LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

VYGR

Voyager Therapeutics, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score VYGR yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VYGR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Weak
Strong

VYGR's balance sheet is currently strong, but its revenue, profitability and cash flow are under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

VYGR PE Valuation

VYGR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

VYGR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect VYGR's losses to shrink, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and VYGR's risk to reward.

VYGR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.70 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and VYGR's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over VYGR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VYGR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.97Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $0.16Q3 2024: $0.59Q4 2024: $-1.13Q1 2025: $-1.46Q2 2025: $-1.85Q3 2025: $-2.16Q4 2025: $-2.04Q1 2026: $-1.98Q2 2026: $-1.81Q3 2026: $-1.74
Q4 2023: $2.97Q1 2024: $-0.17Q2 2024: $0.16Q3 2024: $0.59Q4 2024: $-1.13Q1 2025: $-1.46Q2 2025: $-1.85Q3 2025: $-2.16Q4 2025: $-2.04Q1 2026: $-1.98Q2 2026: $-1.81Q3 2026: $-1.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.74+$0.42
Q2 2026-$1.81+$0.04
Q1 2026-$1.98-$0.52
Q4 2025-$2.04-$0.91
Q3 2025-$2.16-466%
Q2 2025-$1.85-1256%
Q1 2025-$1.46-$1.29
Q4 2024-$1.13-138%

VYGR is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $1.74 per share over the past year, against $2.45 at its worst in late 2021.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over VYGR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VYGR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $4M
Q4 2023: $90MQ1 2024: $20MQ2 2024: $30MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: $6MQ2 2025: $5MQ3 2025: $13MQ4 2025: $15MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $3MQ3 2026: $4M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4M-70%
Q2 2026$3.2M-39%
Q1 2026$2.6M-60%
Q4 2025$15.3M+144%
Q3 2025$13.4M-46%
Q2 2025$5.2M-82%
Q1 2025$6.5M-67%
Q4 2024$6.3M-93%

VYGR's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $4M last quarter, down 70% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over VYGR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

VYGR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$25MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$28MQ4 2024: โˆ’$15MQ1 2025: โˆ’$39MQ2 2025: โˆ’$34MQ3 2025: โˆ’$31MQ4 2025: โˆ’$31MQ1 2026: โˆ’$33MQ2 2026: โˆ’$26MQ3 2026: โˆ’$20M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$25MQ1 2024: $57MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$28MQ4 2024: โˆ’$15MQ1 2025: โˆ’$39MQ2 2025: โˆ’$34MQ3 2025: โˆ’$31MQ4 2025: โˆ’$31MQ1 2026: โˆ’$33MQ2 2026: โˆ’$26MQ3 2026: โˆ’$20M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$19.7M+$11.6M
Q2 2026-$25.8M+$8.5M
Q1 2026-$33.4M+$5.1M
Q4 2025-$30.9M-$16.2M
Q3 2025-$31.3M-$3M
Q2 2025-$34.4M-$1.8M
Q1 2025-$38.6M-168%
Q4 2024-$14.7M+$9.8M

VYGR has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$110M over the past year, against โˆ’$119M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over VYGR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VYGR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 62M
Q4 2023: 45MQ1 2024: 57MQ2 2024: 58MQ3 2024: 58MQ4 2024: 58MQ1 2025: 58MQ2 2025: 59MQ3 2025: 59MQ4 2025: 59MQ1 2026: 59MQ2 2026: 61MQ3 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+2.1%+1.3M shares
1 year+5.1%+3M shares
3 years+41%+18M shares
5 years+64%+24M shares
Available history+72%+25.9M shares

VYGR has 62M diluted shares, up 5.1% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

VYGR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -0.5xQ3 2024: -8.0x
Q4 2023: -0.5xQ3 2024: -8.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2024-8.0xNet Cash
Q4 2023-0.5xNet Cash
Q3 2023-1.4xNet Cash
Q2 2023-2.6xNet Cash
Q1 2023-2.7xNet Cash
Q2 2021-10.6xNet Cash
Q1 2021-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2020-3.4xNet Cash

VYGR has more cash than debt.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

VYGR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI26.9Oversold
Stochastic4.6Oversold

VYGR's weekly RSI is 27 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

VYGR PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricVYGRSector medianRelative
PEN/A26xโ€”

VYGR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over VYGR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VYGR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.0617% below
20 week MA$2.8140% below
50 week MA$3.4551% below
100 week MA$3.7455% below
200 week MA$5.9772% below

VYGR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 72% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over VYGR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VYGR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.9$7.98-43%
2021$7.98$2.93-63%
2022$2.93$5.56+90%
2023$5.56$8.44+52%
2024$8.44$5.74-32%
2025$5.74$4.08-29%
2026 YTD$4.08$1.70-58%

VYGR has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 58% so far in 2026.

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