LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over TGTX overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

TGTX

TG Therapeutics, Inc.

64
Fundamentals67/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential14/ 100
Risk potential73/ 100

TGTX's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TGTX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy

TGTX's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY has the edge over TGTX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

TGTX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x533x800x1066x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE267x533x800x1066x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap12x$7.91-88%
Forward26x$64.56—
Fair39x$25.80-60%
Current98x$64.56—
Expensive148x$97.38+51%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TGTX's PE is in its expensive range at 98x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 26x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

TGTX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TGTX, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TGTX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TGTX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+11%$71.93
Downside-73%$17.57

Calculated from the latest close: $64.56 on Nov 12.

TGTX trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over TGTX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TGTX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.02Q1 2024: $0.23Q2 2024: $0.61Q3 2024: $-0.10Q4 2024: $0.15Q1 2025: $0.25Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $2.79Q4 2025: $2.77Q1 2026: $2.86Q2 2026: $2.74Q3 2026: $0.66Forward: $2.52
Q4 2023: $0.02Q1 2024: $0.23Q2 2024: $0.61Q3 2024: $-0.10Q4 2024: $0.15Q1 2025: $0.25Q2 2025: $0.38Q3 2025: $2.79Q4 2025: $2.77Q1 2026: $2.86Q2 2026: $2.74Q3 2026: $0.66Forward: $2.52
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.52+282%
Q3 2026$0.66-76%
Q2 2026$2.74+621%
Q1 2026$2.86+1044%
Q4 2025$2.77+1747%
Q3 2025$2.79+$2.89
Q2 2025$0.38-38%
Q1 2025$0.25+8.7%
Q4 2024$0.15+650%

TGTX earned $0.66 per share over the past year, down 76% from the year before.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

TGTX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $121MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $162MQ4 2025: $193MQ1 2026: $205MQ2 2026: $240MQ3 2026: $260M
Q4 2023: $44MQ1 2024: $63MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $84MQ4 2024: $108MQ1 2025: $121MQ2 2025: $141MQ3 2025: $162MQ4 2025: $193MQ1 2026: $205MQ2 2026: $240MQ3 2026: $260M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$259.9M+61%
Q2 2026$240.3M+70%
Q1 2026$204.9M+70%
Q4 2025$192.6M+78%
Q3 2025$161.7M+93%
Q2 2025$141.1M+92%
Q1 2025$120.9M+90%
Q4 2024$108.2M+146%

TGTX has the edge over LLY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY generated $19.7B in free cash flow over the past year, up 112% from the year before.

TGTX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: −$29MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: −$23MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $45M
Q4 2023: −$13MQ1 2024: −$8MQ2 2024: $6MQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: −$26MQ1 2025: −$29MQ2 2025: $7MQ3 2025: −$23MQ4 2025: $20MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $39MQ3 2026: $45M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$44.9M+$68.2M
Q2 2026$39M+427%
Q1 2026-$17.9M+$10.8M
Q4 2025$19.6M+$45.3M
Q2 2025$7.4M+34%
Q1 2025-$28.7M-$20.5M
Q4 2024-$25.7M-$12.5M
Q4 2023-$13.2M+$10.7M

TGTX has the edge over LLY on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

TGTX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 146MQ2 2024: 159MQ3 2024: 161MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 163MQ2 2025: 163MQ3 2025: 161MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 160MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 156M
Q4 2023: 149MQ1 2024: 146MQ2 2024: 159MQ3 2024: 161MQ4 2024: 160MQ1 2025: 163MQ2 2025: 163MQ3 2025: 161MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 160MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 156M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.9%-1.4M shares
1 year-3.2%-5.1M shares
3 years0%+53.3K shares
5 years+18%+23.6M shares
Available history+76%+67.6M shares

TGTX has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over TGTX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TGTX Net Leverage

Q4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
Q4 2024: 1.5xQ1 2025: 1.9xQ2 2025: 1.4xQ3 2025: 1.7xQ4 2025: 1.4xQ1 2026: 2.0xQ2 2026: 1.9xQ3 2026: 1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.6xHealthy
Q2 20261.9xHealthy
Q1 20262.0xModerate
Q4 20251.4xHealthy
Q3 20251.7xHealthy
Q2 20251.4xHealthy
Q1 20251.9xHealthy
Q4 20241.5xHealthy

TGTX's net debt is about 1.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

TGTX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.7Neutral
Stochastic86.3Overbought

TGTX's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 86 (overbought).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY has the edge over TGTX on valuation relative to its sector.

TGTX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricTGTXSector medianRelative
PE98x26x278% above
PE %752946 pts above

TGTX is trading at 98x earnings, a 278% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

TGTX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$57.612% above
20 week MA$55.417% above
50 week MA$43.050% above
100 week MA$38.767% above
200 week MA$28.6126% above

TGTX is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 126% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has finished every year since 2020 higher, and it's up 32% so far in 2026.

TGTX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$53.3+390%
2021$53.3$19.4-64%
2022$19.4$8.12-58%
2023$8.12$17.1+110%
2024$17.1$32.5+90%
2025$32.5$30.8-5.4%
2026 YTD$30.8$64.6+110%

TGTX has the edge over LLY on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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