LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over UTMD overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

UTMD

Utah Medical Products, Inc.

48
Fundamentals44/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential24/ 100
Risk potential33/ 100

UTMD trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

UTMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

UTMD's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue is under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

UTMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.1x16x24x32x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.1x16x24x32x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap15x$50.18-32%
Fair20x$66.55-9.6%
Current22x$73.63—
Expensive26x$84.11+14%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

UTMD has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

UTMD Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for UTMD to show an outlook.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than UTMD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

UTMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+10%$81.01
Downside-33%$49.65

Calculated from the latest close: $73.63 on Nov 12.

UTMD trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over UTMD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UTMD Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.64Q4 2023: $4.57Q1 2024: $4.50Q2 2024: $4.33Q3 2024: $4.27Q4 2024: $3.95Q1 2025: $3.78Q2 2025: $3.74Q3 2025: $3.54Q4 2025: $3.48Q1 2026: $3.38Q2 2026: $3.28
Q3 2023: $4.64Q4 2023: $4.57Q1 2024: $4.50Q2 2024: $4.33Q3 2024: $4.27Q4 2024: $3.95Q1 2025: $3.78Q2 2025: $3.74Q3 2025: $3.54Q4 2025: $3.48Q1 2026: $3.38Q2 2026: $3.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$3.28-12%
Q1 2026$3.38-11%
Q4 2025$3.48-12%
Q3 2025$3.54-17%
Q2 2025$3.74-14%
Q1 2025$3.78-16%
Q4 2024$3.95-14%
Q3 2024$4.27-8%

UTMD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $3.28 over the past year, against $4.74 in mid-2023.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over UTMD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UTMD Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $9M
Q3 2023: $13MQ4 2023: $12MQ1 2024: $11MQ2 2024: $10MQ3 2024: $10MQ4 2024: $9MQ1 2025: $10MQ2 2025: $10MQ3 2025: $10MQ4 2025: $9MQ1 2026: $9MQ2 2026: $9M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$8.5M-14%
Q1 2026$8.7M-10%
Q4 2025$9M-1.2%
Q3 2025$9.8M-1.9%
Q2 2025$10M-4.3%
Q1 2025$9.7M-14%
Q4 2024$9.2M-26%
Q3 2024$10M-20%

UTMD's revenue has slid since its 2022 peak: $9M last quarter, down 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over UTMD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

UTMD Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $5MQ4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $1M
Q3 2023: $5MQ4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $5MQ2 2024: $3MQ3 2024: $4MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: $4MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $4MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $3MQ2 2026: $1M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$1.2M-56%
Q1 2026$3M-30%
Q4 2025$3.4M+15%
Q3 2025$3.9M+2.2%
Q2 2025$2.8M+6.4%
Q1 2025$4.3M-19%
Q4 2024$2.9M-44%
Q3 2024$3.8M-24%

UTMD's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $11M over the past year, down 17% from the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

UTMD Total Shares

Q3 2023: 4MQ4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3M
Q3 2023: 4MQ4 2023: 4MQ1 2024: 4MQ2 2024: 4MQ3 2024: 3MQ4 2024: 4MQ1 2025: 3MQ2 2025: 3MQ3 2025: 3MQ4 2025: 3MQ1 2026: 3MQ2 2026: 3M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-1K shares
1 year-1.9%-62K shares
3 years-13%-455K shares
5 years-13%-471K shares
Available history-15%-553K shares

UTMD has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

UTMD Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -3.5xQ4 2023: -4.0xQ1 2024: -4.4xQ2 2024: -4.6xQ3 2024: -5.0xQ4 2024: -5.1xQ1 2025: -5.3xQ2 2025: -5.3xQ3 2025: -5.7xQ4 2025: -6.0xQ1 2026: -6.4xQ2 2026: -6.9x
Q3 2023: -3.5xQ4 2023: -4.0xQ1 2024: -4.4xQ2 2024: -4.6xQ3 2024: -5.0xQ4 2024: -5.1xQ1 2025: -5.3xQ2 2025: -5.3xQ3 2025: -5.7xQ4 2025: -6.0xQ1 2026: -6.4xQ2 2026: -6.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-6.9xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.4xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.0xNet Cash
Q3 2025-5.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-5.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025-5.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-5.1xNet Cash
Q3 2024-5.0xNet Cash

UTMD has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

UTMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI56.3Neutral
Stochastic45.8Neutral

UTMD's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 46 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

UTMD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricUTMDSector medianRelative
PE22x26x13% below
PE %682939 pts above

UTMD has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

UTMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.20.6% above
20 week MA$71.72.6% above
50 week MA$66.910% above
100 week MA$62.518% above
200 week MA$71.03.7% above

UTMD has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 3.7% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over UTMD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

UTMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$108.4$85.5-21%
2021$85.5$97.9+15%
2022$97.9$93.6-4.4%
2023$93.6$84.2-10%
2024$84.2$61.9-27%
2025$61.9$56.8-8.3%
2026 YTD$56.8$73.6+30%

UTMD has finished four years in a row lower, and it's up 30% so far in 2026.

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