LMND

Lemonade, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score LMND yet.

MS

Morgan Stanley

62
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation48/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

MS's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 16% and earnings per share grew 29%. At 15x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 14x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

LMND Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
N/A
N/A

LMND's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like LMND.

MS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

MS's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like MS.

LMND PE Valuation

LMND has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.5x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$134-29%
Fair14x$178-5.7%
Forward14x$189—
Current15x$189—
Expensive18x$223+18%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MS's PE is in its fair range at 15x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 14x next year's earnings.

LMND Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect LMND's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MS, with profitability improving.

LMND Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknown—
DownsideUnknown—

Calculated from the latest close: $42.96 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LMND and MS's risk to reward.

MS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$243.85
Downside-11%$168.44

Calculated from the latest close: $189.17 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LMND and MS's risk to reward.

LMND Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.40Q1 2024: $-3.12Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-3.03Q4 2024: $-2.85Q1 2025: $-3.04Q2 2025: $-2.83Q3 2025: $-2.39Q4 2025: $-2.24Q1 2026: $-1.85Q2 2026: $-1.81Q3 2026: $-1.86
Q4 2023: $-3.40Q1 2024: $-3.12Q2 2024: $-2.96Q3 2024: $-3.03Q4 2024: $-2.85Q1 2025: $-3.04Q2 2025: $-2.83Q3 2025: $-2.39Q4 2025: $-2.24Q1 2026: $-1.85Q2 2026: $-1.81Q3 2026: $-1.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.86+$0.53
Q2 2026-$1.81+$1.02
Q1 2026-$1.85+$1.19
Q4 2025-$2.24+$0.61
Q3 2025-$2.39+$0.64
Q2 2025-$2.83+$0.13
Q1 2025-$3.04+$0.08
Q4 2024-$2.85+$0.55

LMND is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.86 per share over the past year, against $4.83 at its worst in late 2022.

MS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
Q4 2023: $5.18Q1 2024: $5.50Q2 2024: $6.08Q3 2024: $6.58Q4 2024: $7.95Q1 2025: $8.53Q2 2025: $8.84Q3 2025: $9.76Q4 2025: $10.21Q1 2026: $11.04Q2 2026: $12.37Q3 2026: $12.60Forward: $13.39
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$13.39+6.3%
Q3 2026$12.60+29%
Q2 2026$12.37+40%
Q1 2026$11.04+29%
Q4 2025$10.21+28%
Q3 2025$9.76+48%
Q2 2025$8.84+45%
Q1 2025$8.53+55%
Q4 2024$7.95+53%

MS has the edge over LMND on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

LMND Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $122MQ3 2024: $137MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: $151MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $195MQ4 2025: $228MQ1 2026: $258MQ2 2026: $294MQ3 2026: $336M
Q4 2023: $116MQ1 2024: $119MQ2 2024: $122MQ3 2024: $137MQ4 2024: $149MQ1 2025: $151MQ2 2025: $164MQ3 2025: $195MQ4 2025: $228MQ1 2026: $258MQ2 2026: $294MQ3 2026: $336M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$336.1M+73%
Q2 2026$294.4M+79%
Q1 2026$258M+71%
Q4 2025$228.1M+53%
Q3 2025$194.5M+42%
Q2 2025$164.1M+35%
Q1 2025$151.2M+27%
Q4 2024$148.8M+29%

LMND has the edge over MS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

MS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
Q4 2023: $12.9BQ1 2024: $15.1BQ2 2024: $15BQ3 2024: $15.4BQ4 2024: $16.2BQ1 2025: $17.7BQ2 2025: $16.8BQ3 2025: $18.2BQ4 2025: $17.9BQ1 2026: $20.6BQ2 2026: $21.3BQ3 2026: $20.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.3B+12%
Q2 2026$21.3B+27%
Q1 2026$20.6B+16%
Q4 2025$17.9B+10%
Q3 2025$18.2B+18%
Q2 2025$16.8B+12%
Q1 2025$17.7B+17%
Q4 2024$16.2B+26%

MS's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $20.3B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

LMND Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$19MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: $2M
Q4 2023: −$19MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: −$13MQ3 2024: $14MQ4 2024: $11MQ1 2025: −$50MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $18MQ1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: $2M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1.9M-27%
Q2 2026-$8M-335%
Q1 2026-$4.1M+$45.4M
Q4 2025$17.6M+66%
Q3 2025$2.6M-82%
Q2 2025$3.4M+$16.6M
Q1 2025-$49.5M-$17.2M
Q4 2024$10.6M+$29.1M

