LUMN

Lumen Technologies, Inc.

48
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

LUMN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

79
Fundamentals79/ 100
Valuation91/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NFLX has the edge over LUMN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

LUMN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Weak
Weak

LUMN's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

NFLX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

NFLX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LUMN PE Valuation

LUMN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE29x59x88x117x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward17x$62.69—
Current18x$62.69—
Cheap27x$94.95+51%
Fair47x$161+157%
Expensive81x$281+348%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NFLX's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 17x next year's earnings.

LUMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect LUMN's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.

NFLX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

NFLX has the edge over LUMN on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

LUMN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$6.32
Downside-34%$2.75

Calculated from the latest close: $4.17 on Nov 12.

LUMN trails NFLX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NFLX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$98.20
Downside-9%$56.77

Calculated from the latest close: $62.69 on Nov 12.

NFLX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LUMN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LUMN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-10.48Q1 2024: $-10.94Q2 2024: $-2.11Q3 2024: $-2.18Q4 2024: $-0.06Q1 2025: $-0.32Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-1.66Q4 2025: $-1.75Q1 2026: $-1.75Q2 2026: $-1.03Q3 2026: $-0.67
Q4 2023: $-10.48Q1 2024: $-10.94Q2 2024: $-2.11Q3 2024: $-2.18Q4 2024: $-0.06Q1 2025: $-0.32Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-1.66Q4 2025: $-1.75Q1 2026: $-1.75Q2 2026: $-1.03Q3 2026: $-0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.67+$0.99
Q2 2026-$1.03+$0.16
Q1 2026-$1.75-$1.43
Q4 2025-$1.75-$1.69
Q3 2025-$1.66+$0.52
Q2 2025-$1.19+$0.92
Q1 2025-$0.32+$10.62
Q4 2024-$0.06+$10.42

LUMN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.67 per share over the past year, against $11.48 at its worst in late 2023.

NFLX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.44Q2 2024: $1.60Q3 2024: $1.77Q4 2024: $1.98Q1 2025: $2.12Q2 2025: $2.35Q3 2025: $2.39Q4 2025: $2.53Q1 2026: $3.10Q2 2026: $3.18Q3 2026: $3.46Forward: $3.58
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.58+3.5%
Q3 2026$3.46+45%
Q2 2026$3.18+35%
Q1 2026$3.10+46%
Q4 2025$2.53+28%
Q3 2025$2.39+35%
Q2 2025$2.35+47%
Q1 2025$2.12+47%
Q4 2024$1.98+65%

NFLX has the edge over LUMN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LUMN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B-12%
Q2 2026$2.8B-9.3%
Q1 2026$2.9B-8.9%
Q4 2025$3B-8.7%
Q3 2025$3.1B-4.2%
Q2 2025$3.1B-5.4%
Q1 2025$3.2B-3.3%
Q4 2024$3.3B-5.3%

LUMN's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $2.7B last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

NFLX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
Q4 2023: $8.8BQ1 2024: $9.4BQ2 2024: $9.6BQ3 2024: $9.8BQ4 2024: $10.2BQ1 2025: $10.5BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.5BQ4 2025: $12.1BQ1 2026: $12.2BQ2 2026: $12.6BQ3 2026: $12.9B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$12.9B+12%
Q2 2026$12.6B+13%
Q1 2026$12.2B+16%
Q4 2025$12.1B+18%
Q3 2025$11.5B+17%
Q2 2025$11.1B+16%
Q1 2025$10.5B+13%
Q4 2024$10.2B+16%

NFLX has the edge over LUMN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LUMN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: $389MQ2 2024: −$242MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: −$227MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: −$321MQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: $380MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: −$354M
Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: $389MQ2 2024: −$242MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: −$227MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: −$321MQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: $380MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: −$354M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$354M-124%
Q2 2026$69M+$390M
Q1 2026$380M+25%
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$855M
Q3 2025$1.5B+24%
Q2 2025-$321M-$79M
Q1 2025$304M-22%
Q4 2024-$227M-$190M

LUMN's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$987M over the past year.

