LOW
Lowe's Companies, Inc.
LOW has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over LOW overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
LOW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
LOW's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
LOW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $206 | -9.6% |
| Forward | 18x | $227 | — |
| Current | 19x | $227 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $238 | +4.6% |
| Expensive | 23x | $268 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LOW's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over LOW in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
LOW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect LOW's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
LOW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.71 | +7.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.83 | -3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.83 | -2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.85 | -3.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.08 | +0.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.19 | +0.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.09 | -3.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.23 | -7.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.03 | -8.4% |
LOW has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
LOW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26B | +8.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.1B | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.8B | +3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $24B | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.9B | -2% |
| Q1 2025 | $18.6B | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $20.2B | -1.5% |
LOW has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | -0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.3% | -1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.9% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -0.6 points |
LOW has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
LOW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -17% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $964M | +166% |
| Q4 2025 | $90M | -88% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7B | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | $363M | -26% |
| Q4 2024 | $728M | +50% |
LOW has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
LOW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
| 3 years | -4.3% | -25M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -147M shares |
| Available history | -27% | -210M shares |
LOW has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3M |
| Q2 2026 | $363M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $98M |
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $112M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $751M |
LOW spent $464M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 79% from the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
LOW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.7x | Moderate |
LOW's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.4 years a year ago.
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over LOW on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LOW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.7 | Neutral |
LOW's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
LOW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LOW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 18x | 6.7% above |
| PE % | 38 | 47 | 9 pts below |
LOW is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE has the edge over LOW on valuation relative to its sector.
LOW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $201.7 | 13% above |
| 20 week MA | $206.8 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $229.3 | 0.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $233.9 | 2.8% below |
| 200 week MA | $230.0 | 1.1% below |
LOW has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
LOW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $120.2 | $162.8 | +35% |
| 2021 | $162.8 | $250.1 | +54% |
| 2022 | $250.1 | $201.9 | -19% |
| 2023 | $201.9 | $222.6 | +10% |
| 2024 | $222.6 | $248.3 | +12% |
| 2025 | $248.3 | $244.5 | -1.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $244.5 | $227.5 | -7% |
LOW has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.