LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

VKTX

Viking Therapeutics, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score VKTX yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

VKTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Unavailable
Weak
Unavailable
Unavailable

VKTX's profitability is currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

VKTX PE Valuation

VKTX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

VKTX Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for VKTX to show an outlook.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and VKTX's risk to reward.

VKTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $27.58 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and VKTX's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over VKTX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

VKTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.91Q1 2024: $-0.92Q2 2024: $-0.93Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-1.01Q1 2025: $-1.16Q2 2025: $-1.54Q3 2025: $-2.13Q4 2025: $-3.19Q1 2026: $-4.15Q2 2026: $-4.67Q3 2026: $-5.41
Q4 2023: $-0.91Q1 2024: $-0.92Q2 2024: $-0.93Q3 2024: $-0.92Q4 2024: $-1.01Q1 2025: $-1.16Q2 2025: $-1.54Q3 2025: $-2.13Q4 2025: $-3.19Q1 2026: $-4.15Q2 2026: $-4.67Q3 2026: $-5.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$5.41-$3.28
Q2 2026-$4.67-$3.13
Q1 2026-$4.15-$2.99
Q4 2025-$3.19-$2.18
Q3 2025-$2.13-$1.21
Q2 2025-$1.54-$0.61
Q1 2025-$1.16-$0.24
Q4 2024-$1.01-$0.10

VKTX lost $5.41 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last eight quarters.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over VKTX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

VKTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $0
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $0Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $0Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $0

VKTX's revenue is shrinking: $0 last quarter.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over VKTX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

VKTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$18MQ1 2024: โˆ’$6MQ2 2024: โˆ’$29MQ3 2024: โˆ’$22MQ4 2024: โˆ’$31MQ1 2025: โˆ’$52MQ2 2025: โˆ’$47MQ3 2025: โˆ’$94MQ4 2025: โˆ’$85MQ1 2026: โˆ’$114MQ2 2026: โˆ’$125MQ3 2026: โˆ’$138M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$18MQ1 2024: โˆ’$6MQ2 2024: โˆ’$29MQ3 2024: โˆ’$22MQ4 2024: โˆ’$31MQ1 2025: โˆ’$52MQ2 2025: โˆ’$47MQ3 2025: โˆ’$94MQ4 2025: โˆ’$85MQ1 2026: โˆ’$114MQ2 2026: โˆ’$125MQ3 2026: โˆ’$138M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$138.2M-$44.2M
Q2 2026-$125.2M-$78.1M
Q1 2026-$114M-$61.6M
Q4 2025-$85.3M-$54.1M
Q3 2025-$94M-$72M
Q2 2025-$47.1M-$18.5M
Q1 2025-$52.3M-$46.2M
Q4 2024-$31.2M-$13.5M

VKTX has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$463M over the past year, against โˆ’$225M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over VKTX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

VKTX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 103MQ2 2024: 110MQ3 2024: 111MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 112MQ2 2025: 112MQ3 2025: 112MQ4 2025: 113MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 118M
Q4 2023: 94MQ1 2024: 103MQ2 2024: 110MQ3 2024: 111MQ4 2024: 109MQ1 2025: 112MQ2 2025: 112MQ3 2025: 112MQ4 2025: 113MQ1 2026: 116MQ2 2026: 116MQ3 2026: 118M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+1.8M shares
1 year+5.1%+5.7M shares
3 years+18%+18.2M shares
5 years+51%+40M shares
Available history+64%+46.1M shares

VKTX has 118M diluted shares, up 5.1% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

VKTX Net Leverage

VKTX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

VKTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.7Neutral
Stochastic17.7Oversold

VKTX's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

VKTX PE vs Healthcare Sector

VKTX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over VKTX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VKTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$28.22.1% below
20 week MA$31.713% below
50 week MA$32.415% below
100 week MA$31.713% below
200 week MA$33.919% below

VKTX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over VKTX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VKTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$8.33$6.20-26%
2021$6.20$5.18-16%
2022$5.18$8.45+63%
2023$8.45$18.6+120%
2024$18.6$41.2+121%
2025$41.2$37.2-9.7%
2026 YTD$37.2$27.6-26%

VKTX has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 26% so far in 2026.

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