LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over TXG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

TXG

10x Genomics, Inc.

59
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

TXG's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TXG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Strong
Unavailable

TXG's cash flow is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TXG PE Valuation

TXG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

TXG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TXG's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TXG, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TXG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+61%$95.35
Downside-37%$36.95

Calculated from the latest close: $59.10 on Nov 12.

TXG trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over TXG on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TXG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-2.18Q1 2024: $-2.24Q2 2024: $-2.03Q3 2024: $-1.54Q4 2024: $-1.52Q1 2025: $-1.30Q2 2025: $-0.70Q3 2025: $-0.62Q4 2025: $-0.35Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $-0.59Q3 2026: $-0.52
Q4 2023: $-2.18Q1 2024: $-2.24Q2 2024: $-2.03Q3 2024: $-1.54Q4 2024: $-1.52Q1 2025: $-1.30Q2 2025: $-0.70Q3 2025: $-0.62Q4 2025: $-0.35Q1 2026: $-0.17Q2 2026: $-0.59Q3 2026: $-0.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.52+$0.10
Q2 2026-$0.59+$0.11
Q1 2026-$0.17+$1.13
Q4 2025-$0.35+$1.17
Q3 2025-$0.62+$0.92
Q2 2025-$0.70+$1.33
Q1 2025-$1.30+$0.94
Q4 2024-$1.52+$0.66

TXG is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.52 per share over the past year, against $5.37 at its worst in late 2020.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over TXG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TXG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $184MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $153MQ3 2024: $152MQ4 2024: $165MQ1 2025: $155MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $149MQ4 2025: $166MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $151MQ3 2026: $151M
Q4 2023: $184MQ1 2024: $141MQ2 2024: $153MQ3 2024: $152MQ4 2024: $165MQ1 2025: $155MQ2 2025: $173MQ3 2025: $149MQ4 2025: $166MQ1 2026: $151MQ2 2026: $151MQ3 2026: $151M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$150.7M+1.1%
Q2 2026$151M-13%
Q1 2026$150.8M-2.6%
Q4 2025$166M+0.6%
Q3 2025$149M-1.7%
Q2 2025$172.9M+13%
Q1 2025$154.9M+9.8%
Q4 2024$165M-10%

TXG's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $151M last quarter, up 1.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over TXG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TXG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $15M
Q4 2023: $22MQ1 2024: −$19MQ2 2024: $5MQ3 2024: $18MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $16MQ3 2025: $43MQ4 2025: $39MQ1 2026: $25MQ2 2026: $15MQ3 2026: $15M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$14.9M-65%
Q2 2026$15.4M-4.6%
Q1 2026$24.5M-24%
Q4 2025$39M+$48.5M
Q3 2025$42.5M+140%
Q2 2025$16.1M+249%
Q1 2025$32.5M+$51.1M
Q4 2024-$9.5M-142%

TXG has burned cash in most quarters: $94M over the past year, up 15% from the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over TXG on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TXG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 119MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 121MQ4 2024: 120MQ1 2025: 123MQ2 2025: 125MQ3 2025: 126MQ4 2025: 125MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 130MQ3 2026: 131M
Q4 2023: 117MQ1 2024: 119MQ2 2024: 120MQ3 2024: 121MQ4 2024: 120MQ1 2025: 123MQ2 2025: 125MQ3 2025: 126MQ4 2025: 125MQ1 2026: 128MQ2 2026: 130MQ3 2026: 131M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+822K shares
1 year+4.2%+5.3M shares
3 years+11%+13.1M shares
5 years+18%+19.9M shares
Available history+35%+34M shares

TXG has 131M diluted shares, up 4.2% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TXG Net Leverage

TXG's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

TXG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI52.2Neutral
Stochastic28.5Neutral

TXG's weekly RSI is 52 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

TXG PE vs Healthcare Sector

TXG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over TXG on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TXG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$73.720% below
20 week MA$62.65.5% below
50 week MA$38.354% above
100 week MA$25.3134% above
200 week MA$31.886% above

TXG has slipped below its 8- and 20-week averages, though it's still 86% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

TXG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$78.2$151.3+94%
2021$151.3$146.1-3.5%
2022$146.1$34.2-77%
2023$34.2$56.0+63%
2024$56.0$14.6-74%
2025$14.6$16.5+13%
2026 YTD$16.5$59.1+258%

TXG has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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