LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over VMD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

VMD

Viemed Healthcare, Inc.

63
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation54/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential17/ 100

VMD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

VMD's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

VMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x77x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE19x38x57x77x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap18x$6.92-24%
Forward18x$9.11—
Current24x$9.11—
Fair26x$9.97+9.4%
Expensive36x$13.67+50%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VMD has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over VMD on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

VMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for VMD, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than VMD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

VMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+29%$11.72
Downside-17%$7.53

Calculated from the latest close: $9.11 on Nov 12.

VMD trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over VMD on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.25Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $0.23Q3 2024: $0.26Q4 2024: $0.28Q1 2025: $0.30Q2 2025: $0.34Q3 2025: $0.33Q4 2025: $0.37Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.36Q3 2026: $0.38Forward: $0.50
Q4 2023: $0.25Q1 2024: $0.25Q2 2024: $0.23Q3 2024: $0.26Q4 2024: $0.28Q1 2025: $0.30Q2 2025: $0.34Q3 2025: $0.33Q4 2025: $0.37Q1 2026: $0.37Q2 2026: $0.36Q3 2026: $0.38Forward: $0.50
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.50+32%
Q3 2026$0.38+15%
Q2 2026$0.36+5.9%
Q1 2026$0.37+23%
Q4 2025$0.37+32%
Q3 2025$0.33+27%
Q2 2025$0.34+48%
Q1 2025$0.30+20%
Q4 2024$0.28+12%

VMD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.38 over the past year, against $0.78 in late 2020.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over VMD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

VMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $76MQ1 2026: $75MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $81M
Q4 2023: $51MQ1 2024: $51MQ2 2024: $55MQ3 2024: $58MQ4 2024: $61MQ1 2025: $59MQ2 2025: $63MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $76MQ1 2026: $75MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $81M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$80.7M+12%
Q2 2026$78.1M+24%
Q1 2026$75.4M+28%
Q4 2025$76.2M+26%
Q3 2025$71.9M+24%
Q2 2025$63.1M+15%
Q1 2025$59.1M+17%
Q4 2024$60.7M+20%

VMD's revenue has grown year over year for 20 quarters in a row: $81M last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over VMD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $3M
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: −$5MQ2 2024: $1MQ3 2024: $2MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$13MQ2 2025: $4MQ3 2025: $11MQ4 2025: $10MQ1 2026: $1MQ2 2026: $7MQ3 2026: $3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.9M-73%
Q2 2026$7.4M+80%
Q1 2026$1.4M+$14M
Q4 2025$9.7M+207%
Q3 2025$10.7M+516%
Q2 2025$4.1M+231%
Q1 2025-$12.6M-$7.8M
Q4 2024$3.2M-41%

VMD generated $21M in free cash flow over the past year, about four times what it generated the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over VMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 41MQ2 2024: 41MQ3 2024: 41MQ4 2024: 41MQ1 2025: 42MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 41MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+66.6K shares
1 year+1.7%+697K shares
3 years+1.9%+772K shares
5 years+1.3%+533K shares
Available history+3.6%+1.4M shares

VMD has 41M diluted shares, up 1.7% from a year ago, despite $8M in buybacks over the past year.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

VMD Net Leverage

Q4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
Q4 2024: -0.4xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.5xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: -0.0xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.1xQ3 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.0xNet Cash
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 2025-0.5xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.4xNet Cash

VMD has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

VMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.9Neutral
Stochastic27.9Neutral

VMD's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

VMD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricVMDSector medianRelative
PE24x26x7.3% below
PE %392910 pts above

VMD has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over VMD on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$9.342.5% below
20 week MA$9.908% below
50 week MA$9.251.5% below
100 week MA$8.1612% above
200 week MA$8.2311% above

VMD has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 11% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over VMD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.28$8.00+27%
2021$8.00$5.59-30%
2022$5.59$7.45+33%
2023$7.45$7.85+5.4%
2024$7.85$8.16+3.9%
2025$8.16$7.30-11%
2026 YTD$7.30$9.11+25%

VMD has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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