LQDT

Liquidity Services, Inc.

62
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

LQDT has a slight edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LQDT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Strong
Strong

LQDT's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

LQDT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE30x61x91x122x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$11.99-73%
Forward25x$45.15—
Fair31x$31.35-31%
Expensive42x$42.96-4.9%
Current44x$45.15—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LQDT's PE is in its expensive range at 44x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over LQDT in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LQDT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

LQDT has the edge over NKE on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LQDT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$58.17
Downside-17%$37.34

Calculated from the latest close: $45.15 on Nov 12.

LQDT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails LQDT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LQDT Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $0.65Q4 2023: $0.59Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.62Q3 2024: $0.63Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $0.79Q2 2025: $0.83Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $0.92Q1 2026: $0.93Q2 2026: $1.02Forward: $1.81
Q3 2023: $0.65Q4 2023: $0.59Q1 2024: $0.64Q2 2024: $0.62Q3 2024: $0.63Q4 2024: $0.75Q1 2025: $0.79Q2 2025: $0.83Q3 2025: $0.87Q4 2025: $0.92Q1 2026: $0.93Q2 2026: $1.02Forward: $1.81
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.81+77%
Q2 2026$1.02+23%
Q1 2026$0.93+18%
Q4 2025$0.92+23%
Q3 2025$0.87+38%
Q2 2025$0.83+34%
Q1 2025$0.79+23%
Q4 2024$0.75+27%
Q3 2024$0.63-3.1%

LQDT has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

LQDT Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $94MQ3 2024: $107MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $118MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $130M
Q3 2023: $80MQ4 2023: $71MQ1 2024: $91MQ2 2024: $94MQ3 2024: $107MQ4 2024: $122MQ1 2025: $116MQ2 2025: $120MQ3 2025: $118MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $121MQ2 2026: $130M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$129.6M+8.1%
Q1 2026$120.7M+3.7%
Q4 2025$121.2M-0.9%
Q3 2025$118.1M+10%
Q2 2025$119.9M+28%
Q1 2025$116.4M+27%
Q4 2024$122.3M+72%
Q3 2024$106.9M+34%

LQDT has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

LQDT Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: −$14MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $29M
Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: −$11MQ1 2024: $32MQ2 2024: $20MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: −$14MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $17MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $27MQ2 2026: $29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$29.4M+71%
Q1 2026$27.4M+39%
Q4 2025-$2.8M+$11.2M
Q3 2025$36M+88%
Q2 2025$17.2M-15%
Q1 2025$19.8M-39%
Q4 2024-$14M-$3.4M
Q3 2024$19.2M+45%

LQDT has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

LQDT Total Shares

Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 33M
Q3 2023: 32MQ4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 33MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 32MQ2 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+367K shares
1 year+1.1%+354K shares
3 years+4.2%+1.3M shares
5 years-7.3%-2.6M shares
Available history-1.3%-440K shares

LQDT has 33M diluted shares, up 1.1% from a year ago, despite $18M in buybacks over the past year.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has the edge over LQDT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LQDT Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -3.0xQ4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.0xQ2 2024: -3.6xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -3.2xQ1 2025: -3.5xQ2 2025: -3.7xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -3.6xQ1 2026: -3.9xQ2 2026: -4.0x
Q3 2023: -3.0xQ4 2023: -2.9xQ1 2024: -3.0xQ2 2024: -3.6xQ3 2024: -4.3xQ4 2024: -3.2xQ1 2025: -3.5xQ2 2025: -3.7xQ3 2025: -3.8xQ4 2025: -3.6xQ1 2026: -3.9xQ2 2026: -4.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-4.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-3.6xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.8xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.7xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.2xNet Cash
Q3 2024-4.3xNet Cash

LQDT has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LQDT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.0Neutral
Stochastic74.7Neutral

LQDT's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 75 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

LQDT PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLQDTSector medianRelative
PE44x18x146% above
PE %884741 pts above

LQDT is trading at 44x earnings, a 146% premium to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE has the edge over LQDT on valuation relative to its sector.

LQDT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.02.6% above
20 week MA$42.27.1% above
50 week MA$36.623% above
100 week MA$32.340% above
200 week MA$25.378% above

LQDT has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

LQDT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.85$16.7+186%
2021$16.7$21.5+29%
2022$21.5$14.0-35%
2023$14.0$17.2+23%
2024$17.2$32.1+86%
2025$32.1$31.2-2.9%
2026 YTD$31.2$45.2+45%

LQDT has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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