LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over TCRX overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

TCRX

TScan Therapeutics, Inc.

32
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential48/ 100

TCRX trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TCRX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Under pressure
Unavailable

TCRX's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TCRX PE Valuation

TCRX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

TCRX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong decline
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect TCRX's losses to shrink, with revenue declining. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TCRX, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

TCRX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+88%$0.32
Downside-47%$0.09

Calculated from the latest close: $0.17 on Nov 12.

TCRX trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over TCRX on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

TCRX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2024: $-1.14Q1 2025: $-1.08Q2 2025: $-1.08Q3 2025: $-1.11Q4 2025: $-1.00Q1 2026: $-0.96Q2 2026: $-0.91Q3 2026: $-0.88
Q4 2024: $-1.14Q1 2025: $-1.08Q2 2025: $-1.08Q3 2025: $-1.11Q4 2025: $-1.00Q1 2026: $-0.96Q2 2026: $-0.91Q3 2026: $-0.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.88+$0.23
Q2 2026-$0.91+$0.17
Q1 2026-$0.96+$0.12
Q4 2025-$1.00+$0.14

TCRX is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.88 per share over the past year, against $3.01 at its worst in early 2023.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over TCRX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TCRX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $566,000Q2 2024: $536,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $665,000Q1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $982,000Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $586,000
Q4 2023: $7MQ1 2024: $566,000Q2 2024: $536,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $665,000Q1 2025: $2MQ2 2025: $3MQ3 2025: $3MQ4 2025: $3MQ1 2026: $982,000Q2 2026: $1MQ3 2026: $586,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$586K-77%
Q2 2026$1.1M-66%
Q1 2026$982K-55%
Q4 2025$2.6M+286%
Q3 2025$2.5M+139%
Q2 2025$3.1M+474%
Q1 2025$2.2M+284%
Q4 2024$665K-91%

TCRX's revenue has slid since its 2023 peak: $586,000 last quarter, down 77% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over TCRX on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

TCRX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: −$30MQ2 2024: −$27MQ3 2024: −$29MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$39MQ2 2025: −$35MQ3 2025: −$34MQ4 2025: −$32MQ1 2026: −$24MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$27M
Q4 2023: −$24MQ1 2024: −$30MQ2 2024: −$27MQ3 2024: −$29MQ4 2024: −$28MQ1 2025: −$39MQ2 2025: −$35MQ3 2025: −$34MQ4 2025: −$32MQ1 2026: −$24MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$27M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$27.1M+$6.8M
Q2 2026-$28M+$6.5M
Q1 2026-$24.3M+$14.8M
Q4 2025-$32.2M-$3.9M
Q3 2025-$33.9M-$4.6M
Q2 2025-$34.5M-$7.5M
Q1 2025-$39.1M-$9.1M
Q4 2024-$28.3M-$4.1M

TCRX has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$112M over the past year, against −$136M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over TCRX on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TCRX Total Shares

Q1 2024: 95MQ2 2024: 113MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 112MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 130MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 130MQ1 2026: 130MQ2 2026: 130MQ3 2026: 130M
Q1 2024: 95MQ2 2024: 113MQ3 2024: 119MQ4 2024: 112MQ1 2025: 130MQ2 2025: 130MQ3 2025: 130MQ4 2025: 130MQ1 2026: 130MQ2 2026: 130MQ3 2026: 130M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+77.1K shares
1 year+0.1%+190K shares
3 years+175%+82.8M shares
5 years+443%+106M shares

TCRX has 130M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TCRX Net Leverage

TCRX's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

TCRX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI23.3Oversold
Stochastic1.3Oversold

TCRX's weekly RSI is 23 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 1 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

TCRX PE vs Healthcare Sector

TCRX has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over TCRX on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

TCRX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$0.2326% below
20 week MA$0.5368% below
50 week MA$0.8580% below
100 week MA$1.3487% below
200 week MA$3.0294% below

TCRX is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 94% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over TCRX on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TCRX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2021$10.5$4.86-54%
2022$4.86$1.51-69%
2023$1.51$5.83+286%
2024$5.83$3.06-48%
2025$3.06$1.06-65%
2026 YTD$1.06$0.17-84%

TCRX's yearly returns have swung widely, from +286% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 84% so far in 2026.

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