but its operating margin fell 2 points to 7.8%. At 30x earnings, it's trading above its usual 26x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.

LW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Stable
Stable
Weak

LW's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

LW PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$26.91-51%
Forward17x$55.23—
Fair26x$47.06-15%
Current30x$55.23—
Expensive39x$70.76+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LW's PE is in its expensive range at 30x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

LW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Stable
Improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect LW's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.

LW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$67.25
Downside-23%$42.49

Calculated from the latest close: $55.23 on Nov 12.

LW's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +22% against −23%.

LW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.72Q1 2024: $7.52Q2 2024: $4.98Q3 2024: $4.26Q4 2024: $2.53Q1 2025: $2.55Q2 2025: $2.50Q3 2025: $2.08Q4 2025: $2.77Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.08Q3 2026: $1.83Forward: $3.33
Q4 2023: $7.72Q1 2024: $7.52Q2 2024: $4.98Q3 2024: $4.26Q4 2024: $2.53Q1 2025: $2.55Q2 2025: $2.50Q3 2025: $2.08Q4 2025: $2.77Q1 2026: $2.13Q2 2026: $2.08Q3 2026: $1.83Forward: $3.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.33+82%
Q3 2026$1.83-12%
Q2 2026$2.08-17%
Q1 2026$2.13-16%
Q4 2025$2.77+9.5%
Q3 2025$2.08-51%
Q2 2025$2.50-50%
Q1 2025$2.55-66%
Q4 2024$2.53-67%

LW's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.83 over the past year, against $7.72 in late 2023.

LW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.7B
Q4 2023: $1.7BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $1.6BQ3 2024: $1.7BQ4 2024: $1.6BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.7BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.6BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.7B+0.7%
Q2 2026$1.8B+5.6%
Q1 2026$1.6B+2.9%
Q4 2025$1.6B+1.1%
Q3 2025$1.7B+0.3%
Q2 2025$1.7B+4%
Q1 2025$1.5B+4.3%
Q4 2024$1.6B-7.6%

LW's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $1.7B last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.

LW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$120MQ1 2024: −$230MQ2 2024: $151MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: −$50MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $295MQ3 2025: $274MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: −$36MQ2 2026: $201MQ3 2026: $146M
Q4 2023: −$120MQ1 2024: −$230MQ2 2024: $151MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: −$50MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: $295MQ3 2025: $274MQ4 2025: $101MQ1 2026: −$36MQ2 2026: $201MQ3 2026: $146M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$146.1M-47%
Q2 2026$201.1M-32%
Q1 2026-$36.3M-$16.5M
Q4 2025$101M+$150.6M
Q3 2025$274.4M+6281%
Q2 2025$295.2M+96%
Q1 2025-$19.8M+$209.7M
Q4 2024-$49.6M+$70.1M

LW generated $412M in free cash flow over the past year, down 18% from the year before.

LW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 146MQ1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 146MQ3 2024: 144MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 142MQ2 2025: 143MQ3 2025: 140MQ4 2025: 140MQ1 2026: 139MQ2 2026: 139MQ3 2026: 138M
Q4 2023: 146MQ1 2024: 145MQ2 2024: 146MQ3 2024: 144MQ4 2024: 143MQ1 2025: 142MQ2 2025: 143MQ3 2025: 140MQ4 2025: 140MQ1 2026: 139MQ2 2026: 139MQ3 2026: 138M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1M shares
1 year-1.2%-1.7M shares
3 years-5.8%-8.5M shares
5 years-6%-8.8M shares
Available history-6.1%-9M shares

LW has 138M diluted shares, down 1.2% from a year ago.

LW Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.1x
Q4 2023: 2.6xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 3.1xQ4 2024: 3.8xQ1 2025: 3.8xQ2 2025: 3.8xQ3 2025: 3.8xQ4 2025: 3.4xQ1 2026: 4.0xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.1xHigh
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.0xElevated
Q4 20253.4xElevated
Q3 20253.8xElevated
Q2 20253.8xElevated
Q1 20253.8xElevated
Q4 20243.8xElevated

LW's net debt is about 4.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 3.8 years a year ago.

LW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.5Neutral
Stochastic88.2Overbought

LW's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

LW PE vs Consumer Defensive Sector

MetricLWSector medianRelative
PE30x19x55% above
PE %661848 pts above

LW is trading at 30x earnings, a 55% premium to the Consumer Defensive sector's median of 19x.

LW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$50.98.5% above
20 week MA$50.39.7% above
50 week MA$47.217% above
100 week MA$52.06.2% above
200 week MA$72.424% below

LW has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 24% below its 200-week average.

LW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$86.1$77.7-9.8%
2021$77.7$61.8-20%
2022$61.8$89.6+45%
2023$89.6$108.1+21%
2024$108.1$67.0-38%
2025$67.0$42.2-37%
2026 YTD$42.2$55.2+31%

LW is up 31% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in four of the previous six years.

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