LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over VREX overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

VREX

Varex Imaging Corporation

57
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation39/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential25/ 100

VREX trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VREX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable

VREX's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

VREX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x108x163x217x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE54x108x163x217x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap18x$9.16-50%
Forward20x$18.27—
Fair31x$16.23-11%
Current35x$18.27—
Expensive69x$35.92+97%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VREX has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over VREX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

VREX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect VREX's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VREX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VREX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+35%$24.72
Downside-25%$13.64

Calculated from the latest close: $18.27 on Nov 12.

VREX trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over VREX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VREX Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $1.08Q4 2023: $0.99Q1 2024: $0.92Q2 2024: $0.74Q3 2024: $-1.17Q1 2025: $-1.17Q2 2025: $-1.03Q3 2025: $-3.21Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.64Q2 2026: $-2.00Q3 2026: $0.52Forward: $0.91
Q3 2023: $1.08Q4 2023: $0.99Q1 2024: $0.92Q2 2024: $0.74Q3 2024: $-1.17Q1 2025: $-1.17Q2 2025: $-1.03Q3 2025: $-3.21Q4 2025: $-1.70Q1 2026: $-1.64Q2 2026: $-2.00Q3 2026: $0.52Forward: $0.91
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.91+75%
Q2 2026$0.52+$3.73
Q1 2026-$2.00-$0.97
Q4 2025-$1.64-$0.47
Q3 2025-$1.70-$0.53
Q2 2025-$3.21-534%
Q1 2025-$1.03-212%
Q4 2024-$1.17-218%
Q3 2024-$1.17-208%

VREX has returned to profit: it earned $0.52 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over VREX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VREX Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $227MQ4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $206MQ2 2024: $209MQ3 2024: $206MQ1 2025: $200MQ2 2025: $213MQ3 2025: $203MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $210MQ2 2026: $216MQ3 2026: $211M
Q3 2023: $227MQ4 2023: $190MQ1 2024: $206MQ2 2024: $209MQ3 2024: $206MQ1 2025: $200MQ2 2025: $213MQ3 2025: $203MQ4 2025: $229MQ1 2026: $210MQ2 2026: $216MQ3 2026: $211M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$210.5M+3.7%
Q1 2026$216M+1.5%
Q4 2025$209.6M+4.9%
Q3 2025$228.9M+11%
Q2 2025$203M-2.9%
Q1 2025$212.9M+3.2%
Q4 2024$199.8M+5.2%
Q3 2024$205.7M-9.5%

VREX's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $211M last quarter, up 3.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over VREX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

VREX Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $42MQ4 2023: −$100,000Q1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$27MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: $12M
Q3 2023: $42MQ4 2023: −$100,000Q1 2024: −$3MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $20MQ1 2025: $5MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $1MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: −$27MQ2 2026: −$8MQ3 2026: $12M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$12M+757%
Q1 2026-$7.7M-179%
Q4 2025-$26.8M-606%
Q3 2025$2.3M-88%
Q2 2025$1.4M-58%
Q1 2025$9.8M+$12.5M
Q4 2024$5.3M+$5.4M
Q3 2024$19.9M-52%

VREX's free cash flow was −$20M over the past year, against $36M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over VREX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VREX Total Shares

Q3 2023: 50MQ4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 43M
Q3 2023: 50MQ4 2023: 41MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 51MQ3 2025: 42MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 42MQ2 2026: 42MQ3 2026: 43M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.4%+600K shares
1 year+2.7%+1.1M shares
3 years-15%-7.8M shares
5 years+3.1%+1.3M shares
Available history+10%+4M shares

VREX has 43M diluted shares, up 2.7% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over VREX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

VREX Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 2.6xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.7xQ2 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 75.2xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q3 2023: 2.6xQ4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 3.2xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.4xQ1 2025: 5.7xQ2 2025: 4.5xQ1 2026: 75.2xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20262.5xModerate
Q4 202575.2xHigh
Q1 20254.5xHigh
Q4 20245.7xHigh
Q3 20244.4xHigh
Q2 20243.6xElevated
Q1 20243.2xElevated
Q4 20233.0xModerate

VREX's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.3 years a year ago.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

VREX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI74.5Overbought
Stochastic65.8Neutral

VREX's weekly RSI is 75 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 66 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

VREX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricVREXSector medianRelative
PE35x26x36% above
PE %652936 pts above

VREX has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over VREX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VREX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$18.40.8% below
20 week MA$16.312% above
50 week MA$13.535% above
100 week MA$12.151% above
200 week MA$14.923% above

VREX has slipped below its 8-week average, but it's still above the other four, and 23% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

VREX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$30.3$16.3-46%
2021$16.3$31.8+96%
2022$31.8$19.8-38%
2023$19.8$20.5+3.5%
2024$20.5$14.8-28%
2025$14.8$11.8-20%
2026 YTD$11.8$18.3+54%

VREX has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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