LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation
LUCK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has the edge over LUCK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
LUCK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
LUCK's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LUCK PE Valuation
LUCK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LUCK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for LUCK to show an outlook.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LUCK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | -$0.04 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.33 | -$0.20 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.62 | -$0.59 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.65 | -2267% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.38 | +$0.19 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.13 | +$0.48 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.03 | -106% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.03 | -83% |
LUCK lost $0.42 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN has the edge over LUCK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LUCK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $302.6M | +3.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $303.9M | +0.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $342.2M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $306.9M | +2.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $292.3M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $301.2M | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $339.9M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $300.1M | -1.8% |
LUCK's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $303M last quarter, up 3.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.3% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -4.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | -0.6 points |
LUCK has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over LUCK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
LUCK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$4.4M | +$27.9M |
| Q2 2026 | -$35.5M | -$34.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $42.9M | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.2M | +$26.9M |
| Q3 2025 | -$32.3M | -$20.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.1M | +$39.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $61.1M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | -$11.7M | -$3.9M |
LUCK has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
LUCK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -1.9M shares |
| 1 year | -2.7% | -3.8M shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -34.2M shares |
| 5 years | +1336% | +125M shares |
LUCK has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $129,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $3.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $7M |
| Q1 2025 | $19.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $37.8M |
LUCK spent $30M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 57% from the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
LUCK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.6x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.8x | High |
LUCK's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.4 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LUCK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 21.1 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
LUCK's weekly RSI is 21 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
LUCK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LUCK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
LUCK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LUCK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.43 | 30% below |
| 20 week MA | $5.79 | 46% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.29 | 57% below |
| 100 week MA | $8.47 | 63% below |
| 200 week MA | $10.4 | 70% below |
LUCK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 70% below its 200-week average.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
LUCK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.70 | $9.15 | -5.7% |
| 2022 | $9.15 | $13.3 | +45% |
| 2023 | $13.3 | $14.2 | +6.5% |
| 2024 | $14.2 | $10.8 | -24% |
| 2025 | $10.8 | $8.89 | -18% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.89 | $3.12 | -65% |
LUCK has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 65% so far in 2026.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has the edge over LUCK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.