LLY

Eli Lilly and Company

78
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation62/ 100
Upside potential72/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

LLY has the edge over STIM overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

STIM

Neuronetics, Inc.

61
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential52/ 100

STIM's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

LLY Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Healthy

LLY's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

STIM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure
Unavailable

STIM's revenue is currently stable, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

LLY PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE37x74x111x147x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap27x$845-41%
Forward30x$1,427—
Current46x$1,427—
Fair48x$1,466+2.7%
Expensive85x$2,612+83%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

LLY's PE is in its fair range at 46x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

STIM PE Valuation

STIM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for LLY, with profitability improving.

STIM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect STIM's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

LLY Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+39%$1,988.49
Downside-15%$1,209.08

Calculated from the latest close: $1,427.28 on Nov 12.

LLY has a better modeled risk to reward balance than STIM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

STIM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+110%$3.01
Downside-52%$0.68

Calculated from the latest close: $1.43 on Nov 12.

STIM trails LLY on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

LLY Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
Q4 2023: $5.80Q1 2024: $6.79Q2 2024: $8.12Q3 2024: $9.25Q4 2024: $11.71Q1 2025: $12.29Q2 2025: $15.30Q3 2025: $20.44Q4 2025: $22.95Q1 2026: $28.15Q2 2026: $29.80Q3 2026: $30.81Forward: $46.82
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$46.82+52%
Q3 2026$30.81+51%
Q2 2026$29.80+95%
Q1 2026$28.15+129%
Q4 2025$22.95+96%
Q3 2025$20.44+121%
Q2 2025$15.30+88%
Q1 2025$12.29+81%
Q4 2024$11.71+102%

LLY has the edge over STIM on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

STIM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-1.05Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-1.10Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-1.38Q1 2025: $-1.32Q2 2025: $-1.14Q3 2025: $-0.83Q4 2025: $-0.59Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.44Q3 2026: $-0.33
Q4 2023: $-1.05Q1 2024: $-0.94Q2 2024: $-1.10Q3 2024: $-1.21Q4 2024: $-1.38Q1 2025: $-1.32Q2 2025: $-1.14Q3 2025: $-0.83Q4 2025: $-0.59Q1 2026: $-0.54Q2 2026: $-0.44Q3 2026: $-0.33
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.33+$0.50
Q2 2026-$0.44+$0.70
Q1 2026-$0.54+$0.78
Q4 2025-$0.59+$0.79
Q3 2025-$0.83+$0.38
Q2 2025-$1.14-$0.04
Q1 2025-$1.32-$0.38
Q4 2024-$1.38-$0.33

STIM is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.33 per share over the past year, against $1.87 at its worst in mid-2020.

LLY Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
Q4 2023: $9.4BQ1 2024: $8.8BQ2 2024: $11.3BQ3 2024: $11.4BQ4 2024: $13.5BQ1 2025: $12.7BQ2 2025: $15.6BQ3 2025: $17.6BQ4 2025: $19.3BQ1 2026: $19.8BQ2 2026: $23BQ3 2026: $24.4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.4B+39%
Q2 2026$23B+48%
Q1 2026$19.8B+56%
Q4 2025$19.3B+43%
Q3 2025$17.6B+54%
Q2 2025$15.6B+38%
Q1 2025$12.7B+45%
Q4 2024$13.5B+45%

LLY's revenue has grown year over year for 14 quarters in a row: $24.4B last quarter, up 39% from the same quarter a year ago.

STIM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $42MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $20MQ1 2024: $17MQ2 2024: $16MQ3 2024: $19MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $32MQ2 2025: $38MQ3 2025: $37MQ4 2025: $42MQ1 2026: $34MQ2 2026: $42MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42M+13%
Q2 2026$41.6M+9.1%
Q1 2026$34.5M+7.8%
Q4 2025$41.8M+86%
Q3 2025$37.3M+101%
Q2 2025$38.1M+132%
Q1 2025$32M+84%
Q4 2024$22.5M+11%

STIM has the edge over LLY on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

