LSBK

Lake Shore Bancorp, Inc.

55
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation42/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

LSBK trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS has the edge over LSBK overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

LSBK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
N/A
N/A

LSBK's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like LSBK.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

LSBK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.2x12x19x25x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE6.2x12x19x25x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$13.90-27%
Fair16x$18.14-4.5%
Current17x$18.99—
Expensive18x$20.62+8.6%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LSBK has the edge over MS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

LSBK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for LSBK to show an outlook.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

LSBK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+12%$21.27
Downside-14%$16.41

Calculated from the latest close: $18.99 on Nov 12.

LSBK trails MS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

MS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LSBK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LSBK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.61Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.55Q3 2024: $0.53Q4 2024: $0.65Q1 2025: $0.66Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $0.92Q4 2025: $0.97Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.13Q3 2026: $1.12
Q4 2023: $0.61Q1 2024: $0.52Q2 2024: $0.55Q3 2024: $0.53Q4 2024: $0.65Q1 2025: $0.66Q2 2025: $0.78Q3 2025: $0.92Q4 2025: $0.97Q1 2026: $1.09Q2 2026: $1.13Q3 2026: $1.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$1.12+22%
Q2 2026$1.13+45%
Q1 2026$1.09+65%
Q4 2025$0.97+49%
Q3 2025$0.92+74%
Q2 2025$0.78+42%
Q1 2025$0.66+27%
Q4 2024$0.65+6.6%

LSBK has the edge over MS on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.60 over the past year, up 29% from the year before, and higher year over year for 10 quarters in a row.

LSBK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $8M
Q4 2023: $6MQ1 2024: $6MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: $6MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: $7MQ4 2025: $7MQ1 2026: $7MQ2 2026: $8MQ3 2026: $8M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.9M+6.9%
Q2 2026$7.6M+10%
Q1 2026$7.4M+19%
Q4 2025$7.3M+14%
Q3 2025$7.4M+20%
Q2 2025$6.9M+16%
Q1 2025$6.2M+6%
Q4 2024$6.4M-1.1%

LSBK's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $8M last quarter, up 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS has the edge over LSBK on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LSBK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$37,000Q2 2024: $573,000Q3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $568,000Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: $2MQ1 2024: −$37,000Q2 2024: $573,000Q3 2024: −$1MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $568,000Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.5M-25%
Q1 2026$2.8M+390%
Q4 2025$2.1M-36%
Q3 2025$3.3M+$4.7M
Q1 2025$568K+$605K
Q4 2024$3.4M+118%
Q3 2024-$1.4M-218%
Q2 2024$573K-68%

LSBK has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

LSBK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 7MQ3 2026: 7M
Q4 2023: 8MQ1 2024: 8MQ2 2024: 8MQ3 2024: 8MQ4 2024: 8MQ1 2025: 8MQ2 2025: 8MQ3 2025: 7MQ4 2025: 8MQ1 2026: 7MQ2 2026: 7MQ3 2026: 7M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-26.5K shares
1 year-0.4%-27.6K shares
3 years-6.9%-548K shares
5 years-7.5%-600K shares
Available history-9.3%-759K shares

LSBK has 7M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over LSBK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LSBK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: -5.8xQ3 2024: -6.4xQ4 2024: -3.5xQ1 2025: -4.0xQ2 2026: -6.7xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -2.6xQ1 2024: -4.7xQ2 2024: -5.8xQ3 2024: -6.4xQ4 2024: -3.5xQ1 2025: -4.0xQ2 2026: -6.7xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-4.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.5xNet Cash
Q3 2024-6.4xNet Cash
Q2 2024-5.8xNet Cash
Q1 2024-4.7xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.6xNet Cash

LSBK has the edge over MS on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

LSBK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI74.7Overbought
Stochastic78.8Neutral

LSBK's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

LSBK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricLSBKSector medianRelative
PE17x13x30% above
PE %62631 pt below

LSBK is trading at 17x earnings, a 30% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS has the edge over LSBK on valuation relative to its sector.

LSBK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.52.8% above
20 week MA$17.86.8% above
50 week MA$16.416% above
100 week MA$14.234% above
200 week MA$11.466% above

LSBK has the edge over MS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.

LSBK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$11.3$9.60-15%
2021$9.60$11.2+17%
2022$11.2$9.10-19%
2023$9.10$8.65-4.9%
2024$8.65$9.90+14%
2025$9.90$14.8+49%
2026 YTD$14.8$19.0+29%

LSBK has the edge over MS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 4% so far in 2026.

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