LUCK
Lucky Strike Entertainment Corporation
LUCK offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over LUCK overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
LUCK Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Under pressure | |
| Stable | |
| Weak |
LUCK's revenue and cash flow are currently stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LUCK PE Valuation
LUCK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LUCK Forward outlook
There aren't enough analyst estimates for LUCK to show an outlook.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect NIO's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
LUCK Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.42 | -$0.04 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.33 | -$0.20 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.62 | -$0.59 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.65 | -2267% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.38 | +$0.19 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.13 | +$0.48 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.03 | -106% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.03 | -83% |
LUCK lost $0.42 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO has the edge over LUCK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LUCK Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $302.6M | +3.5% |
| Q2 2026 | $303.9M | +0.9% |
| Q1 2026 | $342.2M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $306.9M | +2.3% |
| Q3 2025 | $292.3M | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $301.2M | +6.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $339.9M | +0.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $300.1M | -1.8% |
LUCK's revenue grew through 2024 and has held roughly level since: $303M last quarter, up 3.5% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.3% | -0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 3.2% | -1.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 11% | -4.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.7% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | +17 points |
| Q1 2025 | 18% | -2.7 points |
| Q4 2024 | 16% | -0.6 points |
LUCK has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over LUCK on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LUCK Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$4.4M | +$27.9M |
| Q2 2026 | -$35.5M | -$34.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $42.9M | -30% |
| Q4 2025 | $15.2M | +$26.9M |
| Q3 2025 | -$32.3M | -$20.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.1M | +$39.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $61.1M | +41% |
| Q4 2024 | -$11.7M | -$3.9M |
LUCK has burned cash in most quarters: $18M over the past year, up 13% from the year before.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.
LUCK Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.4% | -1.9M shares |
| 1 year | -2.7% | -3.8M shares |
| 3 years | -20% | -34.2M shares |
| 5 years | +1336% | +125M shares |
LUCK has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $129,000 |
| Q2 2026 | $3.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $7.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $19.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $5.3M |
| Q2 2025 | $7M |
| Q1 2025 | $19.7M |
| Q4 2024 | $37.8M |
LUCK spent $30M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 57% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
LUCK Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 6.6x | High |
| Q2 2026 | 6.6x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.1x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.9x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 5.4x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.3x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.9x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 4.8x | High |
LUCK's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 5.4 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LUCK Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 21.1 | Oversold |
| Stochastic | 6.5 | Oversold |
LUCK's weekly RSI is 21 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
LUCK PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LUCK | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 18x | — |
LUCK has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LUCK Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $4.43 | 30% below |
| 20 week MA | $5.79 | 46% below |
| 50 week MA | $7.29 | 57% below |
| 100 week MA | $8.47 | 63% below |
| 200 week MA | $10.4 | 70% below |
LUCK is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 70% below its 200-week average.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
LUCK Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $9.70 | $9.15 | -5.7% |
| 2022 | $9.15 | $13.3 | +45% |
| 2023 | $13.3 | $14.2 | +6.5% |
| 2024 | $14.2 | $10.8 | -24% |
| 2025 | $10.8 | $8.89 | -18% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.89 | $3.12 | -65% |
LUCK has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 65% so far in 2026.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO has the edge over LUCK on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.