LVS

Las Vegas Sands Corp.

56
Fundamentals64/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential51/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

LVS has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LVS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Stable

LVS's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LVS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE220x440x660x880x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE220x440x660x880x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$39.33—
Current16x$39.33—
Cheap17x$40.68+3.4%
Fair23x$55.10+40%
Expensive32x$78.82+100%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LVS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 14x.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LVS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Stable
Stable
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LVS's profitability to weaken, with its earnings and revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RIVN has the edge over LVS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

LVS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$47.93
Downside-21%$31.01

Calculated from the latest close: $39.33 on Nov 12.

LVS trails RIVN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LVS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LVS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.60Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $2.14Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.97Q1 2025: $1.80Q2 2025: $1.98Q3 2025: $2.21Q4 2025: $2.34Q1 2026: $2.70Q2 2026: $2.57Q3 2026: $2.44Forward: $2.87
Q4 2023: $1.60Q1 2024: $2.07Q2 2024: $2.14Q3 2024: $2.02Q4 2024: $1.97Q1 2025: $1.80Q2 2025: $1.98Q3 2025: $2.21Q4 2025: $2.34Q1 2026: $2.70Q2 2026: $2.57Q3 2026: $2.44Forward: $2.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.87+18%
Q3 2026$2.44+10%
Q2 2026$2.57+30%
Q1 2026$2.70+50%
Q4 2025$2.34+19%
Q3 2025$2.21+9.4%
Q2 2025$1.98-7.5%
Q1 2025$1.80-13%
Q4 2024$1.97+23%

LVS has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

LVS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $2.9BQ1 2024: $3BQ2 2024: $2.8BQ3 2024: $2.7BQ4 2024: $2.9BQ1 2025: $2.9BQ2 2025: $3.2BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $3.6BQ1 2026: $3.6BQ2 2026: $3.2BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B-3.5%
Q2 2026$3.2B-0.7%
Q1 2026$3.6B+25%
Q4 2025$3.6B+26%
Q3 2025$3.3B+24%
Q2 2025$3.2B+15%
Q1 2025$2.9B-3.3%
Q4 2024$2.9B-0.7%

LVS's revenue is growing: $3.2B last quarter, down 3.5% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over LVS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LVS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $681MQ1 2024: $518MQ2 2024: $529MQ3 2024: $222MQ4 2024: $368MQ1 2025: $147MQ2 2025: −$108MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $930MQ1 2026: $537MQ2 2026: $350MQ3 2026: $589M
Q4 2023: $681MQ1 2024: $518MQ2 2024: $529MQ3 2024: $222MQ4 2024: $368MQ1 2025: $147MQ2 2025: −$108MQ3 2025: $886MQ4 2025: $930MQ1 2026: $537MQ2 2026: $350MQ3 2026: $589M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$589M-34%
Q2 2026$350M+$458M
Q1 2026$537M+265%
Q4 2025$930M+153%
Q3 2025$886M+299%
Q2 2025-$108M-120%
Q1 2025$147M-72%
Q4 2024$368M-46%

LVS has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

LVS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 765MQ1 2024: 752MQ2 2024: 741MQ3 2024: 731MQ4 2024: 737MQ1 2025: 713MQ2 2025: 696MQ3 2025: 685MQ4 2025: 693MQ1 2026: 671MQ2 2026: 656MQ3 2026: 640M
Q4 2023: 765MQ1 2024: 752MQ2 2024: 741MQ3 2024: 731MQ4 2024: 737MQ1 2025: 713MQ2 2025: 696MQ3 2025: 685MQ4 2025: 693MQ1 2026: 671MQ2 2026: 656MQ3 2026: 640M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-2.4%-16M shares
1 year-6.6%-45M shares
3 years-16%-126M shares
5 years-16%-124M shares
Available history-17%-131M shares

LVS has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

LVS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 2.5xQ1 2024: 2.3xQ2 2024: 2.3xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 3.2xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.8xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20252.8xModerate
Q3 20253.0xModerate
Q2 20253.2xElevated
Q1 20253.0xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

LVS's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LVS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.3Neutral
Stochastic29.3Neutral

LVS's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 29 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

LVS PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLVSSector medianRelative
PE16x18x11% below
PE %124735 pts below

LVS is trading at 16x earnings, a 11% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LVS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$37.84.2% above
20 week MA$42.47.2% below
50 week MA$50.522% below
100 week MA$49.220% below
200 week MA$50.021% below

LVS has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

LVS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$69.7$57.0-18%
2021$57.0$38.6-32%
2022$38.6$46.5+21%
2023$46.5$49.2+5.8%
2024$49.2$51.9+5.4%
2025$51.9$66.2+28%
2026 YTD$66.2$39.3-41%

LVS is down 41% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has the edge over LVS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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