LOVE

The Lovesac Company

69
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation81/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

LOVE has the edge over NKE overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

NKE

NIKE, Inc.

60
Fundamentals56/ 100
Valuation80/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential18/ 100

NKE has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

LOVE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

LOVE's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NKE Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

LOVE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x90x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE23x45x68x90x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$15.39+1%
Current13x$15.23—
Fair23x$27.75+82%
Expensive52x$63.42+316%
Forward223x$15.23—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LOVE's PE is in its cheap range at 13x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 223x, in its expensive range.

NKE PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE21x43x64x86x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$37.76—
Cheap23x$47.70+26%
Forward30x$37.76—
Fair33x$68.16+80%
Expensive47x$97.86+159%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

NKE has the edge over LOVE in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LOVE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Returning to profit
Growth
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect LOVE to return to profit, with revenue growing.

NKE Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly deteriorating
Stable
Decline
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LOVE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+54%$23.42
Downside-29%$10.80

Calculated from the latest close: $15.23 on Nov 12.

LOVE has a better modeled risk to reward balance than NKE, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

NKE Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$47.36
Downside-18%$30.83

Calculated from the latest close: $37.76 on Nov 12.

NKE trails LOVE on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LOVE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $0.89Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.38Q1 2025: $0.69Q2 2025: $0.79Q3 2025: $0.72Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.28Q2 2026: $0.25Q3 2026: $1.21Forward: $0.07
Q4 2023: $1.20Q1 2024: $1.45Q2 2024: $0.89Q3 2024: $0.55Q4 2024: $0.38Q1 2025: $0.69Q2 2025: $0.79Q3 2025: $0.72Q4 2025: $0.32Q1 2026: $0.28Q2 2026: $0.25Q3 2026: $1.21Forward: $0.07
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.07-94%
Q3 2026$1.21+68%
Q2 2026$0.25-68%
Q1 2026$0.28-59%
Q4 2025$0.32-16%
Q3 2025$0.72+31%
Q2 2025$0.79-11%
Q1 2025$0.69-52%
Q4 2024$0.38-68%

LOVE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.21 over the past year, against $2.86 in early 2022.

NKE Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
Q4 2023: $3.42Q1 2024: $3.40Q2 2024: $3.73Q3 2024: $3.49Q4 2024: $3.24Q1 2025: $3.01Q2 2025: $2.16Q3 2025: $1.95Q4 2025: $1.70Q1 2026: $1.51Q2 2026: $2.10Q3 2026: $2.09Forward: $1.27
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.27-39%
Q3 2026$2.09+7.2%
Q2 2026$2.10-2.8%
Q1 2026$1.51-50%
Q4 2025$1.70-48%
Q3 2025$1.95-44%
Q2 2025$2.16-42%
Q1 2025$3.01-11%
Q4 2024$3.24-5.3%

NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.

LOVE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: $251MQ2 2024: $133MQ3 2024: $157MQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $241MQ2 2025: $138MQ3 2025: $161MQ4 2025: $150MQ1 2026: $248MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: $161M
Q4 2023: $154MQ1 2024: $251MQ2 2024: $133MQ3 2024: $157MQ4 2024: $150MQ1 2025: $241MQ2 2025: $138MQ3 2025: $161MQ4 2025: $150MQ1 2026: $248MQ2 2026: $138MQ3 2026: $161M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$161.2M+0.4%
Q2 2026$138.2M-0.1%
Q1 2026$248M+2.7%
Q4 2025$150.2M+0.2%
Q3 2025$160.5M+2.5%
Q2 2025$138.4M+4.3%
Q1 2025$241.5M-3.6%
Q4 2024$149.9M-2.7%

LOVE has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
Q4 2023: $13.4BQ1 2024: $12.4BQ2 2024: $12.6BQ3 2024: $11.6BQ4 2024: $12.4BQ1 2025: $11.3BQ2 2025: $11.1BQ3 2025: $11.7BQ4 2025: $12.4BQ1 2026: $11.3BQ2 2026: $11BQ3 2026: $11.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$11.2B-4.3%
Q2 2026$11B-1.1%
Q1 2026$11.3B+0.1%
Q4 2025$12.4B+0.6%
Q3 2025$11.7B+1.1%
Q2 2025$11.1B-12%
Q1 2025$11.3B-9.3%
Q4 2024$12.4B-7.7%

NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.

