LPTH

LightPath Technologies, Inc.

56
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential66/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

LPTH's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over LPTH overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger valuation.

LPTH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Strong

LPTH's revenue and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LPTH PE Valuation

LPTH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

LPTH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

LPTH has the edge over MSFT on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

LPTH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+95%$14.07
Downside-48%$3.72

Calculated from the latest close: $7.21 on Nov 12.

LPTH trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LPTH, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LPTH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.14Q1 2024: $-0.18Q2 2024: $-0.21Q3 2024: $-0.21Q4 2024: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.51Q2 2026: $-0.38Q3 2026: $-0.33
Q4 2023: $-0.14Q1 2024: $-0.18Q2 2024: $-0.21Q3 2024: $-0.21Q4 2024: $-0.23Q1 2026: $-0.51Q2 2026: $-0.38Q3 2026: $-0.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q4 2024-$0.23-$0.09
Q3 2024-$0.21-$0.09
Q2 2024-$0.21-$0.08
Q1 2024-$0.18-$0.02
Q4 2023-$0.14+$0.01
Q3 2023-$0.12+$0.04
Q2 2023-$0.13$0.00
Q1 2023-$0.16+$0.02

MSFT has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 257% for LPTH versus MSFT up 36%.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $19.15 over the past year, up 36% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

LPTH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $21M
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $9MQ3 2024: $8MQ4 2024: $7MQ1 2025: $9MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: $19MQ2 2026: $21MQ3 2026: $21M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.8M+38%
Q2 2026$21.2M+73%
Q1 2026$19.1M+109%
Q4 2025$16.4M+120%
Q3 2025$15.1M+79%
Q2 2025$12.2M+41%
Q1 2025$9.2M+19%
Q4 2024$7.4M+1.5%

LPTH has the edge over MSFT on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $92.3B last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

LPTH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$818,819Q1 2024: −$802,485Q2 2024: −$225,451Q3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$817,838Q1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$8MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: −$11M
Q4 2023: −$818,819Q1 2024: −$802,485Q2 2024: −$225,451Q3 2024: −$2MQ4 2024: −$817,838Q1 2025: −$4MQ2 2025: −$3MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$8MQ2 2026: −$10MQ3 2026: −$11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$10.9M-$9.6M
Q2 2026-$9.5M-$6.2M
Q1 2026-$7.7M-$4M
Q4 2025$2M+$2.8M
Q3 2025-$1.2M+$560.1K
Q2 2025-$3.3M-$3.1M
Q1 2025-$3.7M-$2.9M
Q4 2024-$817.8K+$981

LPTH has burned cash in most quarters: −$26M over the past year, against −$9M the year before.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT has the edge over LPTH on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

LPTH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 70M
Q4 2023: 38MQ1 2024: 38MQ2 2024: 38MQ3 2024: 40MQ4 2024: 40MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 43MQ4 2025: 47MQ1 2026: 59MQ3 2026: 70M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+19%+11.4M shares
1 year+71%+29.1M shares
3 years+99%+34.9M shares
5 years+166%+43.6M shares
Available history+156%+42.6M shares

LPTH has 70M diluted shares, up 71% from a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over LPTH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LPTH Net Leverage

QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2022-3.2xNet Cash
Q3 2022-20.5xNet Cash
Q2 2022-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 20210.2xVery low
Q2 2021-1.6xNet Cash
Q1 2021-0.4xNet Cash
Q4 2020-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2020-0.2xNet Cash

LPTH has more cash than debt.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LPTH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.8Neutral
Stochastic13.1Oversold

LPTH's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

LPTH PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLPTHSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

LPTH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

LPTH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.5115% below
20 week MA$10.431% below
50 week MA$11.437% below
100 week MA$7.726.6% below
200 week MA$4.6057% above

LPTH has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 57% above its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over LPTH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LPTH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$0.69$4.06+488%
2021$4.06$2.31-43%
2022$2.31$1.20-48%
2023$1.20$1.26+5%
2024$1.26$3.49+177%
2025$3.49$9.02+158%
2026 YTD$9.02$7.21-20%

LPTH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +488% in 2020 to −48% in 2022. It's down 20% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over LPTH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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