LMND has the edge over MS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

MS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
Q4 2023: −$17.8BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $2.5BQ3 2024: −$17.3BQ4 2024: $11.8BQ1 2025: −$24BQ2 2025: $11.8BQ3 2025: −$3.3BQ4 2025: −$2.4BQ1 2026: −$7.1BQ2 2026: −$2.7BQ3 2026: −$46B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$46B-$42.7B
Q2 2026-$2.7B-123%
Q1 2026-$7.1B+$16.9B
Q4 2025-$2.4B-120%
Q3 2025-$3.3B+$14B
Q2 2025$11.8B+368%
Q1 2025-$24B-650%
Q4 2024$11.8B+$29.6B

MS's free cash flow was −$58.3B over the past year, against −$3.7B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

LMND Total Shares

Q4 2023: 70MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 71MQ3 2024: 71MQ4 2024: 71MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 74MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 78M
Q4 2023: 70MQ1 2024: 70MQ2 2024: 71MQ3 2024: 71MQ4 2024: 71MQ1 2025: 73MQ2 2025: 73MQ3 2025: 74MQ4 2025: 74MQ1 2026: 76MQ2 2026: 77MQ3 2026: 78M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.7%+561K shares
1 year+4.5%+3.4M shares
3 years+11%+7.8M shares
5 years+26%+16M shares
Available history+78%+33.9M shares

LMND has 78M diluted shares, up 4.5% from a year ago.

MS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
Q4 2023: 1.6BQ1 2024: 1.6BQ2 2024: 1.6BQ3 2024: 1.6BQ4 2024: 1.6BQ1 2025: 1.6BQ2 2025: 1.6BQ3 2025: 1.6BQ4 2025: 1.6BQ1 2026: 1.6BQ2 2026: 1.6BQ3 2026: 1.6B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.2%-3M shares
1 year-1.5%-24M shares
3 years-4.7%-77M shares
5 years-14%-246M shares
Available history-4.5%-74M shares

MS has the edge over LMND on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LMND Net Leverage

MS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
Q4 2023: 10.7xQ1 2024: 9.8xQ2 2024: 9.8xQ3 2024: 10.2xQ4 2024: 7.9xQ1 2025: 8.7xQ2 2025: 8.7xQ3 2025: 8.4xQ4 2025: 8.6xQ1 2026: 8.2xQ2 2026: 7.3xQ3 2026: 7.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20267.8xHigh
Q2 20267.3xHigh
Q1 20268.2xHigh
Q4 20258.6xHigh
Q3 20258.4xHigh
Q2 20258.7xHigh
Q1 20258.7xHigh
Q4 20247.9xHigh

MS's net debt is about 7.8 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.4 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like MS.

LMND Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.1Neutral
Stochastic9.9Oversold

LMND's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

MS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI45.0Neutral
Stochastic18.7Oversold

MS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 19 (oversold).

LMND PE vs Financial Services Sector

LMND has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

MS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricMSSector medianRelative
PE15x13x15% above
PE %59634 pts below

MS is trading at 15x earnings, a 15% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

LMND Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.12.5% below
20 week MA$51.617% below
50 week MA$60.028% below
100 week MA$51.517% below
200 week MA$34.724% above

LMND has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 24% above its 200-week average.

MS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$186.51.5% above
20 week MA$203.36.9% below
50 week MA$191.91.4% below
100 week MA$164.915% above
200 week MA$129.346% above

MS has the edge over LMND on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

LMND Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$69.4$125.1+80%
2021$125.1$45.7-64%
2022$45.7$14.4-68%
2023$14.4$16.1+12%
2024$16.1$39.4+144%
2025$39.4$74.7+90%
2026 YTD$74.7$43.0-42%

LMND's yearly returns have swung widely, from +144% in 2024 to −68% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.

MS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$51.1$68.1+33%
2021$68.1$99.3+46%
2022$99.3$86.1-13%
2023$86.1$93.3+8.3%
2024$93.3$126.8+36%
2025$126.8$181.9+43%
2026 YTD$181.9$189.2+4%

MS has the edge over LMND on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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