LUMN

Lumen Technologies, Inc.

48
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

LUMN trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

META

Meta Platforms, Inc.

65
Fundamentals60/ 100
Valuation67/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

META has the edge over LUMN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LUMN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Stable
Weak
Weak

LUMN's profitability is currently stable, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

META Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Stable
Healthy

META's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.

LUMN PE Valuation

LUMN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

META PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward19x$624—
Cheap21x$613-1.7%
Current21x$624—
Fair27x$803+29%
Expensive32x$934+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

META's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 19x next year's earnings.

LUMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect LUMN's losses to shrink, with revenue declining.

META Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Strong growth
Strongly weakening
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for META, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LUMN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$6.32
Downside-34%$2.75

Calculated from the latest close: $4.17 on Nov 12.

LUMN trails META on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

META Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+33%$829.21
Downside-18%$513.25

Calculated from the latest close: $623.61 on Nov 12.

META has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LUMN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LUMN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-10.48Q1 2024: $-10.94Q2 2024: $-2.11Q3 2024: $-2.18Q4 2024: $-0.06Q1 2025: $-0.32Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-1.66Q4 2025: $-1.75Q1 2026: $-1.75Q2 2026: $-1.03Q3 2026: $-0.67
Q4 2023: $-10.48Q1 2024: $-10.94Q2 2024: $-2.11Q3 2024: $-2.18Q4 2024: $-0.06Q1 2025: $-0.32Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-1.66Q4 2025: $-1.75Q1 2026: $-1.75Q2 2026: $-1.03Q3 2026: $-0.67
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.67+$0.99
Q2 2026-$1.03+$0.16
Q1 2026-$1.75-$1.43
Q4 2025-$1.75-$1.69
Q3 2025-$1.66+$0.52
Q2 2025-$1.19+$0.92
Q1 2025-$0.32+$10.62
Q4 2024-$0.06+$10.42

LUMN is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.67 per share over the past year, against $11.48 at its worst in late 2023.

META Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
Q4 2023: $14.87Q1 2024: $17.38Q2 2024: $19.56Q3 2024: $21.20Q4 2024: $23.86Q1 2025: $25.58Q2 2025: $27.56Q3 2025: $22.58Q4 2025: $23.49Q1 2026: $27.50Q2 2026: $26.54Q3 2026: $29.32Forward: $32.16
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$32.16+9.7%
Q3 2026$29.32+30%
Q2 2026$26.54-3.7%
Q1 2026$27.50+7.5%
Q4 2025$23.49-1.6%
Q3 2025$22.58+6.5%
Q2 2025$27.56+41%
Q1 2025$25.58+47%
Q4 2024$23.86+60%

META has the edge over LUMN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LUMN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.7B
Q4 2023: $3.5BQ1 2024: $3.3BQ2 2024: $3.3BQ3 2024: $3.2BQ4 2024: $3.3BQ1 2025: $3.2BQ2 2025: $3.1BQ3 2025: $3.1BQ4 2025: $3BQ1 2026: $2.9BQ2 2026: $2.8BQ3 2026: $2.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.7B-12%
Q2 2026$2.8B-9.3%
Q1 2026$2.9B-8.9%
Q4 2025$3B-8.7%
Q3 2025$3.1B-4.2%
Q2 2025$3.1B-5.4%
Q1 2025$3.2B-3.3%
Q4 2024$3.3B-5.3%

LUMN's revenue has slid since its 2019 peak: $2.7B last quarter, down 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

META Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
Q4 2023: $40.1BQ1 2024: $36.5BQ2 2024: $39.1BQ3 2024: $40.6BQ4 2024: $48.4BQ1 2025: $42.3BQ2 2025: $47.5BQ3 2025: $51.2BQ4 2025: $59.9BQ1 2026: $56.3BQ2 2026: $60.8BQ3 2026: $64.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$64.6B+26%
Q2 2026$60.8B+28%
Q1 2026$56.3B+33%
Q4 2025$59.9B+24%
Q3 2025$51.2B+26%
Q2 2025$47.5B+22%
Q1 2025$42.3B+16%
Q4 2024$48.4B+21%

META has the edge over LUMN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LUMN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: $389MQ2 2024: −$242MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: −$227MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: −$321MQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: $380MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: −$354M
Q4 2023: −$37MQ1 2024: $389MQ2 2024: −$242MQ3 2024: $1.2BQ4 2024: −$227MQ1 2025: $304MQ2 2025: −$321MQ3 2025: $1.5BQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: $380MQ2 2026: $69MQ3 2026: −$354M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$354M-124%
Q2 2026$69M+$390M
Q1 2026$380M+25%
Q4 2025-$1.1B-$855M
Q3 2025$1.5B+24%
Q2 2025-$321M-$79M
Q1 2025$304M-22%
Q4 2024-$227M-$190M

LUMN's free cash flow has turned negative after years in the green: −$987M over the past year.

META Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
Q4 2023: $11.7BQ1 2024: $12.8BQ2 2024: $11.2BQ3 2024: $16.5BQ4 2024: $13.6BQ1 2025: $11.1BQ2 2025: $9BQ3 2025: $11.2BQ4 2025: $14.8BQ1 2026: $13.2BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: −$1.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.2B-110%
Q2 2026$1.7B-81%
Q1 2026$13.2B+19%
Q4 2025$14.8B+9.3%
Q3 2025$11.2B-32%
Q2 2025$9B-19%
Q1 2025$11.1B-14%
Q4 2024$13.6B+16%

META has the edge over LUMN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LUMN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 983MQ1 2024: 986MQ2 2024: 987MQ3 2024: 989MQ4 2024: 988MQ1 2025: 991MQ2 2025: 995MQ3 2025: 996MQ4 2025: 995MQ1 2026: 999MQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
Q4 2023: 983MQ1 2024: 986MQ2 2024: 987MQ3 2024: 989MQ4 2024: 988MQ1 2025: 991MQ2 2025: 995MQ3 2025: 996MQ4 2025: 995MQ1 2026: 999MQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+669K shares
1 year+0.9%+8.8M shares
3 years+2.2%+21.2M shares
5 years-6%-64.4M shares
Available history-6.2%-66.7M shares

LUMN has 1B diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

META Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
Q4 2023: 2.6BQ1 2024: 2.6BQ2 2024: 2.6BQ3 2024: 2.6BQ4 2024: 2.6BQ1 2025: 2.6BQ2 2025: 2.6BQ3 2025: 2.6BQ4 2025: 2.6BQ1 2026: 2.6BQ2 2026: 2.6BQ3 2026: 2.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+7M shares
1 year0%+1M shares
3 years-2.6%-68M shares
5 years-10%-286M shares
Available history-11%-303M shares

META has the edge over LUMN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LUMN Net Leverage

Q2 2024: 10.5xQ3 2024: 10.8xQ4 2024: 4.7xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 6.4xQ4 2025: 8.5xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.3x
Q2 2024: 10.5xQ3 2024: 10.8xQ4 2024: 4.7xQ1 2025: 4.6xQ2 2025: 6.2xQ3 2025: 6.4xQ4 2025: 8.5xQ1 2026: 4.8xQ2 2026: 3.9xQ3 2026: 4.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20264.3xHigh
Q2 20263.9xElevated
Q1 20264.8xHigh
Q4 20258.5xHigh
Q3 20256.4xHigh
Q2 20256.2xHigh
Q1 20254.6xHigh
Q4 20244.7xHigh

LUMN's net debt is about 4.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 6.4 years a year ago.

META Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
Q4 2023: -0.4xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.0xQ2 2025: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.2xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.6xQ3 2026: 0.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.7xVery low
Q2 20260.6xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.2xVery low
Q2 20250.2xVery low
Q1 20250.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

META has the edge over LUMN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LUMN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.2Neutral
Stochastic11.7Oversold

LUMN's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

META Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.2Neutral
Stochastic33.7Neutral

META's weekly RSI is 48 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 34 (neutral).

LUMN PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricLUMNSector medianRelative
PEN/A16x—

LUMN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

META PE vs Communication Services Sector

MetricMETASector medianRelative
PE21x16x29% above
PE %18268 pts below

META is trading at 21x earnings, a 29% premium to the Communication Services sector's median of 16x.

LUMN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$4.8815% below
20 week MA$5.8128% below
50 week MA$7.2442% below
100 week MA$6.2333% below
200 week MA$4.537.9% below

LUMN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 7.9% below its 200-week average.

META Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$674.97.6% below
20 week MA$634.51.7% below
50 week MA$630.81.1% below
100 week MA$647.83.7% below
200 week MA$517.521% above

META has the edge over LUMN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LUMN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.4$9.86-27%
2021$9.86$12.8+30%
2022$12.8$5.24-59%
2023$5.24$1.83-65%
2024$1.83$5.49+200%
2025$5.49$7.69+40%
2026 YTD$7.69$4.17-46%

LUMN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +200% in 2024 to −65% in 2023. It's down 46% so far in 2026.

META Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$208.1$267.4+28%
2021$267.4$335.2+25%
2022$335.2$118.0-65%
2023$118.0$354.0+200%
2024$354.0$599.8+69%
2025$599.8$663.3+11%
2026 YTD$663.3$623.6-6%

META has the edge over LUMN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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