LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

XBIT

XBiotech Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score XBIT yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

XBIT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

XBIT's revenue and profitability are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

XBIT PE Valuation

XBIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over XBIT on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and revenue expectations.

XBIT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect XBIT's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and XBIT's risk to reward.

XBIT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.96 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and XBIT's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over XBIT on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

XBIT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-1.01Q2 2024: $-1.15Q3 2024: $-1.07Q4 2024: $-1.26Q1 2025: $-1.29Q2 2025: $-0.92Q3 2025: $-0.96Q4 2025: $-1.49Q1 2026: $-1.31Q2 2026: $-1.47Q3 2026: $-1.42Forward: $0.12
Q4 2023: $-0.81Q1 2024: $-1.01Q2 2024: $-1.15Q3 2024: $-1.07Q4 2024: $-1.26Q1 2025: $-1.29Q2 2025: $-0.92Q3 2025: $-0.96Q4 2025: $-1.49Q1 2026: $-1.31Q2 2026: $-1.47Q3 2026: $-1.42Forward: $0.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.12โ€”
Q3 2026-$1.42-$0.46
Q2 2026-$1.47-$0.55
Q1 2026-$1.31-$0.02
Q4 2025-$1.49-$0.23
Q3 2025-$0.96+$0.11
Q2 2025-$0.92+$0.23
Q1 2025-$1.29-$0.28
Q4 2024-$1.26-$0.45

XBIT lost $1.42 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the stronger quarterly revenue trend. Revenue is up 39% for LLY versus down 100% for XBIT.

XBIT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: --Q3 2024: --Q4 2024: --Q1 2025: --Q2 2025: --Q3 2025: --Q4 2025: --Q1 2026: --Q2 2026: --Q3 2026: --
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2022$300K-93%
Q3 2022$1.7M-63%
Q2 2022$1.5M-66%
Q1 2022$500K-90%
Q4 2021$4.5M-15%
Q3 2021$4.5M-57%
Q2 2021$4.5M-71%
Q1 2021$4.9M-62%

XBIT's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $0 last quarter, down 100% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over XBIT on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

XBIT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: โˆ’$7MQ2 2024: โˆ’$12MQ3 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2024: โˆ’$7MQ1 2025: โˆ’$7MQ2 2025: โˆ’$6MQ3 2025: โˆ’$4MQ4 2025: โˆ’$23MQ1 2026: โˆ’$9MQ2 2026: โˆ’$5MQ3 2026: โˆ’$5M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: โˆ’$7MQ2 2024: โˆ’$12MQ3 2024: โˆ’$6MQ4 2024: โˆ’$7MQ1 2025: โˆ’$7MQ2 2025: โˆ’$6MQ3 2025: โˆ’$4MQ4 2025: โˆ’$23MQ1 2026: โˆ’$9MQ2 2026: โˆ’$5MQ3 2026: โˆ’$5M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$4.5M-$164K
Q2 2026-$4.5M+$1.5M
Q1 2026-$9M-$2.2M
Q4 2025-$23M-$16.4M
Q3 2025-$4.4M+$1.8M
Q2 2025-$6M+$6M
Q1 2025-$6.8M+$643K
Q4 2024-$6.6M-$3.1M

XBIT has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$41M over the past year, against โˆ’$24M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over XBIT on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

XBIT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 30MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ4 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 30MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 30MQ4 2025: 30MQ1 2026: 30MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%--
1 year0%--
3 years+0.2%+51.1K shares
5 years+0.5%+146K shares
Available history-16%-5.7M shares

XBIT has 30M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

XBIT Net Leverage

XBIT's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

XBIT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.5Neutral
Stochastic16.4Oversold

XBIT's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

XBIT PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricXBITSector medianRelative
PEN/A26xโ€”

XBIT has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over XBIT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

XBIT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.054.4% below
20 week MA$2.179.7% below
50 week MA$2.3216% below
100 week MA$2.6927% below
200 week MA$4.1252% below

XBIT is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 52% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over XBIT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

XBIT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$19.2$16.7-13%
2021$16.7$11.3-32%
2022$11.3$3.08-73%
2023$3.08$4.00+30%
2024$4.00$3.80-5%
2025$3.80$2.47-35%
2026 YTD$2.47$1.96-21%

XBIT has finished lower in five of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

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