LUV

Southwest Airlines Co.

78
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential82/ 100
Risk potential13/ 100

LUV has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LUV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Under pressure
Healthy

LUV's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is under pressure.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LUV PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x174x232x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE58x116x174x232x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward14x$45.23—
Current22x$45.23—
Cheap24x$48.84+8%
Fair35x$70.93+57%
Expensive48x$97.15+115%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LUV's PE is in its cheap range at 22x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LUV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LUV, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

LUV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$70.32
Downside-13%$39.55

Calculated from the latest close: $45.23 on Nov 12.

LUV has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RDW, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW trails LUV on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LUV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.14Q3 2024: $-0.06Q4 2024: $0.76Q1 2025: $0.89Q2 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $0.79Q1 2026: $1.50Q2 2026: $1.58Q3 2026: $2.03Forward: $3.27
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.14Q3 2024: $-0.06Q4 2024: $0.76Q1 2025: $0.89Q2 2025: $0.70Q3 2025: $0.69Q4 2025: $0.79Q1 2026: $1.50Q2 2026: $1.58Q3 2026: $2.03Forward: $3.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.27+61%
Q3 2026$2.03+194%
Q2 2026$1.58+126%
Q1 2026$1.50+69%
Q4 2025$0.79+3.9%
Q3 2025$0.69+$0.75
Q2 2025$0.70+400%
Q1 2025$0.89+39%
Q4 2024$0.760%

LUV has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.

LUV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $6.3BQ2 2024: $7.4BQ3 2024: $6.9BQ4 2024: $6.9BQ1 2025: $6.4BQ2 2025: $7.2BQ3 2025: $6.9BQ4 2025: $7.4BQ1 2026: $7.2BQ2 2026: $8.4BQ3 2026: $8.4B
Q4 2023: $6.8BQ1 2024: $6.3BQ2 2024: $7.4BQ3 2024: $6.9BQ4 2024: $6.9BQ1 2025: $6.4BQ2 2025: $7.2BQ3 2025: $6.9BQ4 2025: $7.4BQ1 2026: $7.2BQ2 2026: $8.4BQ3 2026: $8.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.4B+21%
Q2 2026$8.4B+16%
Q1 2026$7.2B+13%
Q4 2025$7.4B+7.4%
Q3 2025$6.9B+1.1%
Q2 2025$7.2B-1.5%
Q1 2025$6.4B+1.6%
Q4 2024$6.9B+1.6%

LUV's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $8.4B last quarter, up 21% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

LUV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$283MQ1 2024: −$687MQ2 2024: −$517MQ3 2024: −$404MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $359MQ2 2025: −$234MQ3 2025: −$391MQ4 2025: −$564MQ1 2026: $788MQ2 2026: −$288MQ3 2026: −$493M
Q4 2023: −$283MQ1 2024: −$687MQ2 2024: −$517MQ3 2024: −$404MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $359MQ2 2025: −$234MQ3 2025: −$391MQ4 2025: −$564MQ1 2026: $788MQ2 2026: −$288MQ3 2026: −$493M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$493M-$102M
Q2 2026-$288M-$54M
Q1 2026$788M+119%
Q4 2025-$564M-3625%
Q3 2025-$391M+$13M
Q2 2025-$234M+$283M
Q1 2025$359M+$1B
Q4 2024$16M+$299M

LUV has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

LUV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 640MQ1 2024: 597MQ2 2024: 643MQ3 2024: 601MQ4 2024: 643MQ1 2025: 584MQ2 2025: 541MQ3 2025: 526MQ4 2025: 558MQ1 2026: 503MQ2 2026: 493MQ3 2026: 494M
Q4 2023: 640MQ1 2024: 597MQ2 2024: 643MQ3 2024: 601MQ4 2024: 643MQ1 2025: 584MQ2 2025: 541MQ3 2025: 526MQ4 2025: 558MQ1 2026: 503MQ2 2026: 493MQ3 2026: 494M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+1M shares
1 year-6.1%-32M shares
3 years-23%-146M shares
5 years-19%-113M shares
Available history-8.3%-45M shares

LUV has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

LUV Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.8x
Q4 2023: -0.7xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.4xQ4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.7xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.8xQ1 2026: 0.8xQ2 2026: 0.8xQ3 2026: 0.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.8xVery low
Q2 20260.8xVery low
Q1 20260.8xVery low
Q4 20250.8xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 2025-0.7xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

LUV's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LUV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI55.9Neutral
Stochastic59.2Neutral

LUV's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

LUV PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricLUVSector medianRelative
PE22x24x7.4% below
PE %155843 pts below

LUV is trading at 22x earnings, in line with the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LUV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$42.56.4% above
20 week MA$43.44.2% above
50 week MA$43.24.7% above
100 week MA$37.521% above
200 week MA$33.834% above

LUV has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

LUV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.3$46.3-15%
2021$46.3$41.9-9.5%
2022$41.9$36.1-14%
2023$36.1$28.9-20%
2024$28.9$34.0+18%
2025$34.0$41.3+21%
2026 YTD$41.3$45.2+9.6%

LUV has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 9.6% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over LUV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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