LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over TCMD overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

TCMD

Tactile Systems Technology, Inc.

66
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation51/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

TCMD's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

TCMD Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Strong

TCMD's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

TCMD PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE166x331x497x662x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE166x331x497x662x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap13x$13.15-51%
Forward21x$26.82—
Current26x$26.82—
Fair27x$27.39+2.1%
Expensive89x$91.05+240%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TCMD has the edge over LLY in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

TCMD Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for TCMD, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than TCMD, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

TCMD Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+34%$36.03
Downside-21%$21.30

Calculated from the latest close: $26.82 on Nov 12.

TCMD trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over TCMD on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TCMD Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.23Q1 2024: $1.23Q2 2024: $1.41Q3 2024: $0.68Q4 2024: $0.70Q1 2025: $0.66Q2 2025: $0.62Q3 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.82Q1 2026: $0.87Q2 2026: $1.07Q3 2026: $1.02Forward: $1.25
Q4 2023: $1.23Q1 2024: $1.23Q2 2024: $1.41Q3 2024: $0.68Q4 2024: $0.70Q1 2025: $0.66Q2 2025: $0.62Q3 2025: $0.77Q4 2025: $0.82Q1 2026: $0.87Q2 2026: $1.07Q3 2026: $1.02Forward: $1.25
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.25+23%
Q3 2026$1.02+32%
Q2 2026$1.07+73%
Q1 2026$0.87+32%
Q4 2025$0.82+17%
Q3 2025$0.77+13%
Q2 2025$0.62-56%
Q1 2025$0.66-46%
Q4 2024$0.70-43%

TCMD's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $1.02 over the past year, against $1.41 in mid-2024.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY has the edge over TCMD on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

TCMD Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $78MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $104MQ1 2026: $75MQ2 2026: $86MQ3 2026: $92M
Q4 2023: $78MQ1 2024: $61MQ2 2024: $73MQ3 2024: $73MQ4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: $61MQ2 2025: $79MQ3 2025: $86MQ4 2025: $104MQ1 2026: $75MQ2 2026: $86MQ3 2026: $92M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$91.9M+7.1%
Q2 2026$85.7M+8.6%
Q1 2026$75.3M+23%
Q4 2025$103.6M+21%
Q3 2025$85.8M+17%
Q2 2025$78.9M+7.8%
Q1 2025$61.3M+0.3%
Q4 2024$85.6M+10%

TCMD's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $92M last quarter, up 7.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over TCMD on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

TCMD Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $442,000Q2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $38,000Q2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $11M
Q4 2023: $17MQ1 2024: $442,000Q2 2024: $13MQ3 2024: $9MQ4 2024: $16MQ1 2025: $38,000Q2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $17MQ1 2026: −$1MQ2 2026: $2MQ3 2026: $11M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$11.4M+24%
Q2 2026$2M-86%
Q1 2026-$1.2M-3153%
Q4 2025$16.8M+5.8%
Q3 2025$9.2M-0.9%
Q2 2025$14.4M+14%
Q1 2025$38K-91%
Q4 2024$15.9M-9%

TCMD generated $29M in free cash flow over the past year, down 27% from the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over TCMD on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

TCMD Total Shares

Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
Q4 2023: 23MQ1 2024: 24MQ2 2024: 24MQ3 2024: 24MQ4 2024: 24MQ1 2025: 24MQ2 2025: 23MQ3 2025: 23MQ4 2025: 23MQ1 2026: 23MQ2 2026: 23MQ3 2026: 23M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-13K shares
1 year+2.4%+533K shares
3 years-3.4%-803K shares
5 years+16%+3.3M shares
Available history+17%+3.4M shares

TCMD has 23M diluted shares, up 2.4% from a year ago, despite $13M in buybacks over the past year.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

TCMD Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -2.0xQ4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -1.9x
Q4 2023: -1.8xQ1 2024: -1.3xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -2.0xQ4 2024: -2.4xQ1 2025: -2.1xQ2 2025: -2.2xQ3 2025: -2.2xQ4 2025: -2.3xQ1 2026: -1.9xQ2 2026: -1.7xQ3 2026: -1.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-1.7xNet Cash
Q1 2026-1.9xNet Cash
Q4 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q3 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-2.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-2.1xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.4xNet Cash

TCMD has the edge over LLY on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

TCMD Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.2Neutral
Stochastic45.3Neutral

TCMD's weekly RSI is 57 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 45 (neutral).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

TCMD PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricTCMDSector medianRelative
PE26x26x1.7% above
PE %492920 pts above

TCMD has the edge over LLY on valuation relative to its sector.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 79% above its 200-week average.

TCMD Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$23.713% above
20 week MA$25.16.9% above
50 week MA$26.22.3% above
100 week MA$20.332% above
200 week MA$18.049% above

TCMD is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% above its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over TCMD on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

TCMD Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$68.3$41.6-39%
2021$41.6$20.2-51%
2022$20.2$11.7-42%
2023$11.7$14.3+22%
2024$14.3$17.3+21%
2025$17.3$29.7+72%
2026 YTD$29.7$26.8-9.6%

TCMD has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 9.6% so far in 2026.

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