LPTH

LightPath Technologies, Inc.

56
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

LPTH's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

NVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

92
Fundamentals93/ 100
Valuation94/ 100
Upside potential95/ 100
Risk potential9/ 100

NVDA has the edge over LPTH overall, supported by stronger valuation and lower modeled downside.

LPTH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Strong

LPTH's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.

NVDA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

NVDA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

LPTH PE Valuation

LPTH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE63x127x190x253x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward12x$166—
Current21x$166—
Cheap44x$345+108%
Fair65x$511+207%
Expensive93x$734+342%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NVDA's PE is in its cheap range at 21x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 12x next year's earnings.

LPTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

LPTH has the edge over NVDA on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

NVDA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Broad
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVDA, but weaker profitability.

LPTH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+95%$14.07
Downside-48%$3.72

Calculated from the latest close: $7.21 on Nov 12.

LPTH trails NVDA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NVDA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+189%$480.16
Downside-9%$150.78

Calculated from the latest close: $166.19 on Nov 12.

NVDA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LPTH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

LPTH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.14Q1 2024: $-0.18Q2 2024: $-0.21Q3 2024: $-0.21Q4 2024: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.51Q2 2026: $-0.38Q3 2026: $-0.33
Q4 2023: $-0.14Q1 2024: $-0.18Q2 2024: $-0.21Q3 2024: $-0.21Q4 2024: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.51Q2 2026: $-0.38Q3 2026: $-0.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2024-$0.23-$0.09
Q3 2024-$0.21-$0.09
Q2 2024-$0.21-$0.08
Q1 2024-$0.18-$0.02
Q4 2023-$0.14+$0.01
Q3 2023-$0.12+$0.04
Q2 2023-$0.13$0.00
Q1 2023-$0.16+$0.02

NVDA has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 257% for LPTH versus NVDA up 125%.

NVDA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
Q4 2023: $0.76Q1 2024: $1.19Q2 2024: $1.71Q3 2024: $2.13Q4 2024: $2.54Q1 2025: $2.94Q2 2025: $3.10Q3 2025: $3.51Q4 2025: $4.03Q1 2026: $4.90Q2 2026: $6.53Q3 2026: $7.91Forward: $13.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.77+74%
Q3 2026$7.91+125%
Q2 2026$6.53+111%
Q1 2026$4.90+67%
Q4 2025$4.03+59%
Q3 2025$3.51+65%
Q2 2025$3.10+81%
Q1 2025$2.94+147%
Q4 2024$2.54+234%

NVDA's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.91 over the past year, up 125% from the year before, and higher year over year for 13 quarters in a row.

LPTH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.8M+38%
Q2 2026$21.2M+73%
Q1 2026$19.1M+109%
Q4 2025$16.4M+120%
Q3 2025$15.1M+79%
Q2 2025$12.2M+41%
Q1 2025$9.2M+19%
Q4 2024$7.4M+1.5%

LPTH's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $21M last quarter, up 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

NVDA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
Q4 2023: $18.1BQ1 2024: $22.1BQ2 2024: $26BQ3 2024: $30BQ4 2024: $35.1BQ1 2025: $39.3BQ2 2025: $44.1BQ3 2025: $46.7BQ4 2025: $57BQ1 2026: $68.1BQ2 2026: $81.6BQ3 2026: $96.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$96.2B+106%
Q2 2026$81.6B+85%
Q1 2026$68.1B+73%
Q4 2025$57B+62%
Q3 2025$46.7B+56%
Q2 2025$44.1B+69%
Q1 2025$39.3B+78%
Q4 2024$35.1B+94%

NVDA has the edge over LPTH on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LPTH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$818,819Q1 2024: −$802,485Q2 2024: −$225,451Q3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$817,838Q1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$8MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: −$818,819Q1 2024: −$802,485Q2 2024: −$225,451Q3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$817,838Q1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$8MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$10.9M-$9.6M
Q2 2026-$9.5M-$6.2M
Q1 2026-$7.7M-$4M
Q4 2025$2M+$2.8M
Q3 2025-$1.2M+$560.1K
Q2 2025-$3.3M-$3.1M
Q1 2025-$3.7M-$2.9M
Q4 2024-$817.8K+$981

LPTH has burned cash in most quarters: −$26M over the past year, against −$9M the year before.

NVDA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
Q4 2023: --Q1 2024: $11.2BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $13.5BQ4 2024: $16.8BQ1 2025: $15.6BQ2 2025: $26.2BQ3 2025: $13.5BQ4 2025: $22.1BQ1 2026: $34.9BQ2 2026: $48.6BQ3 2026: $21.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$21.4B+59%
Q2 2026$48.6B+86%
Q1 2026$34.9B+124%
Q4 2025$22.1B+32%
Q3 2025$13.5B-0.3%
Q2 2025$26.2B+75%
Q1 2025$15.6B+38%
Q3 2024$13.5B+113%

NVDA has the edge over LPTH on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LPTH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 70M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 70M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+19%+11.4M shares
1 year+71%+29.1M shares
3 years+99%+34.9M shares
5 years+166%+43.6M shares
Available history+156%+42.6M shares

LPTH has 70M diluted shares, up 71% from a year ago.

NVDA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
Q4 2023: 24.9BQ1 2024: 24.9BQ2 2024: 24.9BQ3 2024: 24.8BQ4 2024: 24.8BQ1 2025: 24.8BQ2 2025: 24.6BQ3 2025: 24.5BQ4 2025: 24.5BQ1 2026: 24.5BQ2 2026: 24.4BQ3 2026: 24.3B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-106M shares
1 year-1%-247M shares
3 years-2.8%-705M shares
5 years-4.1%-1B shares
Available history-1.8%-435M shares

NVDA has the edge over LPTH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LPTH Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2022-3.2xNet Cash
Q3 2022-20.5xNet Cash
Q2 2022-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 20210.2xVery low
Q2 2021-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2021-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2020-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2020-0.2xNet Cash

LPTH has more cash than debt.

NVDA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.1xQ2 2024: 0.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.0xQ1 2025: -0.0xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: -0.0xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.0xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.0xVery low
Q4 2024-0.0xNet Cash

NVDA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

LPTH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.8Neutral
Stochastic13.1Oversold

LPTH's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

NVDA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI33.4Neutral
Stochastic18.1Oversold

NVDA's weekly RSI is 33 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

LPTH PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLPTHSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

LPTH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

NVDA PE vs Technology Sector

MetricNVDASector medianRelative
PE21x28x25% below
PE %03535 pts below

NVDA is trading at 21x earnings, a 25% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

LPTH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.5115% below
20 week MA$10.431% below
50 week MA$11.437% below
100 week MA$7.726.6% below
200 week MA$4.6057% above

LPTH has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 57% above its 200-week average.

NVDA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$208.920% below
20 week MA$212.022% below
50 week MA$199.917% below
100 week MA$175.15.1% below
200 week MA$123.634% above

NVDA has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 34% above its 200-week average.

LPTH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$0.69$4.06+488%
2021$4.06$2.31-43%
2022$2.31$1.20-48%
2023$1.20$1.26+5%
2024$1.26$3.49+177%
2025$3.49$9.02+158%
2026 YTD$9.02$7.21-20%

LPTH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +488% in 2020 to −48% in 2022. It's down 20% so far in 2026.

NVDA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.92$13.0+119%
2021$13.0$29.6+128%
2022$29.6$15.2-49%
2023$15.2$49.5+226%
2024$49.5$137.0+177%
2025$137.0$190.5+39%
2026 YTD$190.5$166.2-13%

NVDA has the edge over LPTH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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