LTH

Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.

73
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation76/ 100
Upside potential67/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LTH has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LTH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Weak
Healthy

LTH's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its cash flow is weak.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LTH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE17x34x51x68x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap22x$41.05-9.9%
Current25x$45.54—
Forward26x$45.54—
Fair35x$65.25+43%
Expensive46x$85.57+88%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LTH's PE is in its cheap range at 25x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 26x.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LTH, with profitability improving.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LTH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$59.79
Downside-15%$38.56

Calculated from the latest close: $45.54 on Nov 12.

LTH has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails LTH on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LTH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $0.35Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.68Q4 2024: $0.74Q1 2025: $0.96Q2 2025: $1.02Q3 2025: $1.28Q4 2025: $1.66Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.84Q3 2026: $1.85Forward: $1.76
Q4 2023: $0.37Q1 2024: $0.35Q2 2024: $0.53Q3 2024: $0.68Q4 2024: $0.74Q1 2025: $0.96Q2 2025: $1.02Q3 2025: $1.28Q4 2025: $1.66Q1 2026: $1.71Q2 2026: $1.84Q3 2026: $1.85Forward: $1.76
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.76-4.6%
Q3 2026$1.85+45%
Q2 2026$1.84+80%
Q1 2026$1.71+78%
Q4 2025$1.66+124%
Q3 2025$1.28+88%
Q2 2025$1.02+92%
Q1 2025$0.96+174%
Q4 2024$0.74+100%

LTH has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

LTH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $559MQ1 2024: $597MQ2 2024: $668MQ3 2024: $693MQ4 2024: $663MQ1 2025: $706MQ2 2025: $761MQ3 2025: $783MQ4 2025: $745MQ1 2026: $789MQ2 2026: $866MQ3 2026: $894M
Q4 2023: $559MQ1 2024: $597MQ2 2024: $668MQ3 2024: $693MQ4 2024: $663MQ1 2025: $706MQ2 2025: $761MQ3 2025: $783MQ4 2025: $745MQ1 2026: $789MQ2 2026: $866MQ3 2026: $894M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$893.5M+14%
Q2 2026$866M+14%
Q1 2026$788.7M+12%
Q4 2025$745.1M+12%
Q3 2025$782.6M+13%
Q2 2025$761.5M+14%
Q1 2025$706M+18%
Q4 2024$663.3M+19%

LTH's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $894M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN's revenue is growing: $2.2B last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

LTH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$36MQ1 2024: −$66MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $29MQ4 2025: −$65MQ1 2026: −$61MQ2 2026: −$54MQ3 2026: −$27M
Q4 2023: −$36MQ1 2024: −$66MQ2 2024: $26MQ3 2024: $64MQ4 2024: $27MQ1 2025: $41MQ2 2025: −$26MQ3 2025: $29MQ4 2025: −$65MQ1 2026: −$61MQ2 2026: −$54MQ3 2026: −$27M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$26.6M-193%
Q2 2026-$53.7M-$27.4M
Q1 2026-$61.2M-248%
Q4 2025-$64.6M-341%
Q3 2025$28.6M-55%
Q2 2025-$26.3M-201%
Q1 2025$41.4M+$107.8M
Q4 2024$26.8M+$62.9M

LTH has burned cash in most quarters: −$206M over the past year, against $71M the year before.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has the edge over LTH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LTH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 204MQ1 2024: 203MQ2 2024: 206MQ3 2024: 215MQ4 2024: 211MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 226MQ3 2025: 226MQ4 2025: 225MQ1 2026: 227MQ2 2026: 227MQ3 2026: 229M
Q4 2023: 204MQ1 2024: 203MQ2 2024: 206MQ3 2024: 215MQ4 2024: 211MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 226MQ3 2025: 226MQ4 2025: 225MQ1 2026: 227MQ2 2026: 227MQ3 2026: 229M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+1.7M shares
1 year+1.3%+3M shares
3 years+12%+24.8M shares
5 years+58%+83.9M shares
Available history+58%+84.1M shares

LTH has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

LTH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
Q4 2023: 4.1xQ1 2024: 4.1xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.4xQ1 2025: 2.2xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.8xQ4 2025: 1.7xQ1 2026: 1.7xQ2 2026: 1.5xQ3 2026: 1.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.3xHealthy
Q2 20261.5xHealthy
Q1 20261.7xHealthy
Q4 20251.7xHealthy
Q3 20251.8xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.2xModerate
Q4 20242.4xModerate

LTH's net debt is about 1.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.8 years a year ago.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LTH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.6Neutral
Stochastic80.6Overbought

LTH's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 81 (overbought).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

LTH PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLTHSector medianRelative
PE25x18x37% above
PE %285628 pts below

LTH is trading at 25x earnings, a 37% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LTH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$42.76.6% above
20 week MA$42.96.3% above
50 week MA$34.731% above
100 week MA$31.545% above
200 week MA$24.884% above

LTH has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

LTH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$17.2$18.1+5.1%
2022$18.1$12.1-33%
2023$12.1$15.1+24%
2024$15.1$21.9+45%
2025$21.9$26.8+22%
2026 YTD$26.8$45.5+70%

LTH has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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