LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over URGN overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

URGN

UroGen Pharma Ltd.

61
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential36/ 100

URGN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

URGN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Under pressure
Weak
Unavailable

URGN's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

URGN PE Valuation

URGN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 15x next year's earnings.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

URGN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect URGN to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than URGN, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

URGN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+57%$41.56
Downside-36%$16.99

Calculated from the latest close: $26.39 on Nov 12.

URGN trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over URGN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

URGN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.91Q1 2024: $-3.58Q2 2024: $-3.46Q3 2024: $-3.33Q4 2024: $-3.23Q1 2025: $-3.18Q2 2025: $-3.32Q3 2025: $-3.46Q4 2025: $-3.21Q1 2026: $-2.76Q2 2026: $-1.99Q3 2026: $-1.33Forward: $1.79
Q4 2023: $-3.91Q1 2024: $-3.58Q2 2024: $-3.46Q3 2024: $-3.33Q4 2024: $-3.23Q1 2025: $-3.18Q2 2025: $-3.32Q3 2025: $-3.46Q4 2025: $-3.21Q1 2026: $-2.76Q2 2026: $-1.99Q3 2026: $-1.33Forward: $1.79
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.79—
Q3 2026-$1.33+$2.13
Q2 2026-$1.99+$1.33
Q1 2026-$2.76+$0.42
Q4 2025-$3.21+$0.02
Q3 2025-$3.46-$0.13
Q2 2025-$3.32+$0.14
Q1 2025-$3.18+$0.40
Q4 2024-$3.23+$0.68

URGN is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.33 per share over the past year, against $6.40 at its worst in late 2020.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over URGN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

URGN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $51MQ2 2026: $72MQ3 2026: $89M
Q4 2023: $24MQ1 2024: $19MQ2 2024: $22MQ3 2024: $25MQ4 2024: $25MQ1 2025: $20MQ2 2025: $24MQ3 2025: $27MQ4 2025: $38MQ1 2026: $51MQ2 2026: $72MQ3 2026: $89M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$89M+224%
Q2 2026$72.5M+199%
Q1 2026$51M+152%
Q4 2025$37.8M+54%
Q3 2025$27.5M+9%
Q2 2025$24.2M+11%
Q1 2025$20.3M+7.8%
Q4 2024$24.6M+4.4%

URGN's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since early 2021: $89M last quarter, up 224% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over URGN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

URGN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: −$14MQ1 2025: −$42MQ2 2025: −$40MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: −$38MQ1 2026: −$45MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$15M
Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$32MQ2 2024: −$24MQ3 2024: −$28MQ4 2024: −$14MQ1 2025: −$42MQ2 2025: −$40MQ3 2025: −$42MQ4 2025: −$38MQ1 2026: −$45MQ2 2026: −$33MQ3 2026: −$15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$15.3M+$27.1M
Q2 2026-$33.1M+$6.9M
Q1 2026-$45.4M-$3.3M
Q4 2025-$38.3M-$24.6M
Q3 2025-$42.4M-$14.6M
Q2 2025-$40M-$16.1M
Q1 2025-$42.1M-$10.3M
Q4 2024-$13.7M-$682K

URGN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$132M over the past year, against −$138M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over URGN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

URGN Total Shares

Q1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 51M
Q1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 43MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 47MQ2 2025: 48MQ3 2025: 48MQ4 2025: 48MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 50MQ3 2026: 51M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+178K shares
1 year+5.2%+2.5M shares
3 years+115%+27.1M shares
5 years+126%+28.2M shares
Available history+146%+30M shares

URGN has 51M diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

URGN Net Leverage

URGN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

URGN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI36.3Neutral
Stochastic3.5Oversold

URGN's weekly RSI is 36 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 4 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

URGN PE vs Healthcare Sector

URGN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over URGN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

URGN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$34.123% below
20 week MA$39.233% below
50 week MA$29.711% below
100 week MA$21.920% above
200 week MA$17.749% above

URGN has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 49% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over URGN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

URGN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$33.1$18.9-43%
2021$18.9$9.49-50%
2022$9.49$8.14-14%
2023$8.14$15.0+84%
2024$15.0$10.8-28%
2025$10.8$23.0+114%
2026 YTD$23.0$26.4+15%

URGN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +114% in 2025 to −50% in 2021. It's up 15% so far in 2026.

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