LOVE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: $119,000Q4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: −$50MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: −$40MQ3 2026: $17M
Q4 2023: −$17MQ1 2024: $50MQ2 2024: −$14MQ3 2024: $119,000Q4 2024: −$7MQ1 2025: $39MQ2 2025: −$50MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: −$10MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: −$40MQ3 2026: $17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$17.4M+122%
Q2 2026-$40.4M+$9.6M
Q1 2026$78.5M+103%
Q4 2025-$10.2M-$3.6M
Q3 2025$7.8M+6482%
Q2 2025-$50M-$35.6M
Q1 2025$38.7M-22%
Q4 2024-$6.6M+$10.2M

LOVE has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

NKE Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
Q4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.9BQ2 2024: $2.4BQ3 2024: $274MQ4 2024: $920MQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $363MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $386MQ1 2026: $284MQ2 2026: $1.5BQ3 2026: −$64M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$64M-527%
Q2 2026$1.5B+313%
Q1 2026$284M-83%
Q4 2025$386M-58%
Q3 2025$15M-95%
Q2 2025$363M-85%
Q1 2025$1.7B-11%
Q4 2024$920M-65%

NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.

LOVE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
Q4 2023: 16MQ1 2024: 16MQ2 2024: 16MQ3 2024: 16MQ4 2024: 16MQ1 2025: 17MQ2 2025: 15MQ3 2025: 15MQ4 2025: 15MQ1 2026: 15MQ2 2026: 15MQ3 2026: 15M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-15.9K shares
1 year+0.2%+28.3K shares
3 years-5%-770K shares
5 years-9%-1.4M shares
Available history+0.8%+114K shares

LOVE has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NKE Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
Q4 2023: 1.5BQ1 2024: 1.5BQ2 2024: 1.5BQ3 2024: 1.5BQ4 2024: 1.5BQ1 2025: 1.5BQ2 2025: 1.5BQ3 2025: 1.5BQ4 2025: 1.5BQ1 2026: 1.5BQ2 2026: 1.5BQ3 2026: 1.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+3.2M shares
1 year+0.4%+5.2M shares
3 years-3.8%-59.1M shares
5 years-8.4%-135M shares
Available history-6.9%-110M shares

NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

LOVE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -3.0xQ4 2024: -3.0xQ1 2025: -3.0xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -5.0xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -1.8x
Q4 2023: -1.0xQ1 2024: -2.1xQ2 2024: -2.3xQ3 2024: -3.0xQ4 2024: -3.0xQ1 2025: -3.0xQ2 2025: -0.9xQ3 2025: -1.1xQ4 2025: -1.0xQ1 2026: -5.0xQ2 2026: -3.1xQ3 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q2 2026-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-5.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-1.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-1.1xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.9xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.0xNet Cash
Q4 2024-3.0xNet Cash

LOVE has the edge over NKE on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

NKE Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: -0.0xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: 0.1xQ4 2024: 0.2xQ1 2025: 0.1xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.2xVery low
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20250.1xVery low
Q4 20240.2xVery low
Q3 20240.1xVery low
Q2 2024-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.0xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

NKE's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

LOVE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.8Neutral
Stochastic45.2Neutral

LOVE's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

NKE Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.0Neutral
Stochastic57.5Neutral

NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).

LOVE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricLOVESector medianRelative
PE13x18x30% below
PE %154732 pts below

LOVE has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.

NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricNKESector medianRelative
PE18x18x0.3% above
PE %24745 pts below

NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

LOVE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$15.20.3% above
20 week MA$15.94.1% below
50 week MA$15.10.9% above
100 week MA$17.011% below
200 week MA$20.927% below

LOVE has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NKE Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$36.72.8% above
20 week MA$39.23.6% below
50 week MA$48.021% below
100 week MA$58.435% below
200 week MA$79.252% below

NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.

LOVE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$14.8$44.3+199%
2021$44.3$67.1+51%
2022$67.1$20.0-70%
2023$20.0$25.6+28%
2024$25.6$24.3-5%
2025$24.3$15.3-37%
2026 YTD$15.3$15.2-0.3%

LOVE has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NKE Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$101.6$141.6+39%
2021$141.6$165.7+17%
2022$165.7$116.3-30%
2023$116.3$108.6-6.6%
2024$108.6$76.4-30%
2025$76.4$60.9-20%
2026 YTD$60.9$37.8-38%

NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.

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