LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

XCUR

Exicure, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score XCUR yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

XCUR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Under pressure
Unavailable
Strong

XCUR's balance sheet is currently strong, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue and cash flow.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

XCUR PE Valuation

XCUR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

XCUR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect XCUR's losses to grow, with revenue growing.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and XCUR's risk to reward.

XCUR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.06 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and XCUR's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over XCUR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

XCUR Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $11.25Q4 2023: $-10.55Q1 2024: $-7.55Q2 2024: $-4.50Q3 2024: $-2.02Q4 2024: $-4.75Q1 2025: $-3.76Q2 2025: $-3.82Q3 2025: $-3.64Q4 2025: $-0.79Q1 2026: $-1.57Q2 2026: $-1.34
Q3 2023: $11.25Q4 2023: $-10.55Q1 2024: $-7.55Q2 2024: $-4.50Q3 2024: $-2.02Q4 2024: $-4.75Q1 2025: $-3.76Q2 2025: $-3.82Q3 2025: $-3.64Q4 2025: $-0.79Q1 2026: $-1.57Q2 2026: $-1.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$1.34+$2.48
Q1 2026-$1.57+$2.19
Q4 2025-$0.79+$3.96
Q3 2025-$3.64-$1.62
Q2 2025-$3.82+$0.68
Q1 2025-$3.76+$3.79
Q4 2024-$4.75+$5.80
Q3 2024-$2.02-118%

XCUR is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.34 per share over the past year, against $82.50 at its worst in mid-2021.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over XCUR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

XCUR Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: $0Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2022$21.8M+928%
Q2 2022$2.5M+3028%
Q1 2022$2.6M+157%
Q4 2021$2.1M+1413%
Q2 2021$79K-98%
Q1 2021$997K-89%
Q4 2020$140K-55%
Q3 2020$2.4M+364%

XCUR's revenue is shrinking: $0 last quarter.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 259% versus its history, compared with XCUR at up 68%.

XCUR Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: โˆ’$1MQ4 2023: โˆ’$816,000Q1 2024: โˆ’$450,000Q2 2024: โˆ’$1MQ3 2024: โˆ’$449,000Q4 2024: โˆ’$845,000Q1 2025: โˆ’$2MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$934,000Q1 2026: โˆ’$1MQ2 2026: --
Q3 2023: โˆ’$1MQ4 2023: โˆ’$816,000Q1 2024: โˆ’$450,000Q2 2024: โˆ’$1MQ3 2024: โˆ’$449,000Q4 2024: โˆ’$845,000Q1 2025: โˆ’$2MQ2 2025: --Q3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$934,000Q1 2026: โˆ’$1MQ2 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q1 2026-$1.1M+$456K
Q4 2025-$934K-$89K
Q3 2025-$3.4M-$3M
Q1 2025-$1.6M-$1.1M
Q4 2024-$845K-$29K
Q3 2024-$449K+$963K
Q2 2024-$1.2M+$3.6M
Q1 2024-$450K+$2.9M

XCUR has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$7M over the past year, against โˆ’$3M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over XCUR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

XCUR Total Shares

Q3 2023: 2MQ4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
Q3 2023: 2MQ4 2023: 2MQ1 2024: 2MQ2 2024: 2MQ3 2024: 2MQ4 2024: 2MQ1 2025: 6MQ2 2025: 6MQ3 2025: 6MQ4 2025: 6MQ1 2026: 6MQ2 2026: 6M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+25 shares
1 year+0.9%+56.2K shares
3 years+278%+4.7M shares
5 years+996%+5.8M shares
Available history+1379%+5.9M shares

XCUR has 6M diluted shares, up 0.9% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

XCUR Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.2x
Q3 2023: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2023-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.6xNet Cash
Q1 2023-4.0xNet Cash

XCUR has more cash than debt.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

XCUR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.4Neutral
Stochastic20.3Neutral

XCUR's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 20 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

XCUR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricXCURSector medianRelative
PEN/A26xโ€”

XCUR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over XCUR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

XCUR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.081.9% below
20 week MA$1.3119% below
50 week MA$3.0265% below
100 week MA$5.8282% below
200 week MA$5.1279% below

XCUR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over XCUR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XCUR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$417.0$289.5-31%
2021$289.5$32.6-89%
2022$32.6$6.40-80%
2023$6.40$2.90-55%
2024$2.90$17.6+506%
2025$17.6$5.99-66%
2026 YTD$5.99$1.06-82%

XCUR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +506% in 2024 to โˆ’89% in 2021. It's down 82% so far in 2026.

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