LQDT

Liquidity Services, Inc.

62
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

LQDT has the edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

RIVN

Rivian Automotive, Inc.

53
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential31/ 100

RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LQDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

LQDT's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

RIVN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LQDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$11.99-73%
Forward25x$45.15—
Fair31x$31.35-31%
Expensive42x$42.96-4.9%
Current44x$45.15—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LQDT's PE is in its expensive range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

RIVN PE Valuation

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LQDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for LQDT, with profitability improving.

RIVN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect RIVN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LQDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$58.17
Downside-17%$37.34

Calculated from the latest close: $45.15 on Nov 12.

LQDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than RIVN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RIVN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$19.04
Downside-31%$8.82

Calculated from the latest close: $12.80 on Nov 12.

RIVN trails LQDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LQDT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.65Q4 2023: $0.59Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.62Q3 2024: $0.63Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $0.79Q2 2025: $0.83Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $0.92Q1 2026: $0.93Q2 2026: $1.02Forward: $1.81
Q3 2023: $0.65Q4 2023: $0.59Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.62Q3 2024: $0.63Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $0.79Q2 2025: $0.83Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $0.92Q1 2026: $0.93Q2 2026: $1.02Forward: $1.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.81+77%
Q2 2026$1.02+23%
Q1 2026$0.93+18%
Q4 2025$0.92+23%
Q3 2025$0.87+38%
Q2 2025$0.83+34%
Q1 2025$0.79+23%
Q4 2024$0.75+27%
Q3 2024$0.63-3.1%

LQDT has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

RIVN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
Q4 2023: $-5.74Q1 2024: $-5.77Q2 2024: $-5.96Q3 2024: $-5.60Q4 2024: $-4.69Q1 2025: $-3.69Q2 2025: $-3.20Q3 2025: $-3.08Q4 2025: $-3.07Q1 2026: $-2.92Q2 2026: $-2.58Q3 2026: $-2.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.25+$0.83
Q2 2026-$2.58+$0.62
Q1 2026-$2.92+$0.77
Q4 2025-$3.07+$1.62
Q3 2025-$3.08+$2.52
Q2 2025-$3.20+$2.76
Q1 2025-$3.69+$2.08
Q4 2024-$4.69+$1.05

RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.

LQDT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $94MQ3 2024: $107MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $118MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $130M
Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $94MQ3 2024: $107MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $118MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $130M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$129.6M+8.1%
Q1 2026$120.7M+3.7%
Q4 2025$121.2M-0.9%
Q3 2025$118.1M+10%
Q2 2025$119.9M+28%
Q1 2025$116.4M+27%
Q4 2024$122.3M+72%
Q3 2024$106.9M+34%

LQDT's revenue is growing: $130M last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

RIVN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.2BQ2 2024: $1.2BQ3 2024: $874MQ4 2024: $1.7BQ1 2025: $1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.3BQ1 2026: $1.4BQ2 2026: $1.7BQ3 2026: $2.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$2.2B+38%
Q2 2026$1.7B+27%
Q1 2026$1.4B+11%
Q4 2025$1.3B-26%
Q3 2025$1.6B+78%
Q2 2025$1.3B+13%
Q1 2025$1.2B+3%
Q4 2024$1.7B+32%

RIVN has the edge over LQDT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LQDT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: −$14MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $29M
Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: −$14MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$29.4M+71%
Q1 2026$27.4M+39%
Q4 2025-$2.8M+$11.2M
Q3 2025$36M+88%
Q2 2025$17.2M-15%
Q1 2025$19.8M-39%
Q4 2024-$14M-$3.4M
Q3 2024$19.2M+45%

LQDT has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RIVN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: −$1.5BQ2 2024: −$1BQ3 2024: −$1.2BQ4 2024: $856MQ1 2025: −$526MQ2 2025: −$398MQ3 2025: −$421MQ4 2025: −$1.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: −$849MQ3 2026: −$1.1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.1B-$703M
Q2 2026-$849M-$451M
Q1 2026-$1.1B-$549M
Q4 2025-$1.1B-234%
Q3 2025-$421M+$732M
Q2 2025-$398M+$639M
Q1 2025-$526M+$997M
Q4 2024$856M+$2.3B

RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.

LQDT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 33M
Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+367K shares
1 year+1.1%+354K shares
3 years+4.2%+1.3M shares
5 years-7.3%-2.6M shares
Available history-1.3%-440K shares

LQDT has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RIVN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
Q4 2023: 947MQ1 2024: 978MQ2 2024: 1BQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1.1BQ2 2025: 1.2BQ3 2025: 1.2BQ4 2025: 1.2BQ1 2026: 1.2BQ2 2026: 1.3BQ3 2026: 1.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+9.1%+121M shares
1 year+19%+226M shares
3 years+52%+494M shares

RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.

LQDT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -3.0xQ4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.0xQ2 2024: -3.6xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -3.2xQ1 2025: -3.5xQ2 2025: -3.7xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -3.6xQ1 2026: -3.9xQ2 2026: -4.0x
Q3 2023: -3.0xQ4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.0xQ2 2024: -3.6xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -3.2xQ1 2025: -3.5xQ2 2025: -3.7xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -3.6xQ1 2026: -3.9xQ2 2026: -4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.2xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.3xNet Cash

LQDT has more cash than debt.

RIVN Net Leverage

RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LQDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.0Neutral
Stochastic74.7Neutral

LQDT's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

RIVN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI41.5Neutral
Stochastic25.6Neutral

RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

LQDT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLQDTSector medianRelative
PE44x18x146% above
PE %884741 pts above

LQDT is trading at 44x earnings, a 146% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LQDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.02.6% above
20 week MA$42.27.1% above
50 week MA$36.623% above
100 week MA$32.340% above
200 week MA$25.378% above

LQDT has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

RIVN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$13.33.9% below
20 week MA$15.115% below
50 week MA$15.919% below
100 week MA$14.713% below
200 week MA$15.115% below

RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.

LQDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.85$16.7+186%
2021$16.7$21.5+29%
2022$21.5$14.0-35%
2023$14.0$17.2+23%
2024$17.2$32.1+86%
2025$32.1$31.2-2.9%
2026 YTD$31.2$45.2+45%

LQDT has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

RIVN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$130.0$96.8-25%
2022$96.8$19.1-80%
2023$19.1$23.5+23%
2024$23.5$13.7-42%
2025$13.7$20.9+53%
2026 YTD$20.9$12.8-39%

RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

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