LRCX

Lam Research Corporation

75
Fundamentals87/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential85/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

LRCX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over LRCX overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

LRCX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

LRCX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

LRCX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x76x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$109-53%
Forward23x$234—
Fair24x$161-31%
Expensive35x$236+0.9%
Current35x$234—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LRCX's PE is in its expensive range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA has the edge over LRCX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LRCX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
High

LRCX has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

LRCX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+92%$448.73
Downside-16%$195.71

Calculated from the latest close: $233.78 on Nov 12.

LRCX trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LRCX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LRCX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.59Q1 2024: $2.73Q2 2024: $2.90Q3 2024: $3.09Q4 2024: $3.29Q1 2025: $3.59Q2 2025: $4.15Q3 2025: $4.53Q4 2025: $4.87Q1 2026: $5.29Q2 2026: $5.76Q3 2026: $6.71Forward: $10.20
Q4 2023: $2.59Q1 2024: $2.73Q2 2024: $2.90Q3 2024: $3.09Q4 2024: $3.29Q1 2025: $3.59Q2 2025: $4.15Q3 2025: $4.53Q4 2025: $4.87Q1 2026: $5.29Q2 2026: $5.76Q3 2026: $6.71Forward: $10.20
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$10.20+52%
Q3 2026$6.71+48%
Q2 2026$5.76+39%
Q1 2026$5.29+47%
Q4 2025$4.87+48%
Q3 2025$4.53+47%
Q2 2025$4.15+43%
Q1 2025$3.59+32%
Q4 2024$3.29+27%

LRCX's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $6.71 over the past year, up 48% from the year before, and higher year over year for nine quarters in a row.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA has the edge over LRCX on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LRCX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.9BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $4.4BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $5.3BQ1 2026: $5.8BQ2 2026: $6.7BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: $3.8BQ1 2024: $3.8BQ2 2024: $3.9BQ3 2024: $4.2BQ4 2024: $4.4BQ1 2025: $4.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $5.3BQ4 2025: $5.3BQ1 2026: $5.8BQ2 2026: $6.7BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+54%
Q2 2026$6.7B+30%
Q1 2026$5.8B+24%
Q4 2025$5.3B+22%
Q3 2025$5.3B+28%
Q2 2025$5.2B+34%
Q1 2025$4.7B+24%
Q4 2024$4.4B+16%

LRCX's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $8.2B last quarter, up 54% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over LRCX on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LRCX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $762MQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $554MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $810MQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $3.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $762MQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $554MQ1 2025: $1BQ2 2025: $2.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $810MQ2 2026: $1.3BQ3 2026: $3.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.2B+103%
Q2 2026$1.3B-47%
Q1 2026$809.8M-21%
Q4 2025$1.2B+120%
Q3 2025$1.6B+9.3%
Q2 2025$2.4B+213%
Q1 2025$1B-20%
Q4 2024$553.6M-59%

LRCX's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $6.5B over the past year, up 18% from the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over LRCX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LRCX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
Q4 2023: 1.3BQ1 2024: 1.3BQ2 2024: 1.3BQ3 2024: 1.3BQ4 2024: 1.3BQ1 2025: 1.3BQ2 2025: 1.3BQ3 2025: 1.3BQ4 2025: 1.3BQ1 2026: 1.3BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-5.3M shares
1 year-1.1%-13.5M shares
3 years-5.7%-75.9M shares
5 years-12%-170M shares
Available history-16%-245M shares

LRCX has the edge over NVDA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has 24.3B diluted shares, down 1% from a year ago, with $55.3B in buybacks over the past year.

LRCX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: -0.2xQ1 2024: -0.2xQ2 2024: -0.2xQ3 2024: -0.2xQ4 2024: -0.1xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.3xQ3 2025: -0.3xQ4 2025: -0.2xQ1 2026: -0.1xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.1xNet Cash

LRCX has the edge over NVDA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

LRCX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.5Neutral
Stochastic16.7Oversold

LRCX's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 17 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

LRCX PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLRCXSector medianRelative
PE35x28x25% above
PE %823547 pts above

LRCX is trading at 35x earnings, a 25% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA has the edge over LRCX on valuation relative to its sector.

LRCX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$268.613% below
20 week MA$295.821% below
50 week MA$267.513% below
100 week MA$182.728% above
200 week MA$128.382% above

LRCX has the edge over NVDA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

LRCX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$29.4$48.0+64%
2021$48.0$69.9+45%
2022$69.9$41.2-41%
2023$41.2$78.3+90%
2024$78.3$73.4-6.3%
2025$73.4$178.1+143%
2026 YTD$178.1$233.8+31%

LRCX has the edge over NVDA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA's yearly returns have swung widely, from +226% in 2023 to −49% in 2022. It's down 13% so far in 2026.

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