LUNR

Intuitive Machines, Inc.

51
Fundamentals57/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential47/ 100

LUNR's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

RKLB

Rocket Lab USA, Inc.

56
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

RKLB has the edge over LUNR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

LUNR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

LUNR's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

RKLB Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LUNR PE Valuation

LUNR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE Valuation

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LUNR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses steady
Strong growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LUNR's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

RKLB Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

RKLB has the edge over LUNR on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.

LUNR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$25.00
Downside-47%$6.85

Calculated from the latest close: $13.03 on Nov 12.

LUNR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RKLB, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RKLB Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$120.71
Downside-46%$34.64

Calculated from the latest close: $64.07 on Nov 12.

RKLB trails LUNR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LUNR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $-4.66Q1 2025: $-2.07Q2 2025: $-2.58Q3 2025: $-1.81Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $-0.87Q2 2026: $-0.94
Q4 2024: $-4.66Q1 2025: $-2.07Q2 2025: $-2.58Q3 2025: $-1.81Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $-0.87Q2 2026: $-0.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.94+$1.64
Q1 2026-$0.87+$1.20
Q4 2025-$0.73+$3.93

LUNR has the edge over RKLB in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

RKLB Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
Q4 2023: $-0.38Q1 2024: $-0.37Q2 2024: $-0.35Q3 2024: $-0.37Q4 2024: $-0.38Q1 2025: $-0.41Q2 2025: $-0.46Q3 2025: $-0.39Q4 2025: $-0.37Q1 2026: $-0.32Q2 2026: $-0.27Q3 2026: $-0.36
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.36+$0.03
Q2 2026-$0.27+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.32+$0.09
Q4 2025-$0.37+$0.01
Q3 2025-$0.39-$0.02
Q2 2025-$0.46-$0.11
Q1 2025-$0.41-$0.04
Q4 2024-$0.38$0.00

RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.

LUNR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $55MQ1 2025: $63MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $206MQ3 2026: $269M
Q4 2024: $55MQ1 2025: $63MQ2 2025: $50MQ3 2025: $52MQ4 2025: $45MQ1 2026: $187MQ2 2026: $206MQ3 2026: $269M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$269.3M+414%
Q2 2026$206.2M+310%
Q1 2026$186.7M+199%
Q4 2025$44.8M-18%

LUNR's revenue is growing: $269M last quarter, up 414% from the same quarter a year ago.

RKLB Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
Q4 2023: $60MQ1 2024: $93MQ2 2024: $106MQ3 2024: $105MQ4 2024: $132MQ1 2025: $123MQ2 2025: $144MQ3 2025: $155MQ4 2025: $180MQ1 2026: $200MQ2 2026: $234MQ3 2026: $268M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$267.8M+73%
Q2 2026$234.1M+62%
Q1 2026$200.3M+63%
Q4 2025$179.7M+36%
Q3 2025$155.1M+48%
Q2 2025$144.5M+36%
Q1 2025$122.6M+32%
Q4 2024$132.4M+121%

RKLB's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2021: $268M last quarter, up 73% from the same quarter a year ago.

LUNR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: −$27MQ3 2025: −$19MQ4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: −$65MQ2 2026: −$81MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: −$27MQ3 2025: −$19MQ4 2025: −$23MQ1 2026: −$65MQ2 2026: −$81MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$81.2M-$53.9M
Q1 2026-$64.6M-586%
Q4 2025-$22.9M-$16.1M

LUNR and RKLB do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

RKLB Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
Q4 2023: −$53MQ1 2024: −$22MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$83MQ2 2025: −$55MQ3 2025: −$69MQ4 2025: −$114MQ1 2026: −$77MQ2 2026: −$110MQ3 2026: −$24M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$23.9M+$45.5M
Q2 2026-$110.1M-$54.8M
Q1 2026-$77.4M+$5.5M
Q4 2025-$114.2M-$90.2M
Q3 2025-$69.4M-$27.5M
Q2 2025-$55.3M-$26.9M
Q1 2025-$82.9M-$61.1M
Q4 2024-$23.9M+$28.7M

RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.

LUNR Total Shares

Q4 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 162M
Q4 2024: 61MQ1 2025: 107MQ2 2025: 117MQ3 2025: 118MQ4 2025: 115MQ1 2026: 148MQ2 2026: 162M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.7%+14.3M shares
1 year+38%+44.7M shares

LUNR has 162M diluted shares, up 38% from a year ago.

RKLB Total Shares

Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
Q4 2023: 482MQ1 2024: 490MQ2 2024: 494MQ3 2024: 498MQ4 2024: 496MQ1 2025: 506MQ2 2025: 515MQ3 2025: 529MQ4 2025: 531MQ1 2026: 605MQ2 2026: 630MQ3 2026: 652M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+3.6%+22.6M shares
1 year+23%+124M shares
3 years+35%+168M shares
5 years+46%+204M shares

RKLB has the edge over LUNR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LUNR Net Leverage

LUNR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

RKLB Net Leverage

RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LUNR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.9Neutral
Stochastic20.5Neutral

LUNR's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).

RKLB Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic27.6Neutral

RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

LUNR PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricLUNRSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

LUNR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector

RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LUNR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$12.45.3% above
20 week MA$14.38.8% below
50 week MA$18.931% below
100 week MA$15.415% below
200 week MA$11.316% above

LUNR's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 16% above its 200-week average.

RKLB Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$61.44.3% above
20 week MA$68.15.9% below
50 week MA$77.617% below
100 week MA$56.513% above
200 week MA$31.4104% above

RKLB has the edge over LUNR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LUNR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$9.66$9.69+0.3%
2022$9.69$10.0+3.2%
2023$10.0$2.56-74%
2024$2.56$18.4+618%
2025$18.4$15.3-17%
2026 YTD$15.3$13.0-15%

LUNR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +618% in 2024 to −74% in 2023. It's down 15% so far in 2026.

RKLB Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.82$10.3+4.9%
2021$10.3$12.0+17%
2022$12.0$3.77-69%
2023$3.77$5.53+47%
2024$5.53$27.2+392%
2025$27.2$70.7+160%
2026 YTD$70.7$64.1-9.3%

RKLB has the edge over LUNR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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