LPL

LG Display Co., Ltd.

45
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

LPL trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

MSFT

Microsoft Corporation

76
Fundamentals75/ 100
Valuation69/ 100
Upside potential75/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

MSFT has the edge over LPL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

LPL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Under pressure

LPL's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

MSFT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Healthy
Strong

MSFT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LPL PE Valuation

LPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE11x21x32x42x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward25x$523—
Cheap27x$525+0.4%
Current27x$523—
Fair34x$652+25%
Expensive37x$711+36%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MSFT's PE is in its cheap range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings.

LPL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Decline
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LPL's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MSFT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Stable
Moderate
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for MSFT, with profitability holding steady.

LPL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+49%$3.84
Downside-33%$1.71

Calculated from the latest close: $2.57 on Nov 12.

LPL trails MSFT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

MSFT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+28%$671.86
Downside-10%$472.97

Calculated from the latest close: $523.00 on Nov 12.

MSFT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LPL, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LPL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.94Q1 2024: $-2.23Q2 2024: $-1.86Q3 2024: $-1.43Q4 2024: $-2.17Q1 2025: $-1.60Q2 2025: $-0.50Q3 2025: $-0.25Q4 2025: $0.17Q1 2026: $-0.06Q2 2026: $-1.01Q3 2026: $-0.43
Q4 2023: $-2.94Q1 2024: $-2.23Q2 2024: $-1.86Q3 2024: $-1.43Q4 2024: $-2.17Q1 2025: $-1.60Q2 2025: $-0.50Q3 2025: $-0.25Q4 2025: $0.17Q1 2026: $-0.06Q2 2026: $-1.01Q3 2026: $-0.43
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.43-$0.18
Q2 2026-$1.01-$0.51
Q1 2026-$0.06+$1.54
Q4 2025$0.17+$2.34
Q3 2025-$0.25+$1.18
Q2 2025-$0.50+$1.36
Q1 2025-$1.60+$0.63
Q4 2024-$2.17+$0.77

LPL is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.43 per share over the past year, against $3.80 at its worst in mid-2023.

MSFT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
Q4 2023: $11.05Q1 2024: $11.54Q2 2024: $11.80Q3 2024: $12.11Q4 2024: $12.41Q1 2025: $12.93Q2 2025: $13.64Q3 2025: $14.06Q4 2025: $15.99Q1 2026: $16.80Q2 2026: $17.95Q3 2026: $19.15Forward: $20.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$20.79+8.6%
Q3 2026$19.15+36%
Q2 2026$17.95+32%
Q1 2026$16.80+30%
Q4 2025$15.99+29%
Q3 2025$14.06+16%
Q2 2025$13.64+16%
Q1 2025$12.93+12%
Q4 2024$12.41+12%

MSFT has the edge over LPL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LPL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5.5BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: $5.9BQ1 2025: $4.5BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.2BQ4 2025: $5.4BQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $4.2BQ3 2026: $4.7B
Q4 2023: $5.5BQ1 2024: $3.9BQ2 2024: $5BQ3 2024: $5.1BQ4 2024: $5.9BQ1 2025: $4.5BQ2 2025: $4.2BQ3 2025: $5.2BQ4 2025: $5.4BQ1 2026: $4.1BQ2 2026: $4.2BQ3 2026: $4.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.7B-9.8%
Q2 2026$4.2B+0.4%
Q1 2026$4.1B-8.8%
Q4 2025$5.4B-8.1%
Q3 2025$5.2B+2%
Q2 2025$4.2B-17%
Q1 2025$4.5B+15%
Q4 2024$5.9B+5.9%

LPL's revenue has slid since its 2021 peak: $4.7B last quarter, down 9.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

MSFT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
Q4 2023: $62BQ1 2024: $61.9BQ2 2024: $64.7BQ3 2024: $65.6BQ4 2024: $69.6BQ1 2025: $70.1BQ2 2025: $76.4BQ3 2025: $77.7BQ4 2025: $81.3BQ1 2026: $82.9BQ2 2026: $90BQ3 2026: $92.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$92.3B+19%
Q2 2026$90B+18%
Q1 2026$82.9B+18%
Q4 2025$81.3B+17%
Q3 2025$77.7B+18%
Q2 2025$76.4B+18%
Q1 2025$70.1B+13%
Q4 2024$69.6B+12%

