LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over TECH overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

TECH

Bio-Techne Corporation

66
Fundamentals80/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential60/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

TECH's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TECH Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Strong
Strong

TECH's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TECH PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE40x81x121x162x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE40x81x121x162x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward34x$72.84—
Cheap46x$50.62-30%
Fair63x$69.08-5.2%
Current66x$72.84—
Expensive104x$114+57%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TECH has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

TECH Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TECH, with profitability improving.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TECH, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TECH Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+31%$95.06
Downside-20%$58.25

Calculated from the latest close: $72.84 on Nov 12.

TECH trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over TECH on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TECH Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.38Q1 2024: $1.26Q2 2024: $1.05Q3 2024: $0.95Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $0.83Q2 2025: $0.46Q3 2025: $0.49Q4 2025: $0.51Q1 2026: $0.69Q2 2026: $1.16Q3 2026: $1.10Forward: $2.11
Q4 2023: $1.38Q1 2024: $1.26Q2 2024: $1.05Q3 2024: $0.95Q4 2024: $1.00Q1 2025: $0.83Q2 2025: $0.46Q3 2025: $0.49Q4 2025: $0.51Q1 2026: $0.69Q2 2026: $1.16Q3 2026: $1.10Forward: $2.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.11+92%
Q3 2026$1.10+124%
Q2 2026$1.16+152%
Q1 2026$0.69-17%
Q4 2025$0.51-49%
Q3 2025$0.49-48%
Q2 2025$0.46-56%
Q1 2025$0.83-34%
Q4 2024$1.00-28%

TECH's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.10 over the past year, against $1.79 in late 2022.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over TECH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TECH Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $273MQ1 2024: $303MQ2 2024: $306MQ3 2024: $289MQ4 2024: $297MQ1 2025: $316MQ2 2025: $317MQ3 2025: $287MQ4 2025: $296MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $321MQ3 2026: $300M
Q4 2023: $273MQ1 2024: $303MQ2 2024: $306MQ3 2024: $289MQ4 2024: $297MQ1 2025: $316MQ2 2025: $317MQ3 2025: $287MQ4 2025: $296MQ1 2026: $311MQ2 2026: $321MQ3 2026: $300M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$299.7M+4.6%
Q2 2026$321.2M+1.3%
Q1 2026$311.4M-1.5%
Q4 2025$295.9M-0.4%
Q3 2025$286.6M-1%
Q2 2025$317M+3.5%
Q1 2025$316.2M+4.2%
Q4 2024$297M+9%

TECH's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $300M last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over TECH on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TECH Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $76MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $87MQ3 2026: $67M
Q4 2023: $68MQ1 2024: $65MQ2 2024: $58MQ3 2024: $55MQ4 2024: $78MQ1 2025: $31MQ2 2025: $93MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: $76MQ1 2026: $78MQ2 2026: $87MQ3 2026: $67M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$67.2M+202%
Q2 2026$86.9M-6.8%
Q1 2026$77.6M+150%
Q4 2025$76.5M-1.3%
Q3 2025$22.2M-59%
Q2 2025$93.3M+62%
Q1 2025$31M-52%
Q4 2024$77.5M+14%

TECH's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for six years: $308M over the past year, up 38% from the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over TECH on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TECH Total Shares

Q4 2023: 160MQ1 2024: 160MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 161MQ4 2024: 161MQ1 2025: 159MQ2 2025: 160MQ3 2025: 156MQ4 2025: 157MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 158M
Q4 2023: 160MQ1 2024: 160MQ2 2024: 161MQ3 2024: 161MQ4 2024: 161MQ1 2025: 159MQ2 2025: 160MQ3 2025: 156MQ4 2025: 157MQ1 2026: 157MQ2 2026: 157MQ3 2026: 158M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+919K shares
1 year+1%+1.6M shares
3 years-2.5%-4M shares
5 years-4.1%-6.7M shares
Available history-0.2%-272K shares

TECH has 158M diluted shares, up 1% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TECH Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
Q4 2023: 0.8xQ1 2024: 0.7xQ2 2024: 0.5xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.7xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.7xQ4 2025: 0.4xQ1 2026: -0.0xQ2 2026: -0.2xQ3 2026: -0.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q4 20250.4xVery low
Q3 20250.7xVery low
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20250.7xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

TECH has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

TECH Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI65.9Neutral
Stochastic94.2Overbought

TECH's weekly RSI is 66 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 94 (overbought).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY has the edge over TECH on valuation relative to its sector.

TECH PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricTECHSector medianRelative
PE66x26x156% above
PE %552926 pts above

TECH is trading at 66x earnings, a 156% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

TECH Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$72.60.3% above
20 week MA$72.30.8% above
50 week MA$63.315% above
100 week MA$61.020% above
200 week MA$67.77.5% above

TECH has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 7.5% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over TECH on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TECH Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$54.6$80.4+47%
2021$80.4$123.7+54%
2022$123.7$82.7-33%
2023$82.7$77.2-6.7%
2024$77.2$73.0-5.4%
2025$73.0$59.2-19%
2026 YTD$59.2$72.8+23%

TECH has finished four years in a row lower, and it's up 23% so far in 2026.

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