LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over TWST overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

TWST

Twist Bioscience Corporation

61
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

TWST's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TWST Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

TWST's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TWST PE Valuation

TWST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

TWST Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect TWST's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TWST, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TWST Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$194.49
Downside-41%$67.83

Calculated from the latest close: $114.22 on Nov 12.

TWST trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over TWST in the latest year-over-year earnings comparison.

TWST Earnings Per Share

Q3 2025: $-1.30Q4 2025: $-1.27Q1 2026: $-1.32Q2 2026: $-2.21Q3 2026: $-2.09
Q3 2025: $-1.30Q4 2025: $-1.27Q1 2026: $-1.32Q2 2026: $-2.21Q3 2026: $-2.09
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.09-$0.79

TWST lost $2.09 per share over the past year, a bigger loss than the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over TWST on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TWST Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $93MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $99MQ4 2025: $104MQ1 2026: $111MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $127M
Q4 2024: $89MQ1 2025: $93MQ2 2025: $96MQ3 2025: $99MQ4 2025: $104MQ1 2026: $111MQ2 2026: $118MQ3 2026: $127M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$126.6M+28%
Q2 2026$118.4M+23%
Q1 2026$110.7M+19%
Q4 2025$103.7M+17%

TWST's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2025: $127M last quarter, up 28% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.

TWST Free Cash Flow

Q4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$24MQ4 2025: −$35MQ1 2026: −$25MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: --
Q4 2024: −$24MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: −$11MQ3 2025: −$24MQ4 2025: −$35MQ1 2026: −$25MQ2 2026: −$9MQ3 2026: --
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$8.6M+$1.9M
Q1 2026-$25.4M-$8.3M
Q4 2025-$34.8M-$11.1M

TWST and LLY do not have enough comparable growth data to identify a winner.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over TWST on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TWST Total Shares

Q4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 62M
Q4 2024: 59MQ1 2025: 60MQ2 2025: 61MQ3 2025: 60MQ4 2025: 61MQ1 2026: 62MQ2 2026: 62M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.1%+701K shares
1 year+2%+1.2M shares

TWST has 62M diluted shares, up 2% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TWST Net Leverage

TWST's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

TWST Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI48.9Neutral
Stochastic32.4Neutral

TWST's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 32 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

TWST PE vs Healthcare Sector

TWST has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over TWST on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TWST Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$149.023% below
20 week MA$129.912% below
50 week MA$82.738% above
100 week MA$59.492% above
200 week MA$45.3152% above

TWST has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8- and 20-week averages, but 152% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

TWST Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$22.0$164.0+644%
2021$164.0$84.5-48%
2022$84.5$23.2-73%
2023$23.2$36.9+59%
2024$36.9$48.2+31%
2025$48.2$33.1-31%
2026 YTD$33.1$114.2+246%

TWST has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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