LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over TDOC overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

TDOC

Teladoc Health, Inc.

58
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential35/ 100

TDOC's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TDOC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Healthy
Healthy

TDOC's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability is under pressure.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TDOC PE Valuation

TDOC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

LLY has the edge over TDOC on the outlook, with more favorable revenue expectations.

TDOC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Stable
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TDOC's losses to shrink, with revenue holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TDOC, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TDOC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+55%$13.43
Downside-35%$5.61

Calculated from the latest close: $8.69 on Nov 12.

TDOC trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over TDOC on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TDOC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.34Q1 2024: $-1.41Q2 2024: $-5.93Q3 2024: $-5.77Q4 2024: $-5.87Q1 2025: $-5.91Q2 2025: $-1.18Q3 2025: $-1.27Q4 2025: $-1.14Q1 2026: $-0.97Q2 2026: $-0.99Q3 2026: $-0.86
Q4 2023: $-1.34Q1 2024: $-1.41Q2 2024: $-5.93Q3 2024: $-5.77Q4 2024: $-5.87Q1 2025: $-5.91Q2 2025: $-1.18Q3 2025: $-1.27Q4 2025: $-1.14Q1 2026: $-0.97Q2 2026: $-0.99Q3 2026: $-0.86
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.86+$0.41
Q2 2026-$0.99+$0.19
Q1 2026-$0.97+$4.94
Q4 2025-$1.14+$4.73
Q3 2025-$1.27+$4.50
Q2 2025-$1.18+$4.75
Q1 2025-$5.91-$4.50
Q4 2024-$5.87-$4.53

TDOC is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.86 per share over the past year, against $84.60 at its worst in late 2022.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over TDOC on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TDOC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $661MQ1 2024: $646MQ2 2024: $642MQ3 2024: $641MQ4 2024: $640MQ1 2025: $629MQ2 2025: $632MQ3 2025: $626MQ4 2025: $642MQ1 2026: $614MQ2 2026: $607MQ3 2026: $605M
Q4 2023: $661MQ1 2024: $646MQ2 2024: $642MQ3 2024: $641MQ4 2024: $640MQ1 2025: $629MQ2 2025: $632MQ3 2025: $626MQ4 2025: $642MQ1 2026: $614MQ2 2026: $607MQ3 2026: $605M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$605.1M-3.4%
Q2 2026$606.9M-4%
Q1 2026$613.8M-2.5%
Q4 2025$642.3M+0.3%
Q3 2025$626.4M-2.2%
Q2 2025$631.9M-1.6%
Q1 2025$629.4M-2.6%
Q4 2024$640.5M-3%

TDOC's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $605M last quarter, down 3.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over TDOC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TDOC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $129MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $90MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $105M
Q4 2023: $129MQ1 2024: $8MQ2 2024: $87MQ3 2024: $109MQ4 2024: $80MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $90MQ3 2025: $97MQ4 2025: $85MQ1 2026: $8MQ2 2026: $64MQ3 2026: $105M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$105.2M+8.5%
Q2 2026$63.7M-29%
Q1 2026$7.9M-40%
Q4 2025$85.1M+6.7%
Q3 2025$97M-11%
Q2 2025$90.2M+3.9%
Q1 2025$13.2M+70%
Q4 2024$79.8M-38%

TDOC generated $262M in free cash flow over the past year, down 6.5% from the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over TDOC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TDOC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 165MQ1 2024: 168MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 171MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 176MQ3 2025: 177MQ4 2025: 176MQ1 2026: 179MQ2 2026: 181MQ3 2026: 182M
Q4 2023: 165MQ1 2024: 168MQ2 2024: 170MQ3 2024: 171MQ4 2024: 171MQ1 2025: 174MQ2 2025: 176MQ3 2025: 177MQ4 2025: 176MQ1 2026: 179MQ2 2026: 181MQ3 2026: 182M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.5%+850K shares
1 year+2.8%+4.9M shares
3 years+10%+16.8M shares
5 years+14%+22.4M shares
Available history+151%+109M shares

TDOC has 182M diluted shares, up 2.8% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TDOC Net Leverage

Q2 2025: -7.4xQ3 2025: -8.7xQ4 2025: -7.7xQ1 2026: -4.6xQ2 2026: -4.3xQ3 2026: -4.1x
Q2 2025: -7.4xQ3 2025: -8.7xQ4 2025: -7.7xQ1 2026: -4.6xQ2 2026: -4.3xQ3 2026: -4.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-4.1xNet Cash
Q2 2026-4.3xNet Cash
Q1 2026-4.6xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-8.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-7.4xNet Cash

TDOC has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

TDOC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI63.1Neutral
Stochastic75.8Neutral

TDOC's weekly RSI is 63 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 76 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

TDOC PE vs Healthcare Sector

TDOC has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over TDOC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TDOC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.9226% above
20 week MA$7.2220% above
50 week MA$6.6830% above
100 week MA$7.5116% above
200 week MA$12.631% below

TDOC has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 31% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over TDOC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TDOC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$83.4$208.0+149%
2021$208.0$95.1-54%
2022$95.1$23.5-75%
2023$23.5$21.6-8.4%
2024$21.6$9.45-56%
2025$9.45$7.12-25%
2026 YTD$7.12$8.69+22%

TDOC has finished five years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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