LUXE
LuxExperience B.V.
LUXE offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over LUXE overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
LUXE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Strong |
LUXE's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
LUXE PE Valuation
LUXE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
LUXE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
LUXE has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LUXE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$1.34 | -128% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.06 | +$4.55 |
| Q4 2025 | $4.28 | +$4.74 |
| Q3 2025 | $4.28 | +$4.76 |
| Q2 2025 | $4.76 | +$5.09 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.49 | -$0.15 |
| Q2 2022 | -$0.10 | +$0.37 |
LUXE has swung to a loss: it lost $1.34 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE has the edge over LUXE on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LUXE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $738.2M | +13% |
| Q1 2026 | $687.1M | +155% |
| Q4 2025 | $718.7M | +190% |
| Q3 2025 | $637.1M | +184% |
| Q2 2025 | $653M | +165% |
| Q1 2025 | $269.4M | +3.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $247.7M | +13% |
| Q3 2024 | $224.1M | +4.3% |
LUXE has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -3.8% | -106 points |
| Q1 2026 | -5% | -2.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | -1.9% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | -14% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 102% | +103 points |
| Q1 2025 | -2.2% | -1.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | -1.1% | +1.3 points |
| Q3 2024 | -15% | -7.2 points |
LUXE's operating margin was −3.8% last quarter, down 106 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE has the edge over LUXE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LUXE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$5.6M | +$14.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$103.8M | -614% |
| Q4 2025 | $123.2M | +$130.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$165.7M | -$134.7M |
| Q2 2025 | -$20.4M | -154% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.2M | +$38.5M |
| Q4 2024 | -$7.1M | -137% |
| Q3 2024 | -$31.1M | +$9.4M |
LUXE has burned cash in most quarters: −$152M over the past year, against −$38M the year before.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE has the edge over LUXE on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LUXE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +100K shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +15M shares |
| 3 years | +62% | +53.8M shares |
LUXE has 140M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
LUXE hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has the edge over LUXE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
LUXE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -0.2x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 0.5x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | -0.5x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -0.7x | Net Cash |
LUXE has more cash than debt.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
LUXE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 64.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 85.4 | Overbought |
LUXE's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
LUXE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
LUXE has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LUXE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.83 | 7.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.76 | 21% above |
| 50 week MA | $8.52 | 24% above |
| 100 week MA | $8.54 | 24% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.64 | 60% above |
LUXE has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
LUXE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $33.8 | $21.6 | -36% |
| 2022 | $21.6 | $8.98 | -58% |
| 2023 | $8.98 | $3.19 | -64% |
| 2024 | $3.19 | $7.06 | +121% |
| 2025 | $7.06 | $8.46 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.46 | $10.6 | +25% |
LUXE has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.