LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation
LUCK offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over LUCK overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.
LUCK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
LUCK's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
LUCK PE Valuation
LUCK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE's PE is in its cheap range at 18x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 30x, in its fair range.
LUCK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for LUCK to show an outlook.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LUCK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | -$0.04 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.33 | -$0.20 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.62 | -$0.59 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.65 | -2267% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.38 | +$0.19 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.13 | +$0.48 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.03 | -106% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.03 | -83% |
LUCK lost $0.42 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE has the edge over LUCK on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
LUCK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $302.6M | +3.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $303.9M | +0.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $342.2M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $306.9M | +2.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $292.3M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $301.2M | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $339.9M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $300.1M | -1.8% |
LUCK has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.3% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -4.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | -0.6 points |
LUCK has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
LUCK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$4.4M | +$27.9M |
| Q2 2026 | -$35.5M | -$34.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $42.9M | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.2M | +$26.9M |
| Q3 2025 | -$32.3M | -$20.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.1M | +$39.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $61.1M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | -$11.7M | -$3.9M |
LUCK has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
LUCK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -1.9M shares |
| 1 year | -2.7% | -3.8M shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -34.2M shares |
| 5 years | +1336% | +125M shares |
LUCK has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $129,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $3.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $7M |
| Q1 2025 | $19.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $37.8M |
LUCK spent $30M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 57% from the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
LUCK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.6x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.8x | High |
LUCK's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.4 years a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over LUCK on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LUCK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 21.1 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
LUCK's weekly RSI is 21 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
LUCK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LUCK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
LUCK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
LUCK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.43 | 30% below |
| 20 week MA | $5.79 | 46% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.29 | 57% below |
| 100 week MA | $8.47 | 63% below |
| 200 week MA | $10.4 | 70% below |
LUCK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 70% below its 200-week average.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has the edge over LUCK on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
LUCK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.70 | $9.15 | -5.7% |
| 2022 | $9.15 | $13.3 | +45% |
| 2023 | $13.3 | $14.2 | +6.5% |
| 2024 | $14.2 | $10.8 | -24% |
| 2025 | $10.8 | $8.89 | -18% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.89 | $3.12 | -65% |
LUCK has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 65% so far in 2026.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has the edge over LUCK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.