LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over WGS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

WGS

GeneDx Holdings Corp.

47
Fundamentals36/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential45/ 100

WGS's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

WGS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Weak
Strong

WGS's balance sheet is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and cash flow are weak.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

WGS PE Valuation

WGS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 59x next year's earnings.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

WGS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect WGS to return to profit, with revenue growing.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than WGS, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

WGS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+84%$95.43
Downside-45%$28.44

Calculated from the latest close: $51.87 on Nov 12.

WGS trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over WGS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

WGS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-7.23Q1 2024: $-4.97Q2 2024: $-4.23Q3 2024: $-2.90Q4 2024: $-1.94Q1 2025: $-1.39Q2 2025: $0.07Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $-2.66Q2 2026: $-3.62Q3 2026: $-3.76Forward: $0.88
Q4 2023: $-7.23Q1 2024: $-4.97Q2 2024: $-4.23Q3 2024: $-2.90Q4 2024: $-1.94Q1 2025: $-1.39Q2 2025: $0.07Q3 2025: $0.11Q4 2025: $-0.73Q1 2026: $-2.66Q2 2026: $-3.62Q3 2026: $-3.76Forward: $0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.88—
Q3 2026-$3.76-3518%
Q2 2026-$3.62-5271%
Q1 2026-$2.66-$1.27
Q4 2025-$0.73+$1.21
Q3 2025$0.11+$3.01
Q2 2025$0.07+$4.30
Q1 2025-$1.39+$3.58
Q4 2024-$1.94+$5.29

WGS has swung to a loss: it lost $3.76 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over WGS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

WGS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $96MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $117MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $102MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $123M
Q4 2023: $57MQ1 2024: $62MQ2 2024: $71MQ3 2024: $77MQ4 2024: $96MQ1 2025: $87MQ2 2025: $103MQ3 2025: $117MQ4 2025: $121MQ1 2026: $102MQ2 2026: $114MQ3 2026: $123M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$123.1M+5.4%
Q2 2026$114.4M+11%
Q1 2026$102.3M+17%
Q4 2025$121M+27%
Q3 2025$116.7M+52%
Q2 2025$102.7M+46%
Q1 2025$87.1M+40%
Q4 2024$95.6M+67%

WGS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $123M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over WGS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

WGS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$32MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$39MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: −$16M
Q4 2023: −$32MQ1 2024: −$17MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$5MQ4 2024: −$6MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: −$7MQ1 2026: −$39MQ2 2026: −$39MQ3 2026: −$16M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$15.8M-265%
Q2 2026-$39.1M-586%
Q1 2026-$38.9M-1059%
Q4 2025-$7.4M-$1.2M
Q3 2025$9.6M+$14.6M
Q2 2025$8.1M+$13.9M
Q1 2025$4.1M+$20.9M
Q4 2024-$6.2M+$26M

WGS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$101M over the past year, against $15M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over WGS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

WGS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
Q4 2023: 24MQ1 2024: 26MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 27MQ4 2024: 27MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 30MQ3 2025: 29MQ4 2025: 29MQ1 2026: 29MQ2 2026: 30MQ3 2026: 30M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+170K shares
1 year+3.8%+1.1M shares
3 years+16%+4.1M shares

WGS has 30M diluted shares, up 3.8% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

WGS Net Leverage

Q2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q2 2025: -1.5xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q2 2025-1.5xNet Cash

WGS has more cash than debt.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

WGS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.6Neutral
Stochastic14.6Oversold

WGS's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

WGS PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricWGSSector medianRelative
PEN/A26x—

WGS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over WGS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

WGS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$66.522% below
20 week MA$72.729% below
50 week MA$79.835% below
100 week MA$89.142% below
200 week MA$54.04% below

WGS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 4% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over WGS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

WGS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$323.4$382.5+18%
2021$382.5$154.1-60%
2022$154.1$8.02-95%
2023$8.02$2.75-66%
2024$2.75$78.1+2738%
2025$78.1$133.8+71%
2026 YTD$133.8$51.9-61%

WGS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +2738% in 2024 to −95% in 2022. It's down 61% so far in 2026.

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