LSPD

Lightspeed Commerce Inc.

65
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

LSPD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over LSPD overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

LSPD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Stable
Strong

LSPD's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LSPD PE Valuation

LSPD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

LSPD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

LSPD has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

LSPD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$13.36
Downside-23%$7.72

Calculated from the latest close: $10.09 on Nov 12.

LSPD trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LSPD, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LSPD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-6.48Q4 2023: $-1.35Q1 2024: $-1.07Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-0.89Q4 2024: $-0.80Q1 2025: $-4.36Q2 2025: $-4.48Q3 2025: $-4.53Q4 2025: $-4.60Q1 2026: $-1.03Q2 2026: $-0.70Forward: $0.80
Q3 2023: $-6.48Q4 2023: $-1.35Q1 2024: $-1.07Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-0.89Q4 2024: $-0.80Q1 2025: $-4.36Q2 2025: $-4.48Q3 2025: $-4.53Q4 2025: $-4.60Q1 2026: $-1.03Q2 2026: $-0.70Forward: $0.80
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.80—
Q2 2026-$0.70+$3.78
Q1 2026-$1.03+$3.33
Q4 2025-$4.60-$3.80
Q3 2025-$4.53-$3.64
Q2 2025-$4.48-$3.50
Q1 2025-$4.36-$3.29
Q4 2024-$0.80+$0.55
Q3 2024-$0.89+$5.59

LSPD is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.70 per share over the past year, against $7.37 at its worst in late 2022.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over LSPD on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LSPD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $230MQ4 2023: $240MQ1 2024: $230MQ2 2024: $266MQ3 2024: $277MQ4 2024: $280MQ1 2025: $253MQ2 2025: $305MQ3 2025: $319MQ4 2025: $312MQ1 2026: $291MQ2 2026: $323M
Q3 2023: $230MQ4 2023: $240MQ1 2024: $230MQ2 2024: $266MQ3 2024: $277MQ4 2024: $280MQ1 2025: $253MQ2 2025: $305MQ3 2025: $319MQ4 2025: $312MQ1 2026: $291MQ2 2026: $323M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$322.7M+5.8%
Q1 2026$290.8M+15%
Q4 2025$312.3M+11%
Q3 2025$319M+15%
Q2 2025$304.9M+15%
Q1 2025$253.4M+10%
Q4 2024$280.1M+17%
Q3 2024$277.2M+20%

LSPD's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $323M last quarter, up 5.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over LSPD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LSPD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: −$29MQ4 2023: −$23MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$18MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $77,000Q3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: −$8MQ2 2026: −$2M
Q3 2023: −$29MQ4 2023: −$23MQ1 2024: −$35MQ2 2024: −$18MQ3 2024: −$17MQ4 2024: −$3MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $77,000Q3 2025: $24MQ4 2025: $24MQ1 2026: −$8MQ2 2026: −$2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$1.6M-2169%
Q1 2026-$8M+$8.9M
Q4 2025$23.9M+$27.3M
Q3 2025$23.8M+$41M
Q2 2025$77K+$18.4M
Q1 2025-$16.9M+$17.9M
Q4 2024-$3.4M+$19.7M
Q3 2024-$17.2M+$11.3M

LSPD has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

LSPD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 153MQ4 2023: 154MQ1 2024: 155MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 152MQ2 2025: 141MQ3 2025: 138MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 140MQ2 2026: 138M
Q3 2023: 153MQ4 2023: 154MQ1 2024: 155MQ2 2024: 155MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 154MQ1 2025: 152MQ2 2025: 141MQ3 2025: 138MQ4 2025: 139MQ1 2026: 140MQ2 2026: 138M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.3M shares
1 year-1.9%-2.6M shares
3 years-9.4%-14.3M shares
5 years+5.6%+7.3M shares
Available history+63%+53.3M shares

LSPD has the edge over MSFT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has 7.4B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

LSPD Net Leverage

Q2 2026: -23.9x
Q2 2026: -23.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-23.9xNet Cash

LSPD has the edge over MSFT on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LSPD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.5Neutral
Stochastic49.7Neutral

LSPD's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 50 (neutral).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

LSPD PE vs Technology Sector

LSPD has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

LSPD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.43.1% below
20 week MA$10.42.5% below
50 week MA$10.10.4% below
100 week MA$11.08.6% below
200 week MA$13.123% below

LSPD is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 23% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over LSPD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LSPD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$28.0$68.5+145%
2021$68.5$40.8-40%
2022$40.8$13.5-67%
2023$13.5$21.0+56%
2024$21.0$15.6-26%
2025$15.6$12.4-21%
2026 YTD$12.4$10.1-18%

LSPD's yearly returns have swung widely, from +145% in 2020 to −67% in 2022. It's down 18% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over LSPD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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