MSFT has the edge over LPL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LPL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$136MQ1 2024: −$996MQ2 2024: $315MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $873MQ1 2025: $165MQ2 2025: −$446MQ3 2025: $174MQ4 2025: $582,101Q1 2026: −$547MQ2 2026: $518MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2023: −$136MQ1 2024: −$996MQ2 2024: $315MQ3 2024: $97MQ4 2024: $873MQ1 2025: $165MQ2 2025: −$446MQ3 2025: $174MQ4 2025: $582,101Q1 2026: −$547MQ2 2026: $518MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$517.7M+$963.9M
Q1 2026-$547M-432%
Q4 2025$582.1K-100%
Q3 2025$173.9M+78%
Q2 2025-$446.2M-242%
Q1 2025$164.8M+$1.2B
Q4 2024$873M+$1B
Q3 2024$97.5M-70%

LPL has the edge over MSFT on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MSFT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
Q4 2023: $9.1BQ1 2024: $21BQ2 2024: $23.3BQ3 2024: $19.3BQ4 2024: $6.5BQ1 2025: $20.3BQ2 2025: $25.6BQ3 2025: $25.7BQ4 2025: $5.9BQ1 2026: $15.8BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $18.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$18.6B-27%
Q2 2026$19.6B-23%
Q1 2026$15.8B-22%
Q4 2025$5.9B-9.3%
Q3 2025$25.7B+33%
Q2 2025$25.6B+9.6%
Q1 2025$20.3B-3.2%
Q4 2024$6.5B-29%

MSFT's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $60B over the past year, down 23% from the year before.

LPL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 779MQ1 2024: 779MQ2 2024: 779MQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1BQ2 2025: 1BQ3 2025: 1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
Q4 2023: 779MQ1 2024: 779MQ2 2024: 779MQ3 2024: 1BQ4 2024: 1BQ1 2025: 1BQ2 2025: 1BQ3 2025: 1BQ4 2025: 1BQ1 2026: 1BQ2 2026: 1BQ3 2026: 1B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years+28%+221M shares
5 years+25%+202M shares
Available history+40%+284M shares

LPL has 1B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

MSFT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
Q4 2023: 7.5BQ1 2024: 7.5BQ2 2024: 7.5BQ3 2024: 7.5BQ4 2024: 7.5BQ1 2025: 7.5BQ2 2025: 7.5BQ3 2025: 7.5BQ4 2025: 7.5BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.5BQ3 2026: 7.4B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-7M shares
1 year-0.3%-20M shares
3 years-0.2%-16M shares
5 years-1.6%-121M shares
Available history-3.2%-245M shares

MSFT has the edge over LPL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LPL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.0xQ1 2024: 6.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.3xQ2 2026: 3.3x
Q4 2023: 9.0xQ1 2024: 6.0xQ2 2024: 4.3xQ3 2024: 3.0xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.0xQ2 2025: 2.1xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 2.0xQ1 2026: 2.3xQ2 2026: 3.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20262.3xModerate
Q4 20252.0xModerate
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.1xModerate
Q1 20253.0xModerate
Q4 20243.3xElevated
Q3 20243.0xElevated

LPL's net debt is about 3.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.1 years a year ago.

MSFT Net Leverage

Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
Q2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.1xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low

MSFT has the edge over LPL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LPL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.5Neutral
Stochastic6.2Oversold

LPL's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

MSFT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.1Neutral
Stochastic68.0Neutral

MSFT's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

LPL PE vs Technology Sector

MetricLPLSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

LPL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MSFT PE vs Technology Sector

MetricMSFTSector medianRelative
PE27x28x2% below
PE %163519 pts below

MSFT is trading at 27x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.

LPL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.746.2% below
20 week MA$3.0817% below
50 week MA$3.8734% below
100 week MA$3.8032% below
200 week MA$4.2740% below

LPL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% below its 200-week average.

MSFT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$524.70.3% below
20 week MA$484.87.9% above
50 week MA$446.917% above
100 week MA$453.815% above
200 week MA$411.527% above

MSFT has the edge over LPL on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LPL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.02$8.05+15%
2021$8.05$9.64+20%
2022$9.64$4.94-49%
2023$4.94$4.82-2.4%
2024$4.82$3.18-34%
2025$3.18$4.22+33%
2026 YTD$4.22$2.57-39%

LPL has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.

MSFT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$159.0$222.8+40%
2021$222.8$334.7+50%
2022$334.7$238.7-29%
2023$238.7$376.0+58%
2024$376.0$430.5+14%
2025$430.5$487.7+13%
2026 YTD$487.7$523.0+7.2%

MSFT has the edge over LPL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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