LUMN
Lumen Technologies, Inc.
LUMN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
TMUS
T-Mobile US, Inc.
TMUS has the edge over LUMN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
LUMN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak | |
| Weak |
LUMN's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
TMUS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
TMUS's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
LUMN PE Valuation
LUMN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TMUS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 13x | $171 | — |
| Current | 16x | $171 | — |
| Cheap | 21x | $218 | +27% |
| Fair | 26x | $274 | +60% |
| Expensive | 56x | $581 | +240% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
TMUS's PE is in its cheap range at 16x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings.
LUMN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Decline | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect LUMN's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.
TMUS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
TMUS has the edge over LUMN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.
LUMN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.67 | +$0.99 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.03 | +$0.16 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.75 | -$1.43 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.75 | -$1.69 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.66 | +$0.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.19 | +$0.92 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.32 | +$10.62 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.06 | +$10.42 |
LUMN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.67 per share over the past year, against $11.48 at its worst in late 2023.
TMUS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.49 | +30% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.37 | -0.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $9.56 | -9.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $9.41 | -8.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.72 | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.39 | +18% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.59 | +33% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.24 | +39% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.66 | +39% |
TMUS has the edge over LUMN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LUMN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.7B | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | -9.3% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.9B | -8.9% |
| Q4 2025 | $3B | -8.7% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.1B | -4.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.1B | -5.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.2B | -3.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.3B | -5.3% |
LUMN's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $2.7B last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -6.2% | -2.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1% | +16 points |
| Q1 2026 | 21% | +17 points |
| Q4 2025 | -6.6% | -11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -3.8% | -7.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | -20% | -24 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.4% | +2 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.6% | +55 points |
LUMN's operating margin was −6.2% last quarter, down 2.4 points from the same quarter a year ago.
TMUS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $23.6B | +7.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $22.8B | +7.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $23.1B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $24.3B | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $22B | +8.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $21.1B | +6.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $20.9B | +6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $21.9B | +6.8% |
TMUS has the edge over LUMN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 24% | +3.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 24% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | -3.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 15% | -5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 21% | -3.2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 25% | +1.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 23% | +2.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 21% | +4 points |
TMUS has the edge over LUMN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LUMN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$354M | -124% |
| Q2 2026 | $69M | +$390M |
| Q1 2026 | $380M | +25% |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$855M |
| Q3 2025 | $1.5B | +24% |
| Q2 2025 | -$321M | -$79M |
| Q1 2025 | $304M | -22% |
| Q4 2024 | -$227M | -$190M |
LUMN's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$987M over the past year.
TMUS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $5.1B | +5.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +4.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $4.6B | +4.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $4.2B | +25% |
| Q3 2025 | $4.8B | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | $4.6B | +32% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B | +79% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.3B | +2% |
TMUS has the edge over LUMN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
LUMN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +669K shares |
| 1 year | +0.9% | +8.8M shares |
| 3 years | +2.2% | +21.2M shares |
| 5 years | -6% | -64.4M shares |
| Available history | -6.2% | -66.7M shares |
LUMN has 1B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | $200M |
| Q4 2021 | $91M |
TMUS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1% | -10.8M shares |
| 1 year | -4.9% | -55M shares |
| 3 years | -8.8% | -103M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -182M shares |
| Available history | +24% | +207M shares |
TMUS has the edge over LUMN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q2 2026 | $2.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q4 2025 | $2.4B |
| Q3 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q2 2025 | $2.6B |
| Q1 2025 | $2.5B |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7B |
TMUS spent $12B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 1.7% from the year before.
LUMN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 4.3x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 3.9x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.8x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 8.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 6.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.2x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.6x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.7x | High |
LUMN's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.4 years a year ago.
TMUS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.0x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | -0.0x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | 2.4x | Moderate |
TMUS has the edge over LUMN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LUMN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.2 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.7 | Oversold |
LUMN's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
TMUS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 42.1 | Neutral |
TMUS's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
LUMN PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | LUMN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 16x | — |
LUMN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
TMUS PE vs Communication Services Sector
| Metric | TMUS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 16x | 16x | Same PE |
| PE % | 1 | 26 | 25 pts below |
TMUS is trading at 16x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.
LUMN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.88 | 15% below |
| 20 week MA | $5.81 | 28% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.24 | 42% below |
| 100 week MA | $6.23 | 33% below |
| 200 week MA | $4.53 | 7.9% below |
LUMN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 7.9% below its 200-week average.
TMUS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $159.1 | 7.5% above |
| 20 week MA | $172.0 | 0.5% below |
| 50 week MA | $187.8 | 8.9% below |
| 100 week MA | $212.9 | 20% below |
| 200 week MA | $188.7 | 9.4% below |
TMUS has the edge over LUMN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LUMN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $13.4 | $9.86 | -27% |
| 2021 | $9.86 | $12.8 | +30% |
| 2022 | $12.8 | $5.24 | -59% |
| 2023 | $5.24 | $1.83 | -65% |
| 2024 | $1.83 | $5.49 | +200% |
| 2025 | $5.49 | $7.69 | +40% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.69 | $4.17 | -46% |
LUMN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2024 to −65% in 2023. It's down 46% so far in 2026.
TMUS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $77.2 | $132.9 | +72% |
| 2021 | $132.9 | $119.9 | -9.8% |
| 2022 | $119.9 | $140.0 | +17% |
| 2023 | $140.0 | $160.3 | +15% |
| 2024 | $160.3 | $223.0 | +39% |
| 2025 | $223.0 | $201.0 | -9.9% |
| 2026 YTD | $201.0 | $171.0 | -15% |
TMUS has the edge over LUMN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.