NFLX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
Q4 2023: $1.6BQ1 2024: $2.1BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $2.2BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $2.7BQ2 2025: $2.3BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $1.9BQ1 2026: $5.1BQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: $2.9B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9B+8.4%
Q2 2026$1.5B-33%
Q1 2026$5.1B+91%
Q4 2025$1.9B+36%
Q3 2025$2.7B+21%
Q2 2025$2.3B+87%
Q1 2025$2.7B+25%
Q4 2024$1.4B-13%

NFLX has the edge over LUMN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LUMN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 983MQ1 2024: 986MQ2 2024: 987MQ3 2024: 989MQ4 2024: 988MQ1 2025: 991MQ2 2025: 995MQ3 2025: 996MQ4 2025: 995MQ1 2026: 999MQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
Q4 2023: 983MQ1 2024: 986MQ2 2024: 987MQ3 2024: 989MQ4 2024: 988MQ1 2025: 991MQ2 2025: 995MQ3 2025: 996MQ4 2025: 995MQ1 2026: 999MQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+669K shares
1 year+0.9%+8.8M shares
3 years+2.2%+21.2M shares
5 years-6%-64.4M shares
Available history-6.2%-66.7M shares

LUMN has 1B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

NFLX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
Q4 2023: 4.5BQ1 2024: 4.4BQ2 2024: 4.4BQ3 2024: 4.4BQ4 2024: 4.4BQ1 2025: 4.4BQ2 2025: 4.3BQ3 2025: 4.3BQ4 2025: 4.3BQ1 2026: 4.3BQ2 2026: 4.3BQ3 2026: 4.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.6%-66.2M shares
1 year-3.3%-145M shares
3 years-6.8%-305M shares
5 years-7.8%-354M shares
Available history-7.1%-323M shares

NFLX has the edge over LUMN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LUMN Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 10.5xQ3 2024: 10.8xQ4 2024: 4.7xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 6.4xQ4 2025: 8.5xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.3x
Q2 2024: 10.5xQ3 2024: 10.8xQ4 2024: 4.7xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 6.4xQ4 2025: 8.5xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.3xHigh
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.8xHigh
Q4 20258.5xHigh
Q3 20256.4xHigh
Q2 20256.2xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20244.7xHigh

LUMN's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.4 years a year ago.

NFLX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
Q4 2023: 1.0xQ1 2024: 0.9xQ2 2024: 0.8xQ3 2024: 0.9xQ4 2024: 0.7xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.4xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.4xQ3 2026: 0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.4xVery low
Q2 20260.4xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.4xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.7xVery low

NFLX has the edge over LUMN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LUMN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

LUMN's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

NFLX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.2Neutral
Stochastic6.0Oversold

NFLX's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

LUMN PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricLUMNSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

LUMN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NFLX PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricNFLXSector medianRelative
PE18x16x9.8% above
PE %42622 pts below

NFLX is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

LUMN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.8815% below
20 week MA$5.8128% below
50 week MA$7.2442% below
100 week MA$6.2333% below
200 week MA$4.537.9% below

LUMN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 7.9% below its 200-week average.

NFLX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.65.9% below
20 week MA$71.813% below
50 week MA$82.424% below
100 week MA$96.035% below
200 week MA$74.416% below

NFLX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 16% below its 200-week average.

LUMN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.4$9.86-27%
2021$9.86$12.8+30%
2022$12.8$5.24-59%
2023$5.24$1.83-65%
2024$1.83$5.49+200%
2025$5.49$7.69+40%
2026 YTD$7.69$4.17-46%

LUMN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2024 to −65% in 2023. It's down 46% so far in 2026.

NFLX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$32.9$51.4+56%
2021$51.4$61.4+19%
2022$61.4$29.5-52%
2023$29.5$48.7+65%
2024$48.7$90.8+86%
2025$90.8$94.5+4.1%
2026 YTD$94.5$62.7-34%

NFLX has the edge over LUMN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key