LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over TLRY overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

TLRY

Tilray Brands, Inc.

56
Fundamentals68/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential39/ 100

TLRY's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TLRY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

TLRY's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TLRY PE Valuation

TLRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

TLRY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TLRY's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TLRY, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TLRY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$4.17
Downside-39%$1.51

Calculated from the latest close: $2.49 on Nov 12.

TLRY trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over TLRY on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TLRY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-22.80Q1 2024: $-5.00Q2 2024: $-3.30Q3 2024: $-2.70Q4 2024: $-3.00Q1 2025: $-10.50Q2 2025: $-24.60Q3 2025: $-24.20Q4 2025: $-23.61Q1 2026: $-15.15Q2 2026: $-1.09Q3 2026: $-1.41
Q4 2023: $-22.80Q1 2024: $-5.00Q2 2024: $-3.30Q3 2024: $-2.70Q4 2024: $-3.00Q1 2025: $-10.50Q2 2025: $-24.60Q3 2025: $-24.20Q4 2025: $-23.61Q1 2026: $-15.15Q2 2026: $-1.09Q3 2026: $-1.41
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.41+$22.79
Q2 2026-$1.09+$23.51
Q1 2026-$15.15-$4.65
Q4 2025-$23.61-$20.61
Q3 2025-$24.20-$21.50
Q2 2025-$24.60-$21.30
Q1 2025-$10.50-$5.50
Q4 2024-$3.00+$19.80

TLRY is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.41 per share over the past year, against $58.23 at its worst in mid-2020.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over TLRY on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLRY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $194MQ1 2024: $188MQ2 2024: $230MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $210MQ4 2025: $218MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $282MQ3 2026: $257M
Q4 2023: $194MQ1 2024: $188MQ2 2024: $230MQ3 2024: $200MQ4 2024: $211MQ1 2025: $186MQ2 2025: $225MQ3 2025: $210MQ4 2025: $218MQ1 2026: $207MQ2 2026: $282MQ3 2026: $257M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$257.1M+23%
Q2 2026$281.7M+25%
Q1 2026$206.7M+11%
Q4 2025$217.5M+3.1%
Q3 2025$209.5M+4.7%
Q2 2025$224.5M-2.3%
Q1 2025$185.8M-1.4%
Q4 2024$211M+8.9%

TLRY's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $257M last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over TLRY on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

TLRY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$36MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$46MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: −$19MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: −$37MQ3 2026: −$17M
Q4 2023: −$36MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: $21MQ3 2024: −$42MQ4 2024: −$46MQ1 2025: −$20MQ2 2025: −$19MQ3 2025: −$1MQ4 2025: −$9MQ1 2026: −$22MQ2 2026: −$37MQ3 2026: −$17M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$16.5M-$15.2M
Q2 2026-$37.3M-$18.2M
Q1 2026-$21.9M-$1.8M
Q4 2025-$8.5M+$37.6M
Q3 2025-$1.3M+$40.7M
Q2 2025-$19.1M-191%
Q1 2025-$20.2M+$4.7M
Q4 2024-$46.2M-$9.9M

TLRY has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$84M over the past year, against −$87M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over TLRY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TLRY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 112MQ3 2026: 133M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 75MQ2 2024: 74MQ3 2024: 88MQ4 2024: 86MQ1 2025: 91MQ2 2025: 89MQ3 2025: 106MQ4 2025: 110MQ1 2026: 113MQ2 2026: 112MQ3 2026: 133M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+19%+21.5M shares
1 year+26%+27.3M shares
3 years+93%+64.2M shares
5 years+197%+88.4M shares
Available history+1484%+125M shares

TLRY has 133M diluted shares, up 26% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TLRY Net Leverage

TLRY's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

TLRY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI28.0Oversold
Stochastic6.8Oversold

TLRY's weekly RSI is 28 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

TLRY PE vs Healthcare Sector

TLRY has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over TLRY on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TLRY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.1320% below
20 week MA$3.9036% below
50 week MA$5.8958% below
100 week MA$7.3966% below
200 week MA$13.982% below

TLRY is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 82% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over TLRY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TLRY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$162.8$85.9-47%
2021$85.9$78.4-8.7%
2022$78.4$27.9-64%
2023$27.9$23.0-18%
2024$23.0$14.3-38%
2025$14.3$9.60-33%
2026 YTD$9.60$2.49-74%

TLRY has finished every year since 2020 lower, and it's down 74% so far in 2026.

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