LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY's fundamentals are strong: revenue grew 46% and it turned 23% of its revenue into free cash flow. At 46x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 48x. Analysts expect that strong growth to continue.

TLPH

Talphera, Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score TLPH yet.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TLPH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Under pressure
Unavailable
Unavailable

TLPH's revenue and profitability are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its cash flow and balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427โ€”
Current46x$1,427โ€”
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TLPH PE Valuation

TLPH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

TLPH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect TLPH's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and TLPH's risk to reward.

TLPH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $1.03 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare LLY and TLPH's risk to reward.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over TLPH on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TLPH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.50Q1 2024: $-0.91Q2 2024: $-0.66Q3 2024: $-0.71Q4 2024: $-0.50Q1 2025: $-0.44Q2 2025: $-0.39Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.40Q1 2026: $-0.34Q2 2026: $-0.30Q3 2026: $-0.24
Q4 2023: $-1.50Q1 2024: $-0.91Q2 2024: $-0.66Q3 2024: $-0.71Q4 2024: $-0.50Q1 2025: $-0.44Q2 2025: $-0.39Q3 2025: $-0.37Q4 2025: $-0.40Q1 2026: $-0.34Q2 2026: $-0.30Q3 2026: $-0.24
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.24+$0.13
Q2 2026-$0.30+$0.09
Q1 2026-$0.34+$0.10
Q4 2025-$0.40+$0.10
Q3 2025-$0.37+$0.34
Q2 2025-$0.39+$0.27
Q1 2025-$0.44+$0.47
Q4 2024-$0.50+$1.00

TLPH is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.24 per share over the past year, against $14.00 at its worst in early 2020.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over TLPH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TLPH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $281,000Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $27,000Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $1,000Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $0
Q4 2023: $281,000Q1 2024: --Q2 2024: $0Q3 2024: $0Q4 2024: $0Q1 2025: $27,000Q2 2025: $0Q3 2025: $1,000Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0Q3 2026: $0
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q4 2023$281K+12%
Q3 2023$117K-77%
Q2 2023$253K-56%
Q4 2022$252K+12500%
Q3 2022$507K-73%
Q2 2022$570K+29%
Q1 2022$442K-14%
Q4 2021$2K-100%

TLPH's revenue has slid since its 2020 peak: $0 last quarter, down 100% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over TLPH on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

TLPH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: โˆ’$3MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$3MQ4 2024: โˆ’$2MQ1 2025: โˆ’$3MQ2 2025: โˆ’$3MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$2MQ1 2026: โˆ’$3MQ2 2026: โˆ’$4MQ3 2026: โˆ’$3M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$4MQ1 2024: โˆ’$3MQ2 2024: โˆ’$5MQ3 2024: โˆ’$3MQ4 2024: โˆ’$2MQ1 2025: โˆ’$3MQ2 2025: โˆ’$3MQ3 2025: โˆ’$3MQ4 2025: โˆ’$2MQ1 2026: โˆ’$3MQ2 2026: โˆ’$4MQ3 2026: โˆ’$3M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$3M-$524K
Q2 2026-$3.9M-$976K
Q1 2026-$3.4M+$70K
Q4 2025-$2.4M-$182K
Q3 2025-$2.5M+$426K
Q2 2025-$2.9M+$1.7M
Q1 2025-$3.5M-$587K
Q4 2024-$2.3M+$1.7M

TLPH has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$13M over the past year, against โˆ’$11M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over TLPH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TLPH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 76MQ3 2026: 76M
Q4 2023: 14MQ1 2024: 25MQ2 2024: 26MQ3 2024: 26MQ1 2025: 26MQ2 2025: 35MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 42MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 76MQ3 2026: 76M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%+17.1K shares
1 year+82%+34.1M shares
3 years+592%+64.6M shares
5 years+1234%+69.9M shares
Available history+1808%+71.6M shares

TLPH has 76M diluted shares, up 82% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TLPH Net Leverage

TLPH's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

TLPH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.1Neutral
Stochastic5.7Oversold

TLPH's weekly RSI is 46 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 6 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

TLPH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricTLPHSector medianRelative
PEN/A26xโ€”

TLPH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over TLPH on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TLPH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1.084.6% below
20 week MA$1.1913% below
50 week MA$1.030% above
100 week MA$0.8521% above
200 week MA$0.9113% above

TLPH has slipped below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, though it's still 13% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over TLPH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TLPH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$44.8$25.4-43%
2021$25.4$11.2-56%
2022$11.2$2.07-82%
2023$2.07$0.74-64%
2024$0.74$0.53-28%
2025$0.53$1.10+108%
2026 YTD$1.10$1.03-6.4%

TLPH's yearly returns have swung widely, from +108% in 2025 to โˆ’82% in 2022. It's down 6.4% so far in 2026.

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