LOW
Lowe's Companies, Inc.
LOW has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN has a slight edge over LOW overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.
LOW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
LOW's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LOW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $206 | -9.6% |
| Forward | 18x | $227 | — |
| Current | 19x | $227 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $238 | +4.6% |
| Expensive | 23x | $268 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LOW's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LOW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect LOW's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over LOW on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
LOW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.71 | +7.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.83 | -3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.83 | -2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.85 | -3.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.08 | +0.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.19 | +0.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.09 | -3.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.23 | -7.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.03 | -8.4% |
LOW has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
LOW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26B | +8.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.1B | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.8B | +3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $24B | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.9B | -2% |
| Q1 2025 | $18.6B | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $20.2B | -1.5% |
LOW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $26B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | -0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.3% | -1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.9% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -0.6 points |
LOW has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over LOW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
LOW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -17% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $964M | +166% |
| Q4 2025 | $90M | -88% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7B | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | $363M | -26% |
| Q4 2024 | $728M | +50% |
LOW has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
LOW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
| 3 years | -4.3% | -25M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -147M shares |
| Available history | -27% | -210M shares |
LOW has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3M |
| Q2 2026 | $363M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $98M |
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $112M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $751M |
LOW spent $464M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 79% from the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
LOW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.7x | Moderate |
LOW's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.4 years a year ago.
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LOW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.7 | Neutral |
LOW's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
LOW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LOW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 18x | 6.7% above |
| PE % | 38 | 47 | 9 pts below |
LOW is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LOW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $201.7 | 13% above |
| 20 week MA | $206.8 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $229.3 | 0.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $233.9 | 2.8% below |
| 200 week MA | $230.0 | 1.1% below |
LOW has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
LOW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $120.2 | $162.8 | +35% |
| 2021 | $162.8 | $250.1 | +54% |
| 2022 | $250.1 | $201.9 | -19% |
| 2023 | $201.9 | $222.6 | +10% |
| 2024 | $222.6 | $248.3 | +12% |
| 2025 | $248.3 | $244.5 | -1.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $244.5 | $227.5 | -7% |
LOW has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.