LUNR
Intuitive Machines, Inc.
LUNR has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over LUNR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
LUNR Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
LUNR's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LUNR PE Valuation
LUNR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LUNR Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses steady | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect LUNR's revenue to grow and its profitability to improve, with its earnings holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
RDW has the edge over LUNR on the outlook, with more favorable earnings expectations.
LUNR Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.94 | +$1.64 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.87 | +$1.20 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.73 | +$3.93 |
LUNR has the edge over RDW in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
LUNR Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $269.3M | +414% |
| Q2 2026 | $206.2M | +310% |
| Q1 2026 | $186.7M | +199% |
| Q4 2025 | $44.8M | -18% |
LUNR's revenue is growing: $269M last quarter, up 414% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -23% | +34 points |
| Q1 2026 | -21% | -4.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | -74% | -49 points |
| Q3 2025 | -29% | N/A |
| Q2 2025 | -57% | N/A |
| Q1 2025 | -16% | N/A |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | N/A |
LUNR has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LUNR Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$81.2M | -$53.9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$64.6M | -586% |
| Q4 2025 | -$22.9M | -$16.1M |
LUNR and RDW do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
LUNR Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.7% | +14.3M shares |
| 1 year | +38% | +44.7M shares |
LUNR has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $20.7M |
LUNR hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
LUNR Net Leverage
LUNR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LUNR Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 20.5 | Neutral |
LUNR's weekly RSI is 44 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
LUNR PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | LUNR | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
LUNR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LUNR Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $12.4 | 5.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $14.3 | 8.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 31% below |
| 100 week MA | $15.4 | 15% below |
| 200 week MA | $11.3 | 16% above |
LUNR has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
LUNR Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.66 | $9.69 | +0.3% |
| 2022 | $9.69 | $10.0 | +3.2% |
| 2023 | $10.0 | $2.56 | -74% |
| 2024 | $2.56 | $18.4 | +618% |
| 2025 | $18.4 | $15.3 | -17% |
| 2026 YTD | $15.3 | $13.0 | -15% |
LUNR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +618% in 2024 to −74% in 2023. It's down 15% so far in 2026.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over LUNR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.