LOW
Lowe's Companies, Inc.
LOW has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
NIO
NIO Inc.
NIO has the edge over LOW overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
LOW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
LOW's revenue and profitability are currently healthy, and its cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
NIO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Unavailable |
NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
LOW PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 17x | $206 | -9.6% |
| Forward | 18x | $227 | — |
| Current | 19x | $227 | — |
| Fair | 20x | $238 | +4.6% |
| Expensive | 23x | $268 | +18% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LOW's PE is in its fair range at 19x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 18x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
NIO PE Valuation
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LOW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect LOW's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
NIO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
NIO has the edge over LOW on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
LOW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.71 | +7.5% |
| Q3 2026 | $11.83 | -3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.83 | -2.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.85 | -3.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.08 | +0.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.19 | +0.7% |
| Q2 2025 | $12.09 | -3.2% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.23 | -7.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.03 | -8.4% |
LOW has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
NIO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -$0.29 | +$1.45 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.60 | +$1.16 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.60 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.59 | +$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.74 | -$0.10 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.76 | +$0.06 |
| Q4 2024 | -$1.66 | +$0.21 |
| Q3 2024 | -$1.61 | +$0.32 |
NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.
LOW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $26B | +8.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $23.1B | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $20.6B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $20.8B | +3.2% |
| Q3 2025 | $24B | +1.6% |
| Q2 2025 | $20.9B | -2% |
| Q1 2025 | $18.6B | -0.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $20.2B | -1.5% |
LOW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $26B last quarter, up 8.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -0.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 11% | -0.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.3% | -1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -0.7 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | -0.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 12% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.9% | +0.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 13% | -0.6 points |
LOW has the edge over NIO on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NIO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B | +69% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.8B | +112% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.2B | +76% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.3B | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | +9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.8B | +21% |
| Q4 2024 | $3B | +15% |
| Q3 2024 | $2.8B | -2.1% |
NIO has the edge over LOW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -2.1% | +24 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1.2% | +52 points |
| Q4 2025 | 2.3% | +33 points |
| Q3 2025 | -16% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -26% | +4 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +1.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | -31% | +8.1 points |
| Q3 2024 | -28% | -2.6 points |
NIO's operating margin was −2.1% last quarter, up 24 points from the same quarter a year ago.
LOW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3.1B | -17% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.8B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $964M | +166% |
| Q4 2025 | $90M | -88% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.7B | +37% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.9B | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | $363M | -26% |
| Q4 2024 | $728M | +50% |
LOW still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $7B over the past year.
NIO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $0 | +$2.1B |
| Q1 2026 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | +$391.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | -$2.1B | +$73.9M |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | -$391.3M | -386% |
| Q2 2024 | -$2.2B | +$337.9M |
NIO has the edge over LOW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
LOW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -- |
| 1 year | 0% | -- |
| 3 years | -4.3% | -25M shares |
| 5 years | -21% | -147M shares |
| Available history | -27% | -210M shares |
LOW has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $3M |
| Q2 2026 | $363M |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $98M |
| Q3 2025 | $1M |
| Q2 2025 | $112M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.4B |
| Q4 2024 | $751M |
LOW spent $464M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 79% from the year before.
NIO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +15.6M shares |
| 1 year | +12% | +267M shares |
| 3 years | +51% | +844M shares |
| 5 years | +60% | +933M shares |
| Available history | +143% | +1.5B shares |
NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NIO hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
LOW Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q4 2025 | 3.2x | Elevated |
| Q3 2025 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.6x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.7x | Moderate |
LOW's net debt is about 2.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.4 years a year ago.
NIO Net Leverage
NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
LOW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 58.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 77.7 | Neutral |
LOW's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 78 (neutral).
NIO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 30.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 6.9 | Oversold |
NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
LOW PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | LOW | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 19x | 18x | 6.7% above |
| PE % | 38 | 47 | 9 pts below |
LOW is trading at 19x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
LOW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $201.7 | 13% above |
| 20 week MA | $206.8 | 10% above |
| 50 week MA | $229.3 | 0.8% below |
| 100 week MA | $233.9 | 2.8% below |
| 200 week MA | $230.0 | 1.1% below |
LOW has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NIO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $3.36 | 9.2% below |
| 20 week MA | $4.01 | 24% below |
| 50 week MA | $4.81 | 37% below |
| 100 week MA | $4.85 | 37% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.03 | 49% below |
NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.
LOW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $120.2 | $162.8 | +35% |
| 2021 | $162.8 | $250.1 | +54% |
| 2022 | $250.1 | $201.9 | -19% |
| 2023 | $201.9 | $222.6 | +10% |
| 2024 | $222.6 | $248.3 | +12% |
| 2025 | $248.3 | $244.5 | -1.6% |
| 2026 YTD | $244.5 | $227.5 | -7% |
LOW has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NIO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.42 | $45.8 | +1791% |
| 2021 | $45.8 | $30.5 | -33% |
| 2022 | $30.5 | $11.0 | -64% |
| 2023 | $11.0 | $9.07 | -17% |
| 2024 | $9.07 | $4.48 | -51% |
| 2025 | $4.48 | $5.10 | +14% |
| 2026 YTD | $5.10 | $3.05 | -40% |
NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.