LOAR

Loar Holdings Inc.

64
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

LOAR has the edge over RDW overall, supported by lower modeled downside.

RDW

Redwire Corporation

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

RDW offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

LOAR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Strong
Weak

LOAR's revenue and cash flow are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is weak.

RDW Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LOAR PE Valuation

LOAR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE Valuation

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LOAR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LOAR, with profitability improving.

RDW Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

LOAR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$101.66
Downside-25%$56.00

Calculated from the latest close: $75.04 on Nov 12.

LOAR trails RDW on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

RDW Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+109%$16.79
Downside-52%$3.87

Calculated from the latest close: $8.03 on Nov 12.

RDW has a better modeled risk to reward balance than LOAR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LOAR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.06Forward: $1.53
Q4 2023: $-0.06Forward: $1.53
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.53—
Q4 2023-$0.06-$0.03

LOAR lost $0.06 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

RDW Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
Q4 2023: $-0.73Q1 2024: $-0.72Q2 2024: $-0.98Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-2.35Q1 2025: $-2.27Q2 2025: $-3.26Q3 2025: $-3.18Q4 2025: $-2.28Q1 2026: $-2.59Q2 2026: $-1.37Q3 2026: $-1.17
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.17+$2.01
Q2 2026-$1.37+$1.89
Q1 2026-$2.59-$0.32
Q4 2025-$2.28+$0.07
Q3 2025-$3.18-$1.97
Q2 2025-$3.26-$2.28
Q1 2025-$2.27-$1.55
Q4 2024-$2.35-$1.62

RDW has the edge over LOAR in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

LOAR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $97MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $110MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $123MQ3 2025: $127MQ4 2025: $132MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $172MQ3 2026: $176M
Q4 2023: $86MQ1 2024: $92MQ2 2024: $97MQ3 2024: $104MQ4 2024: $110MQ1 2025: $115MQ2 2025: $123MQ3 2025: $127MQ4 2025: $132MQ1 2026: $156MQ2 2026: $172MQ3 2026: $176M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$176.2M+39%
Q2 2026$171.6M+39%
Q1 2026$156.1M+36%
Q4 2025$131.8M+19%
Q3 2025$126.8M+22%
Q2 2025$123.1M+27%
Q1 2025$114.7M+25%
Q4 2024$110.4M+28%

LOAR's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2023: $176M last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

RDW Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
Q4 2023: $63MQ1 2024: $88MQ2 2024: $78MQ3 2024: $69MQ4 2024: $70MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $62MQ3 2025: $103MQ4 2025: $109MQ1 2026: $97MQ2 2026: $117MQ3 2026: $109M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$109M+5.4%
Q2 2026$117.1M+90%
Q1 2026$97M+58%
Q4 2025$108.8M+56%
Q3 2025$103.4M+51%
Q2 2025$61.8M-21%
Q1 2025$61.4M-30%
Q4 2024$69.6M+9.6%

RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

LOAR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $45M
Q4 2023: $8MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $7MQ3 2024: $16MQ4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: $28MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: $30MQ4 2025: $30MQ1 2026: $31MQ2 2026: $30MQ3 2026: $45M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$44.9M+51%
Q2 2026$30.3M+27%
Q1 2026$30.9M+9%
Q4 2025$30.4M+47%
Q3 2025$29.7M+82%
Q2 2025$23.8M+236%
Q1 2025$28.4M+162%
Q4 2024$20.7M+169%

LOAR has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

RDW Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
Q4 2023: $14MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: −$10MQ3 2024: −$19MQ4 2024: $5MQ1 2025: −$47MQ2 2025: −$91MQ3 2025: −$27MQ4 2025: −$26MQ1 2026: −$11MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$65M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$65.3M-$38.5M
Q2 2026-$33.5M+$57.2M
Q1 2026-$11.4M+$35.5M
Q4 2025-$26.5M-659%
Q3 2025-$26.9M-$7.6M
Q2 2025-$90.6M-$80.2M
Q1 2025-$46.9M-3996%
Q4 2024$4.7M-65%

RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.

LOAR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 88M
Q4 2023: 88M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--

LOAR has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

RDW Total Shares

Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
Q4 2023: 65MQ1 2024: 66MQ2 2024: 66MQ3 2024: 67MQ4 2024: 66MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 90MQ3 2025: 146MQ1 2026: 194MQ2 2026: 220MQ3 2026: 250M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+29.6M shares
1 year+179%+160M shares
3 years+289%+186M shares
5 years+319%+190M shares

RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.

LOAR Net Leverage

Q1 2024: 4.8xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 5.4xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 5.3xQ1 2026: 6.8xQ2 2026: 5.9xQ3 2026: 5.0x
Q1 2024: 4.8xQ2 2024: 1.7xQ3 2024: 5.4xQ4 2024: 2.3xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 5.3xQ1 2026: 6.8xQ2 2026: 5.9xQ3 2026: 5.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20265.0xHigh
Q2 20265.9xHigh
Q1 20266.8xHigh
Q4 20255.3xHigh
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20242.3xModerate

LOAR's net debt is about 5.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 1.6 years a year ago.

RDW Net Leverage

RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LOAR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.2Neutral
Stochastic53.0Neutral

LOAR's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 53 (neutral).

RDW Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI42.3Neutral
Stochastic16.1Oversold

RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

LOAR PE vs Industrials Sector

LOAR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

RDW PE vs Industrials Sector

RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LOAR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$65.614% above
20 week MA$69.18.6% above
50 week MA$67.212% above
100 week MA$72.33.8% above

LOAR has stronger trend alignment. LOAR is above 4 of 4 weekly averages versus RDW above 0 of 5.

RDW Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.0611% below
20 week MA$10.120% below
50 week MA$10.624% below
100 week MA$11.631% below
200 week MA$8.070.5% below

RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.

LOAR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2024$49.7$74.9+51%
2025$74.9$69.1-7.7%
2026 YTD$69.1$75.0+8.6%

LOAR has finished lower in one of the last two years. It's up 8.6% so far in 2026.

RDW Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.2$7.34-28%
2022$7.34$1.92-74%
2023$1.92$2.85+48%
2024$2.85$17.1+501%
2025$17.1$7.15-58%
2026 YTD$7.15$8.03+12%

RDW has the edge over LOAR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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