LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
LLY has the edge over V overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.
V
Visa Inc.
V has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
LLY Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy |
LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.
V Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
V's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like V.
LLY PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 27x | $845 | -41% |
| Forward | 30x | $1,427 | — |
| Current | 46x | $1,427 | — |
| Fair | 48x | $1,466 | +2.7% |
| Expensive | 85x | $2,612 | +83% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
V PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 28x | $420 | — |
| Cheap | 30x | $371 | -12% |
| Fair | 33x | $402 | -4.4% |
| Current | 34x | $420 | — |
| Expensive | 38x | $474 | +13% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
V has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
LLY Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.
V Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for V, with profitability improving.
LLY Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $46.82 | +52% |
| Q3 2026 | $30.81 | +51% |
| Q2 2026 | $29.80 | +95% |
| Q1 2026 | $28.15 | +129% |
| Q4 2025 | $22.95 | +96% |
| Q3 2025 | $20.44 | +121% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.30 | +88% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.29 | +81% |
| Q4 2024 | $11.71 | +102% |
LLY has the edge over V on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
V Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $15.01 | +22% |
| Q3 2026 | $12.32 | +21% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.76 | +15% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.48 | +15% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.66 | +7.5% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.21 | +4.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.24 | +9.5% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.95 | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.92 | +14% |
V's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $12.32 over the past year, up 21% from the year before, and higher year over year for 21 quarters in a row.
LLY Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.4B | +39% |
| Q2 2026 | $23B | +48% |
| Q1 2026 | $19.8B | +56% |
| Q4 2025 | $19.3B | +43% |
| Q3 2025 | $17.6B | +54% |
| Q2 2025 | $15.6B | +38% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.7B | +45% |
| Q4 2024 | $13.5B | +45% |
LLY has the edge over V on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 34% | -6.6 points |
| Q2 2026 | 40% | -3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 45% | +18 points |
| Q4 2025 | 43% | +5.6 points |
| Q3 2025 | 41% | +27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 44% | +12 points |
| Q1 2025 | 27% | -1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 37% | +10 points |
LLY's operating margin was 34% last quarter, down 6.6 points from the same quarter a year ago.
V Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $12.1B | +13% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.6B | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.2B | +17% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.9B | +15% |
| Q3 2025 | $10.7B | +12% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.2B | +14% |
| Q1 2025 | $9.6B | +9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $9.5B | +10% |
V's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $12.1B last quarter, up 13% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 60% | +2.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 59% | -1.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 64% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 62% | -3.8 points |
| Q3 2025 | 57% | -8.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 61% | -6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 57% | -4.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 66% | -3.4 points |
V has the edge over LLY on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
LLY Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $8.2B | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $7.8B | +458% |
| Q1 2026 | $3B | +1826% |
| Q4 2025 | $677.9M | -31% |
| Q3 2025 | $6.7B | +186% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | +476% |
| Q1 2025 | $156.1M | -13% |
| Q4 2024 | $977.8M | +$2.4B |
LLY has the edge over V on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
V Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $6.9B | +18% |
| Q2 2026 | $6.1B | -2.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $2.6B | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $6.4B | +27% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.8B | -8% |
| Q2 2025 | $6.3B | +33% |
| Q1 2025 | $4.4B | +2.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.1B | +51% |
V's free cash flow was $22.1B over the past year, up 2.2% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like V.
LLY Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | -300K shares |
| 1 year | -0.6% | -5.4M shares |
| 3 years | -0.7% | -6.4M shares |
| 5 years | -1.9% | -17.4M shares |
| Available history | -4.5% | -42.3M shares |
LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $377M |
| Q2 2026 | $1.6B |
| Q1 2026 | $2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | $1.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $708.1M |
| Q2 2025 | $692.2M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B |
| Q4 2024 | $2.1B |
LLY spent $5.8B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 26% from the year before.
V Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -7% | -136M shares |
| 1 year | -7.6% | -148M shares |
| 3 years | -13% | -268M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -378M shares |
| Available history | -20% | -443M shares |
V has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4B |
| Q2 2026 | $4.8B |
| Q1 2026 | $7.9B |
| Q4 2025 | $3.7B |
| Q3 2025 | $4.9B |
| Q2 2025 | $4.8B |
| Q1 2025 | $4.6B |
| Q4 2024 | $4B |
V spent $20.5B buying back its own shares over the past year, up 12% from the year before.
LLY Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
V Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
V has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
LLY Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 84.1 | Overbought |
LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).
V Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 73.7 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 82.0 | Overbought |
V's weekly RSI is 74 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 82 (overbought).
LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector
| Metric | LLY | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 46x | 26x | 79% above |
| PE % | 48 | 29 | 19 pts above |
LLY has the edge over V on valuation relative to its sector.
V PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | V | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 34x | 13x | 162% above |
| PE % | 62 | 63 | 1 pt below |
V is trading at 34x earnings, a 162% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
LLY Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $1,279.4 | 12% above |
| 20 week MA | $1,218.8 | 17% above |
| 50 week MA | $1,102.2 | 29% above |
| 100 week MA | $954.1 | 50% above |
| 200 week MA | $797.5 | 79% above |
LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.
V Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $397.6 | 5.7% above |
| 20 week MA | $378.3 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $346.0 | 21% above |
| 100 week MA | $343.7 | 22% above |
| 200 week MA | $300.6 | 40% above |
V is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 40% above its 200-week average.
LLY Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $131.5 | $166.7 | +27% |
| 2021 | $166.7 | $273.1 | +64% |
| 2022 | $273.1 | $367.9 | +35% |
| 2023 | $367.9 | $582.9 | +58% |
| 2024 | $582.9 | $783.2 | +34% |
| 2025 | $783.2 | $1,077.8 | +38% |
| 2026 YTD | $1,077.8 | $1,427.3 | +32% |
LLY has the edge over V on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
V Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $189.4 | $208.7 | +10% |
| 2021 | $208.7 | $216.6 | +3.8% |
| 2022 | $216.6 | $205.8 | -5% |
| 2023 | $205.8 | $260.4 | +26% |
| 2024 | $260.4 | $318.7 | +22% |
| 2025 | $318.7 | $355.0 | +11% |
| 2026 YTD | $355.0 | $420.3 | +18% |
V has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 18% so far in 2026.