LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over TFX overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

TFX

Teleflex Incorporated

37
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation34/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential41/ 100

TFX trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TFX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Healthy
Under pressure
Under pressure

TFX's profitability is currently healthy, but its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TFX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x50x75x99x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x50x75x99x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward15x$153—
Current19x$153—
Cheap28x$227+48%
Fair34x$279+82%
Expensive49x$404+164%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TFX has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over TFX on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

TFX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Decline
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect TFX's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TFX, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TFX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$192.09
Downside-41%$90.30

Calculated from the latest close: $153.15 on Nov 12.

TFX trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over TFX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TFX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $7.53Q1 2024: $6.23Q2 2024: $5.57Q3 2024: $5.03Q4 2024: $1.48Q1 2025: $3.23Q2 2025: $4.31Q3 2025: $-7.29Q4 2025: $-20.55Q1 2026: $-22.80Q2 2026: $-23.29Q3 2026: $8.23Forward: $9.93
Q4 2023: $7.53Q1 2024: $6.23Q2 2024: $5.57Q3 2024: $5.03Q4 2024: $1.48Q1 2025: $3.23Q2 2025: $4.31Q3 2025: $-7.29Q4 2025: $-20.55Q1 2026: $-22.80Q2 2026: $-23.29Q3 2026: $8.23Forward: $9.93
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.93+21%
Q3 2026$8.23+$15.52
Q2 2026-$23.29-640%
Q1 2026-$22.80-806%
Q4 2025-$20.55-1489%
Q3 2025-$7.29-245%
Q2 2025$4.31-23%
Q1 2025$3.23-48%
Q4 2024$1.48-80%

TFX has returned to profit: it earned $8.23 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before. Its recent earnings include one-off gains.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over TFX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TFX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $774MQ1 2024: $738MQ2 2024: $750MQ3 2024: $764MQ4 2024: $795MQ1 2025: $701MQ2 2025: $781MQ3 2025: $913MQ4 2025: $569MQ1 2026: $548MQ2 2026: $570MQ3 2026: $568M
Q4 2023: $774MQ1 2024: $738MQ2 2024: $750MQ3 2024: $764MQ4 2024: $795MQ1 2025: $701MQ2 2025: $781MQ3 2025: $913MQ4 2025: $569MQ1 2026: $548MQ2 2026: $570MQ3 2026: $568M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$567.8M-38%
Q2 2026$570.3M-27%
Q1 2026$548.3M-22%
Q4 2025$569M-28%
Q3 2025$913M+19%
Q2 2025$780.9M+4.2%
Q1 2025$700.7M-5%
Q4 2024$795.4M+2.8%

TFX's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $568M last quarter, down 38% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over TFX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TFX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $210MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: −$27MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: −$93MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $75M
Q4 2023: $112MQ1 2024: $74MQ2 2024: $57MQ3 2024: $210MQ4 2024: $171MQ1 2025: $43MQ2 2025: −$27MQ3 2025: $78MQ4 2025: −$93MQ1 2026: $28MQ2 2026: $78MQ3 2026: $75M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$74.7M-4.1%
Q2 2026$77.9M+$104.6M
Q1 2026$27.9M-36%
Q4 2025-$92.9M-154%
Q3 2025$77.8M-63%
Q2 2025-$26.8M-147%
Q1 2025$43.3M-42%
Q4 2024$170.6M+53%

TFX still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $87M over the past year.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has 893M diluted shares, down 0.6% from a year ago.

TFX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 44MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 42M
Q4 2023: 47MQ1 2024: 47MQ2 2024: 47MQ3 2024: 47MQ4 2024: 47MQ1 2025: 46MQ2 2025: 44MQ3 2025: 44MQ4 2025: 45MQ1 2026: 44MQ2 2026: 44MQ3 2026: 42M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-4.7%-2M shares
1 year-5.9%-2.6M shares
3 years-12%-5.7M shares
5 years-12%-5.8M shares
Available history-12%-5.5M shares

TFX has the edge over LLY on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY has the edge over TFX on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

TFX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 52.2xQ4 2025: 35.6xQ3 2026: 3.6x
Q4 2023: 2.1xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.5xQ4 2024: 3.2xQ1 2025: 2.9xQ2 2025: 2.8xQ3 2025: 52.2xQ4 2025: 35.6xQ3 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.6xElevated
Q4 202535.6xHigh
Q3 202552.2xHigh
Q2 20252.8xModerate
Q1 20252.9xModerate
Q4 20243.2xElevated
Q3 20242.5xModerate
Q2 20242.4xModerate

TFX's net debt is about 3.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.9 years a year ago.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

TFX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.4Neutral
Stochastic85.3Overbought

TFX's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 85 (overbought).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

TFX PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricTFXSector medianRelative
PE19x26x28% below
PE %12928 pts below

TFX has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over TFX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TFX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$135.213% above
20 week MA$135.013% above
50 week MA$125.922% above
100 week MA$130.417% above
200 week MA$179.215% below

TFX has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 15% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over TFX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TFX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$372.0$405.1+8.9%
2021$405.1$327.4-19%
2022$327.4$248.8-24%
2023$248.8$249.3+0.2%
2024$249.3$179.5-28%
2025$179.5$122.8-32%
2026 YTD$122.8$153.2+25%

TFX has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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