LLY Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
Q4 2023: −$1.4BQ1 2024: $180MQ2 2024: $241MQ3 2024: $2.4BQ4 2024: $978MQ1 2025: $156MQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $6.7BQ4 2025: $678MQ1 2026: $3BQ2 2026: $7.8BQ3 2026: $8.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$8.2B+22%
Q2 2026$7.8B+458%
Q1 2026$3B+1826%
Q4 2025$677.9M-31%
Q3 2025$6.7B+186%
Q2 2025$1.4B+476%
Q1 2025$156.1M-13%
Q4 2024$977.8M+$2.4B

LLY has the edge over STIM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

STIM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: −$899,000Q4 2025: $692,000Q1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: $768,000
Q4 2023: $1MQ1 2024: −$12MQ2 2024: −$6MQ3 2024: −$6MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: −$4MQ3 2025: −$899,000Q4 2025: $692,000Q1 2026: −$10MQ2 2026: −$1MQ3 2026: $768,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$768K+$1.7M
Q2 2026-$1.4M+$2.3M
Q1 2026-$9.6M+$7.6M
Q4 2025$692K+$9.4M
Q3 2025-$899K+$4.9M
Q2 2025-$3.8M+$1.8M
Q1 2025-$17.2M-$4.8M
Q4 2024-$8.7M-793%

STIM has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$10M over the past year, against −$31M the year before.

LLY Total Shares

Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
Q4 2023: 903MQ1 2024: 904MQ2 2024: 904MQ3 2024: 905MQ4 2024: 904MQ1 2025: 901MQ2 2025: 900MQ3 2025: 899MQ4 2025: 899MQ1 2026: 896MQ2 2026: 894MQ3 2026: 893M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-300K shares
1 year-0.6%-5.4M shares
3 years-0.7%-6.4M shares
5 years-1.9%-17.4M shares
Available history-4.5%-42.3M shares

LLY has the edge over STIM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

STIM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 61MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 77M
Q4 2023: 29MQ1 2024: 29MQ2 2024: 30MQ3 2024: 30MQ1 2025: 61MQ2 2025: 66MQ3 2025: 67MQ4 2025: 66MQ1 2026: 70MQ2 2026: 73MQ3 2026: 77M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+5.3%+3.9M shares
1 year+14%+9.7M shares
3 years+169%+48.4M shares
5 years+197%+51.1M shares
Available history+313%+58.4M shares

STIM has 77M diluted shares, up 14% from a year ago.

LLY Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
Q4 2023: 2.8xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 2.4xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 1.3xQ4 2025: 1.3xQ1 2026: 1.2xQ2 2026: 1.3xQ3 2026: 1.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20261.2xHealthy
Q2 20261.3xHealthy
Q1 20261.2xHealthy
Q4 20251.3xHealthy
Q3 20251.3xHealthy
Q2 20252.0xHealthy
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

LLY's net debt is about 1.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

STIM Net Leverage

STIM's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

LLY Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.3Neutral
Stochastic84.1Overbought

LLY's weekly RSI is 68 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 84 (overbought).

STIM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.4Neutral
Stochastic17.8Oversold

STIM's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 18 (oversold).

LLY PE vs Healthcare Sector

MetricLLYSector medianRelative
PE46x26x79% above
PE %482919 pts above

LLY is trading at 46x earnings, a 79% premium to the Healthcare sector's median of 26x.

STIM PE vs Healthcare Sector

STIM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

LLY Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,279.412% above
20 week MA$1,218.817% above
50 week MA$1,102.229% above
100 week MA$954.150% above
200 week MA$797.579% above

LLY has the edge over STIM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

STIM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$2.1132% below
20 week MA$2.2938% below
50 week MA$1.8221% below
100 week MA$2.5744% below
200 week MA$2.4742% below

STIM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 42% below its 200-week average.

LLY Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$131.5$166.7+27%
2021$166.7$273.1+64%
2022$273.1$367.9+35%
2023$367.9$582.9+58%
2024$582.9$783.2+34%
2025$783.2$1,077.8+38%
2026 YTD$1,077.8$1,427.3+32%

LLY has the edge over STIM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

STIM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$4.50$10.7+137%
2021$10.7$4.60-57%
2022$4.60$5.97+30%
2023$5.97$2.90-51%
2024$2.90$1.48-49%
2025$1.48$1.42-4.1%
2026 YTD$1.42$1.43+0.7%

STIM has finished three years in a row lower, and it's up 0.7% so far in 2026.

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